Wednesday, August 29, 2012

While we are assigning lessons to the GOP, there is one about Ryan everyone needs to learn.

The Medicare plan Ryan states he developed is simplistic mathematics and will never work.

If I may?

The Affordable Care Act has extended the life of Medicare until 2023.

Ryan states he will provide Medicare as we know it to all those over 55 years old.

Assuming people will retire and take Medicare at the age of 65, that means there is ten years of solvency as Medicare is today. Ten years of solvency. That is what President Obama has brought to Medicare through the Affordable Care Act.

Now, let's pause and think about this a minute.

1, 2, 3, 4, 5,...60 seconds.


Ryan wants to let Medicare stand until it runs out of solvency. That is why he chose the age 55 and younger. There is no miracle to his calculations, he simply took out a calculator to make sure he got the numbers right and punched in 65 - 10 = 55.  That is all Ryan did. He then took the monies Medicare currently takes in from year to year and divided the number of participants coming into Medicare from the age of 55 and younger. The number out of his calculator was $7000.00.

So, Ryan plans to run Medicare into insolvency and then provide a 'pay out' to the number of new participants each year for the monies taken in and divided between them.

There is one FATAL FLAW. Figure it out yet?

Let's pause and think about this a minute.

1, 2, 3, ...

...60. Got it?

I do.

You see, Ryan in all his fiscal genius calculated that Medicare will run into insolvency in ten years. 

True, but, ONLY if The Affordable Care Act stays in effect during all those ten years.

Romney / Ryan states they will repeal the Affordable Care Act. Guess what?

Ryan won't have ten years after they repeal the Affordable Care Act. 

What will the 'Fiscal Wonder Boys' do then?

Obama: Osama bin Laden Dead - Full Video

CNN: 2001, President George W. Bush 'Bin Laden, Wanted dead or alive'

Condi Rice is still in profound denial about the truth.

I want to hear Condi Rice apologize for the gross misdirection of USA foreign policy under Bush/Cheney and admit there was no WMD in Iraq.

She stated the young democracy of Iraq is surrounded by hostile nations now with the Arab Spring. 

Sure and my name is George Washington.


Democracy? You've got to be joking!

BAGHDAD (AP) — Attackers killed six Iraqi security officials including an army general on Wednesday, officials said, the latest wave of insurgent attacks aimed at undermining the central government.
The deadliest attack of the day came in the city of Kirkuk, where three policemen were killed and six wounded. City police commander Sarhad Qadir said their convoy hit a roadside bomb.
Kirkuk is 290 kilometers (180 miles) north of Baghdad.
The general died in a drive-by shooting in Baghdad. Police said Brig. Gen. Nadhum Tayeh was driving to work in the morning when a carload of gunmen opened fire, killing him....

The Iraq Civil War rages on!!!!!!!!!  Who do you think attacked the general in Baghdad?  It wasn't al Qaeda. I guarantee that. 

BAGHDAD: Iraq's Kurdistan regional government (click here) threatened to stop its share of national oil exports again at the start of September, claiming Baghdad has continued to hold off on payments to oil companies, as the two sides continue a long-running dispute.
"We are moving ahead to stop oil exports at the start of September, because until this moment we didn't receive any sign Baghdad will approve payments for oil companies working in the region," a senior Kurdistan government official said on Tuesday.
Iraq's uneasy federal union is being tested as the central government has a long-standing disagreement with autonomous Kurdistan in the north over control of oil and territory along their internal border.
Baghdad maintains it alone has the right to export Iraqi crude. But Kurdistan has moved ahead with signing exploration deals with oil majors such as Exxon and Chevron, which the central government rejects as illegal.
In April Kurdistan halted exports, saying Baghdad had not made payments to companies working there, but it restarted shipments on Aug. 7 with a warning they could be halted again in a month if there were no payments....

The ONLY place in Iraq where a reasonable quality of life exists is the neighbor to Saudi Arabia where the Sunnis have their autonomous existence. Saudi Arabia assisted the Sunnis of Anbar to find water and their own economy. 

Iraq is still fighting the war that started with the USA and its Coalition of the Wiling invaded Iraq. The civil war still raging which the USA did nothing but postpone while costing over 5000 deaths and ten times that in injured and maimed American soldiers and still others hell bend on suicide. 

How Condi Rice can put honor to the actions of revenge and greed in killing fields that were valued for their oil is beyond any imagination of integrity. The Republicans not only believe their own lies, but, they intend for the rest of the world to believe it to.

Security improvements in Anbar allow thousands of families to celebrate Eid (click here)

We don't belong in Iraq.

We never did!

Isaac has found its own water vapor source. The heated summer waters of the Gulf Coast.

August 29, 2012
UNISYS Visual Southeast Satellite (click here for 12. hour loop)

The eye is over wetlands. I think Earth wants the wetlands back again!

Land Area Change in Coastal Louisiana (1932 to 2010 - video - click here)

Approximately (click title to entry - thank you) 40 percent of the coastal wetlands of the lower forty-eight states are located in Louisiana. Unfortunately, this fragile environment is disappearing at an alarming rate. Louisiana has lost up to 40 square miles of marsh per year for several decades – that’s 80 percent of the nation’s annual coastal wetland loss. To date, Louisiana has already lost coastal land area equal to the size of the state of Delaware. This loss is at an average rate of an acre every 38 minutes. If the current rate of loss is not slowed by the year 2040, an additional 800,000 acres of wetlands will disappear, and the Louisiana shoreline will advance inland as much as 33 miles in some areas.

Below is the UNISYS Water Vapor North and West Hemisphere Satellite of 2330:00z on August 29, 2012 (click here for 12 hour loop)

All the circulations centers, including named storms are finding autonomous water vapor sources. There are two on the same latitude; one in the Atlantic and one in the Pacific. The white dot near Hawaii is on the same latitude as the white dot east of the Lesser Antilles at approximately 18.5 North. Ileana in the Pacific has strengthened to 60 knots per hour. Kirk in the Atlantic is at 25.3 latitude and there is one circulation north of Kirk east of Delaware in the water vapor trail of Isaac. 

The storms other than Issac are not making landfall, but, the point is they are finding autonomy without being in the same water vapor trail. Isaac is as happy as a drunk in a wine cellar. What a mess. Get people out of the flood waters. Please. Thank you.

The Direct Solar Rays Simulator (click here) has them at 8.6 degrees North on August 29. But, the intensity of those sun rays still extends above the Tropic of Cancer where twin storms at 18 degrees North exist.

Ileana may make landfall into the Baja Peninsula and Isaac is moving slowly north.

August 29, 2012
UNISYS Enhanced Infrared GOES East Satellite (click here for 12 hour loop)

The circulation center east of the Lesser Antilles is moving fast and organizing to be a large storm. It is southeast of Kirk. As a named storm it would be Leslie. I don't know how the Hurricane Center is doing it. There is a lot of activity on both coasts of North America. 

Leslie would be under the direct solar rays and it is making that a huge storm.

Mexican authorities needs to pay attention to Ileana. It's bands are reaching the Baja now in limited amounts.

There is probably another circulation center southeast of Ileana.

Isaac is creating a disaster of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and coastal North Carolina.

Isaac started on August 21, 2012 at 0900z. It is a long lived storm. 

 32  29.00  -89.70 08/29/03Z   70   968 HURRICANE-1
32A  29.00  -90.00 08/29/05Z   70   969 HURRICANE-1
32B  29.00  -90.00 08/29/07Z   70   968 HURRICANE-1

The lowest central pressure was 968 less than 24 hours ago. It moved north one degree over the past 17 hours.  Its speed has dropped by 20 mph. If Isaac continues to move north it will slow with rising central pressure and basically just dissipate. Unbelievable as that sounds right now; it will become clear skies.
35A  30.10  -91.10 08/30/00Z   50   977 TROPICAL STORM

Isaac's status is currently the reading above. If people don't drown in this storm it will be an amazing act of vigilance by all involved. I congratulate them and thank you.

Who let the American people down, exactly?

THU APR 19, 2012 AT 07:23 AM PDT

Connection with: GOP Filibuster, DREAM Act & McConnell Agenda: Obama One-Term President (click title to entry - thank you)

by keepingthemhonest

Wow, Isaac is stalled over Louisiana. North Carolina has dropping barometric pressure across the state.

August 29, 2012
UNISYS Water Vapor GOES East Satellite (click title to entry for 12 hour loop - thank you)

New Orleans levies are getting a work out today.

Look, this is not stabilized. Isaac is building strength off Louisiana and its reach is connected to a water vapor trail to the Arctic Circle.

The longer Isaac stays in a singular location the more the storm surge will build and the more pounding the new sea walls/levies will receive. This is very different than the dynamics of Katrina. The surge will revisit and revisit and revisit with every turn of the storm.

The water vapor trail is consolidating off shore of North Carolina and the barometric pressure across the state is falling. I haven't checked all the other states under that water vapor trail yet, but, there is a chance Isaac will sustain in the Gulf and collect strength from a self-generated water vapor source of North Carolina.

There are tornado warnings across the entire area of Isaac where it is over landfall. That is dangerous and needs to be respected. the more the low pressure 'stabilizes' in location the more dangerous it becomes.

Hurricane Isaac Whips Storm Surge en Route to New Orleans (click here)

Published 3:05 a.m., Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Aug. 29 (Bloomberg) -- Hurricane Isaac unleashed a storm surge of as much as 11 feet (3.4 meters) and strong winds as it made landfall for a second time enroute to New Orleans.
The storm was 70 miles (110 kilometers) south of New Orleans, Louisiana, the National Hurricane Center said in a report at 2 a.m. local time. The position of Isaac “wobbled” to the west after it made landfall at the Plaquemines Parish in southeastern Louisiana, and the eye was back over water as of 1 a.m. before making landfall again.
“Isaac has moved little over the past couple of hours,” the center said. “But a slow northwestward motion is expected to resume later this morning.”...

August 29, 2012
UNISYS Water Vapor North and West Hemisphere Satellite (click here for 12 hour loop)

There are five major circulation centers in this hemisphere with four within the same water vapor trail, including Issac.That tells me there is a lot of stabilization of this front. 

Within the stagnant water vapor trail is the circulation center off North Carolina, Isaac, two storms in the East Pacific. The more autonomous storm is Kirk in the Atlantic which is experiencing significant oscillation and reorganization.There is also a developing tropical disturbance off Africa. 

The circulation west of Mexico is Tropical Storm Ileana. Ileana is still building and increased its wind speed 10 knots in the last nine hours with a central pressure of 985.

In the Atlantic, Kirk is a Tropical Storm with winds of 40 knots with a falling central pressure of 1007. It is a weak storm.

The combination of these three major storms carries huge amounts of water and dynamics that are stalling Isaac over Louisiana. The people in the area of Louisiana needs to find a safe place above sea level. The continued hammering by Isaac will not cause sea wall/levy failure unless there is considerable 'water height' behind these walls. The weight of the water ALONG WITH the PUSH of the winds will cause increasing pressure against the walls. HOWEVER, while there is a build up of water behind the walls, there is also water flowing out of the system to the Gulf. BUT, the real 'water pressure' against those walls will be realized IF there are continually rising levels. 

The Army Corp has to determine the HEIGHT of water these walls will sustain realizing the water is also being pushed IN A SINGULAR direction within those walls.

It is a strange concept at work within the sea walls/levies. But, it is a fluid dynamic of VECTOR forces in one direction along with increased weight of the water HEIGHT. Increased height and INCREASING height will prove the extent the weight of the water will increase vector forces on those walls.

To put it plainly, it is a PILING UP of water, its vector forces and weight against the sea walls/levies. I don't know the tensile strength of the sea walls/venies, but, there is a sustainable FORCE that will add to the dangers of the containment.

Lake Ponchartain has to be watched for flood limits, too. The movement of water from heights into areas behind the sea walls/levies can cause added weight to the vector force winds.

The system is stabilized and building force because Earth has a high heat component now entering the ocean and gulf waters. It is going to be awhile. People need to move out of low lying areas while it is still possible, simply for their own safety. It is precautions that is necessary. They should be able to move around with a Cat 1 storm. Flying debris will reduce the longer the winds exist simply because everything that was going to be moved from a stationary position has already done so. It is the potential for tornadoes that can be spontaneous, but, far less so in the sustained winds area.

The coastal areas of North Carolina is getting sustained rains as well. The height of the ocean along the coast may prove to cause damage to beaches and will close coastal roads. The rains connected with the storms in North Carolina can't be under estimated at this point. The system offshore of NC is currently reaching to Raleigh. That makes the storm system growing to be fairly large with a potential foot print at least 150 to 200 miles in diameter. Here again the largest part of the storm is over the ocean with potential effects of sustained winds along the beaches and beach roads.

Take care and good luck.