Monday, November 09, 2020

Progressive Democrats are somewhat too progressive for many Americans.

These are interesting statistics but, slightly for the wrong reasons. It is why statistics alone are not hitting the races as correctly as they can.

  • Nationwide, (click here) Biden is faring about 2.4 percentage points better than the average Democratic nominee for House seats, according to an estimate by Sean Trende of RealClearPolitics.
This and the Nebraska comparison is correct in that Americans will take a less progressive stance at the ballot box. I think some of the polling for progressives is also manipulated to place them for elections in districts where they won't win. 

In the case of Nebraska's Second Don Bacon was  U.S. Air Force from 1985 to 2014. He retired as a Brigadier General. During his service, Bacon was awarded the Distinguished Service Medal, two Legion of Merits, and two Bronze Stars. Military experience matters in most instances.

Also both parties spend the same money on this House seat. 

As of October 8, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee had each spent $1.2 million in the district.
  • In several swing states — including Georgia, Michigan and North Carolina — Biden also did better than the Democratic nominees for Senate. (Arizona is an exception.
In Georgia there will be a run off for the Senate Seat. (click here) I sincerely hope this isn't just a matter of adding Libertarians to the Republican candidate. Libertarians are not eye to eye with Republicans otherwise they would vote for Republicans. One of those differences is that Libertarians are not afraid of the vote and believe in participatory democracy, that is a point Stacey Abrams has been pounding away at since she lost an election she should have won. From the same article:

A Yale-educated lawyer by trade, she has now spent years trying to address a sickness at the heart of US democracy: why millions of Americans still cannot access the ballot box, especially people of color and poor communities. And that this problem is only getting worse.

As far as North Carolina Senate seat, Cal Cunningham was leading that race until Tillis was given a gift. Cal Cunningham was outed by his lover during the election when she was supposed to be his advisor. That soured some. but, not all of the people that were voting for him. I wish North Carolina would have a married woman to run for US Senate. Women running for office are not frequently found to have extra-martial affairs. This is strike two for North Carolina Democratic men looking to be a Senator.

But, that mess aside, North Carolina has to put their best interests first and Cal Cunningham had it right. Tom Tillis is corrupt to the bone and does not put the people first. He dresses up in whatever type of "Honoring the military" he could find as his "moral center." That is something most North Carolinian respect because of the large military presence in the state. But, for some reason the people don't see the corruption as a greater sin and the Republicans will win these seats in the South regardless the corruption of the other candidate. They need to shake that if they ever are going to have their best interests first.
  • In Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, the Democrats nominated a Bernie Sanders-style candidate — Kara Eastman, who backs “Medicare for all” and was endorsed by progressive groups like the Justice Democrats — for a House seat. She lost her race by almost five percentage points, while Biden won the district by almost seven points.
  • These election results are consistent with polls from over the past year that showed Biden faring better against Trump than other Democrats in hypothetical matchups.
Joe Biden will fare better because of his character, including seeing through loss in his life. It could be said the people he represents became his second family with such loss all the time, the most recent Beau. 

Joe is also not corrupt in the way MOST if not all Republicans are. He is the Middle Class. I remember a quote after leaving the Vice Presidency with Obama, "I am speaking and making really good money. I am making more money now than ever before in my life." He had to give that up to run for President. The country has a debt to him for saving the democracy, but, he deserves to be in the White House. He is the Middle Class and stands for all the cultural and virtues this country holds dear.

In order to understand the statistics, one has to look at the issues, candidates and current events in the balance and then it will be more obvious than ever who has a real shot at winning.