Friday, August 21, 2015

Congratulations to Wolf Blitzer on ten years of "The Situation Room" I always thought the simultaneous arrival of news during the program was a great idea. I loved it.

Well done, Wolf.
The three cable news channels are all waiting for the Donald Trump speech. All three.

We've made some headway with FOX on Greta's hour. She admits there have been other Secretary of States that had private emails. But, get this. Hillary Clinton is the ONLY Secretary of State with a private server.

Let's think about that a minute.

Okay, it's been about a minute. So what email server outside the .gov were the other Secretaries of State using? 

Secretary Clinton had a private server. The messages she sent and received were more secure than any other private email server that was part of a network such as google, yahoo or hotmail. 

It's over. The speculation is over. Enough already. Greta even admitted while there has been servers in the company's bathroom, the servers did not belong to clients, including Hillary Clinton. 

End of discussion.

Why is an investment in raising the minimum wage good for everyone, including Wall Street?

Because it adds circulating cash to the US economy. If there is more cash in the economy everyone benefits.

This is something the USA can do that few other countries can do. To begin other allies, such as Japan, already have a higher quality of life than the USA and they also have a better minimum wage. Europe is similar, but, where people still aren't working there have been social programs to continue the growth in the countries. Growth ultimately employs people and reduce the need for social programs.

Emerging economies will have the most trouble maintaining their economic footprint. But, with added circulating cash in The West's economies, where the two meet there will be greater stability in the emerging economies. 

So, when the USA has an increase in the minimum wage, it has a global effect to enhance stability. The stock returns may be smaller this year (Bear Markets), but, it won't be as much with increased circulating cash/capital. This same paradigm was tapped in 2009 when President Obama came to office. The difference is that in 2009 the monies were from the US Treasury; this is from the RECOVERED businesses which will have a significant return to their own stock prices and will move more inventory. The movement of inventory alone will provide a good return on stocks prices. 

It is going to be okay. It is time the USA recover from nearly a decade of increasing poverty rates and the status of the working poor.

Recently, there was a report stating many of the newly employed were college graduates. That FACT validates the "American Dream" as real and palpable. AND. Those employed with their college degrees had good paying jobs without need for social supports.

Kindly, think about it. Okay? When Americans earn well, there is less and less need for welfare, medicaid, housing subsidies and food stamps (dependency status). The good news is a real slice in the pie. A real chance at owning a home. We need our colleges and universities and anyone that seeks to end that aspect of American accomplishment is causing increased poverty rates and economic failure with higher dependency rates of the American people.

The Federal Reserve won't change their policies. They have other options.

August 19, 2015
By Matthew Boesler

Federal Reserve policy makers (click here) discussed options for winding down the central bank’s balance sheet after a staff presentation at their July 28-29 meeting, according to minutes released Wednesday in Washington.

“Most participants expressed a preference that the timing of the cessation of reinvestments be based on a qualitative assessment of economic conditions and the outlook,” the minutes said.

The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee must decide whether to reinvest $216 billion of proceeds from maturing Treasury securities in 2016, or shrink its balance sheet by allowing the debt to expire. By not reinvesting, the Fed would increase the supply of securities available to investors and put upward pressure on yields.

Shrinking the $4.2 trillion portfolio will add to the monetary tightening from increases in the benchmark interest rate officials envision for this year. That would mark a reversal of the easing the Fed achieved when it bought bonds in three rounds of so-called quantitative easing to speed a recovery from the worst recession since the 1930s....

Hong Kong Hang Seng Index lost five years of growth.

If an investor (click here) is going to play with the market to advance their wealth they know it doesn't last forever.

Below is the Nikki Index (click here) during the same time of five years. It isn't all that bad. 

The Chinese markets were inflated. It was time for a rebalance. This can be called a "Bear Market." Wall Street has been on a "QE High" since 2008. Christmas doesn't last forever.

The USA (DJI) Dow Jones Industrials was 11,674.76 on January 3, 2011. It is at 16,459.75 today. It's all time high occurred on May 11, 2015 at 18272.56.

It was TIME for adjustment and people lost money, especially when dealing heavily in Chinese markets. 


Welcome to stability rather than volatility. I guess Wall Street is going to have to invest in order to find new growth, huh?

There is a new investment opportunity right now. True. Set up corporate structure to help the adrenaline junkies of Wall Street. It's an expansion of the health care markets. The new mental health option can be called "I miss Bush." It can be based in conspiracy theory. The task will be to bring all those afflicted with 'adrenaline junkie' status into reality. Recidivism has been high in the past, but, there is real optimism for a cure based in today's standards of practice. 

Raising the minimum wage in the USA IS AN INVESTMENT that will have immediate returns.

Hurricane Danny is gaining strength. It is getting water vapor from the ITCZ (Intertropical Convergence Zone).

I don't think dry air in the upper troposphere is going to effect it much right now. Predicting the storms requires identifying where the water vapor is coming from. It is the water vapor that heats up and provides the added velocity to the storm. There can be dry air masses impacting the storm, but, if it has a consistent source of water vapor the dry air will be compensated by the water vapor. 

August 21, 2015
UNISYS Goes East Water Vapor Satellite of the North and West Hemisphere (click here for 12 hour loop - thank you)

There is a reason why this storm is building in defiance of all predictions otherwise. 

When water vapor is fed into the storm; the storm then populates the dry air with water. That is why the tropics are starving for water. 

From the beginning of this blow I have addressed the complex systems as "Heat Transfer Systems." That is exactly what is happening. The water vapor trail entering the 'system' of Danny is transferring heat to the oceans through the dynamics of the storm. Water is the one component to the physics that will build the system.   

Above to the right is a satellite view of Danny at August 21, 2015 at 0630.19z. (click here) It is easy to see the FAINT water vapor trail from South American to the storm. Danny at this particular time is a Tropical Storm, but, it had fixed it's water vapor source regardless of the dry air north of the storm. Kindly note the additional water vapor trail north, but, attached to the storm. So, the Tropical Storm Danny was well supported and it was being feed with plenty of water vapor to fuel the velocity. 


This is Danny's traverse across the Atlantic. It was fairly puny until it reached the water vapor rich air South America. As soon as it met the water vapor source off South American it rapidly accelerated.

Now, the water vapor Danny is working very hard to hold on to and distribute in the regional air mass, the next storms will have an easier time accelerating it's velocity because there is a richer population of water vapor molecules available to support that next storm.

This is not the normal progress of hurricanes before 2006. Storms of the past had a rich water vapor source at the surface of Earth. That is not the case today in 2015. Today, the heat has to be intense enough (and today the direct solar rays are more important to begin the spin) to spawn a desperately thirsty storm to begin the season. 

August 21, 2015
By Doyle Rice

Danny's winds strengthened to 115 mph,(click here) making it a Category 3 hurricane as it spins toward the Caribbean, the National Hurricane Center said Friday.

This now qualifies the hurricane as a "major" hurricane, which is defined as any storm of Category 3, 4 or 5 strength. A crew aboard a "hurricane hunter" aircraft, which flew into the storm, confirmed the hurricane's strength Friday afternoon.

As of 2 p.m. ET, Danny was located 900 miles east of the Caribbean's Leeward Islands and was slowly moving to the west-northwest at 10 mph. On its current track, the storm will move across islands such as Guadeloupe, Montserrat, and Antigua and Barbuda by Monday.

Danny should "weaken below hurricane strength as it approaches the Caribbean islands," the hurricane center said. The storm could actually deliver needed rain to many of the parched Caribbean islands, including Puerto Rico, much of which is in a drought.

Despite its wind speeds, "Danny is a tiny hurricane," the hurricane center said. "Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 10 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 60 miles."...

If a climatologist can't understand the new high velocity storms and insists on defining them based in old world process, he or she doesn't belong in the business. The hurricanes of 2005 are extinct.

The American Public has to have 60 days to review the trade agreements. I don't it passing by December.

Representative Rosa DeLauro has been strongly against the TPP. She states the agreement can't go forward without terms regarding monetary policy. She states if the currency issues continue there will be more and more American jobs lost. 

The USA's communities has to hold on to their local economies, energy initiatives and government that protects it. There are provisions in the first draft of the TPP that were to destroy the local economies of the USA. The provisions would allow Wall Street to bring in their merchandise to stores without any choice otherwise.

These agreements are going to require the best of local governments to approach the illegal impingement against American rights.

August 20, 2015
By Vicki Needham

Democratic Rep. Rosa DeLauro (Conn.) (click here) said Thursday that Vietnam's recent currency devaluation is another reason for using trade agreements to stop the practice.

DeLauro, who is campaigning against the 12-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) — of which Vietnam is a part — said that without action by the Obama administration, dropping currency values will continue to hurt American workers.

"We will see time and again what we have seen over the past nine days: that when one country devalues its currency, it causes a domino effect throughout the region and American workers suffer the consequences," DeLauro said.

She said that the deliberate lowering of currency values is "cheating" that "will only exacerbate our trade deficit and cost us jobs."

This week, the State Bank of Vietnam lowered the value of its currency, the dong, by about 1 percent against the dollar — the third adjustment this year — following the depreciation of China's yuan last week.

She said it's another reminder of the "lengths that Vietnam, and other Asian countries including partners to the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), will go to ensure that their goods are subsidized at the expense of American jobs.

"This administration must not allow Vietnam and other nations to continue to game the system and destroy our manufacturing industry," DeLauro said....

Currency stability is becoming an overlay to the defeat of the trade agreement.

August 22, 2015

...Groser's diplomacy has been more nuanced. (click here) This is not surprising given he is heading off to Kuala Lumpur this weekend for an Asean meeting where a Southeast Asian group-led meeting will endeavour to make more progress on the rival Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) in which China is also a participant.

At the Amcham dinner Key said he would be concerned if the deal was not done by Christmas. He said it was really down to three or four leaders who could make it happen; the most influential by a significant margin is President Barack Obama.

It's Key's contention that Obama sees the deal as forming part of his presidential legacy along with the Iran deal and Obamacare, and was prepared to devote political capital to get it across the line....

The majority of the activity is voyeurism, not infidelity. There is just too many women in India to take this seriously.

Add caption
Ashley Madison usage in a map. Most of the men in the rest of the world were calling women in India. That is funny. India's call centers were busy with calls of infidelity.

August 21, 2015

...Several searchable (click here) databases of names, emails and sexual fantasies linked to the 9.7 gigabyte data leak had to shut down within minutes of going live because they could not cope with demand.

Data from the hack has even been mapped, revealing the popularity of the site in different towns and cities across the world. Users of a data map plotted by CartoDB can see how many people in their area allegedly have accounts with the adultery site (see map below)....

How many women made lots of money from Ashley Madison? Raise your hand. See, it's literally a CALL GIRL site.

Wow, "Thought Infidelity." Give me a break. 

Looks as though there will be a major confrontation with North Korea.

I hope there was an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council called. North Korea has been aggressive for some time now by pushing it's borders to surrounding islands and tampering with the DMZ. The current Leader, Kim Jong-un saw his father since a South Korean ship in May of 2010. So, the tensions have been escalating. This is more tampering with the DMZ by the north and it looks as though it may be a tipping point by both leaders.

In 2010, the global community, including China, told both Korean militarizes to exhibit restraint. There is a good chance China will not tolerate an escalation of tensions into war. China has acted before to end such outrageous disruptions of the peace on the peninsula. I hope China will once again find reasonable areas of compromise to end any violence. It would be absolutely horrible for the Korean Peninsula to slip into war. It would be devastating.

August 21, 2015

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un (click here) on Friday declared his frontline troops in a "quasi-state of war" and ordered them to prepare for battle a day after the most serious confrontation between the rivals in years.
South Korea's military on Thursday fired dozens of artillery rounds across the border in response to what Seoul said were North Korean artillery strikes meant to back up a threat to attack loudspeakers broadcasting anti-Pyongyang propaganda.
The North's declaration Friday is similar to its other warlike rhetoric in recent years, including repeated threats to reduce Seoul to a "sea of fire," and the huge numbers of soldiers and military equipment already stationed along the border mean the area is always essentially in a "quasi-state of war." Still, the North's apparent willingness to test Seoul with military strikes and its recent warning of further action raise worries because South Korea has vowed to hit back with overwhelming strength should North Korea attack again....
A rare photograph of an elephant family visiting the carcass of a recently killed elephant. Some wildlife biologists believe elephants are emotionally close to humans and actually mourn their dead. These elephants have made repeated nightly visits to their recently deceased family member.
Credit: CBS
August 22, 2015

MOMBASA, Kenya (AP) " A Kenyan court (click here) has released on bail a man suspected to be a high level operative in illegal ivory trafficking in the region, causing an uproar among wildlife conservationists who fear that he may flee or interfere with witnesses.
Magistrate Davis Karani released the suspect, Feisal Mohammed Ali, on Friday on a $100,000 bond at a Mombasa court after eight months in custody.
Ali was arrested in December in Tanzania in connection with illegal elephant tusks weighing more than 2 tons that were found during a raid last year.
Ali was listed by Interpol as a most-wanted trafficker of ivory. The police group alleged that Ali is the leader of an ivory smuggling ring.