Monday, September 14, 2015

It goes like this:

Let's say there are normally one million Republican Primary voters.

Donald Trump is drawing crowds of 20 thousand at ever stop. There are more supporters outside the rally that aren't counted.

His nearest competitor is Ben Carson. His rallies attract about 1100 maybe. 

The polls are conducted with a representative population of Republicans. Let's say there are about 2000 people which is a good size population. The other candidates are achieving variety of rallies with numbers average 800 per rally. Some less, some more. 

The standard polling population has a history. All the candidates show up in the polls because they represent the average Republican. However, Donald Trump is a celebrity attracting a number of people never seen before. These folks are new populations to the Republicans. 

The polls have always reflected the actual outcome in the past. That won't happen because there are new populations of people moving into the Republican primary. Donald Trump's numbers are so skewed it appears in the polls as increasing support among the electorate, but, there is no accuracy to know what his numbers actually are. The Republican polls are picking up all the other candidates, but, Donald Trump population is not reasonable to know.

I think Trump's numbers are actually higher than they appear. If his are higher then the others' numbers are lower. The primaries are going to have to tell the tale and will correct the polls. 

The first debate drew approximately 17 million new viewers that are Americans. Those people are Trumps'. Even if half of those people are his alone, the poll numbers don't reflect that REALITY. How does anyone factor in 8.5 million to 17 million new people? It isn't possible.

Holy smokes, that's the rally?

It is impressive.

I saw him the other day walking into meeting areas and he was absolutely swamped by people. I think it is time his campaign sets up rope lines to organize the crowd and make it easier for his body guards. It isn't rude, it is a safety measure and more people will be able to shake his hand. The crowd won't be able to walk with him. He'll have to go down the line and he will meet be able to have more people exposed to his presence. It really is a safety issue. 

Who is going to be the Vice Presidential candidate? 

Donald Trump has sheer numbers. It's a democracy folks. 

The polls where Democratic candidates are matched to Republican candidates are invalid. Donald Trump is a statistical outlier. 

The election polls are based on a population of people representative of the electorate. Donald Trump brings his own population to the polls. No poll conducted will reflect the reality of the election.

If Donald Trump holds on to his 'fan club' thus far, he'll win everything. 

No poll can accurately reflect the potential election of such huge numbers. It is not possible to know his impact until the actual primaries. 

The USA is a democracy. It happens. 

The only way a legitimate poll can begin to reflect the elections is an analysis of his crowd numbers with others in the same field. Then include a fraction/percentage digit to each candidate in the polls and it will reflect a greater accuracy. However, this rally in Texas has admitted the maximum possible. That means there are more people who wanted to attend the rally, but, didn't.

He's an outlier. He is always on the debate stage unless his rally numbers crash. It doesn't look as though that is going to happen.
Rick Perry. It is unfortunate, but, he isn't electable no matter how much he tries. It would be good if he would reflect on that reality and write a book. Perhaps the book writing may help him realize why Texas politics doesn't lend itself to national politics. Except, of course if one is a Bush. I wish him luck.

Four years ago he announced his ambitions. I saw a man confront his decision with culture shock. The Texas politics are steeped in Evangelical money and belief. But, that dynamic does not deliver a candidate prepared for the national stage. He may have been taking pain killers, but, that is an oddity. Was the procedure he received approved by the CDC? Experimental medicine at the human level should be met by approval of the CDC and/or the FDA depending the product.

One of these days Texas will actually have the insight to realize they stand far outside mainstream America and it's values.

He's sold out and has tailgating. It is getting interesting.

September 14, 2015
By Jake Carter

...Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump (click here) greets followers tailgating outdoors Jack Trice Stadium earlier than the beginning of the Iowa State College versus College of Iowa soccer recreation on September 12, 2015 in Ames, Iowa.
Almost 20,000 people are expected to attend the rally itself, but before that thousands more are expected to march from across town in protest of the candidate. The event is sold out, but some tickets are selling for 100-dollars online. We will show him that Americans believe in inclusion and being a country of immigrants ” said Domingo Garcia, President of LULAC Council 102 and a co-march organizer.
He leads the crowded field of 16 candidates on the GOP side with 27 percent support....

I really thought there might be people involved with Donald Trump that actually plan to elect another candidate. But, this is something. Now that he has stated he will not run independently I expected his popularity to wane. It isn't. He is just as solidly positioned as any other time before his announcement to run as the Republican nominee.

They are having a good time. No one with the Trump campaign has provided tailgate food. These are people that actually are enjoying the movement. Tailgating tells me the people are enjoying each other, building friendships and enjoying the political movement. This is interesting. I am happy for him and his supporters. They believe in what they are doing. He has a clear message to them otherwise they would not be tailgating in the parking lot.

The ticket scalping is odd for a political figure. Being sold is not necessarily sold.

I think he is still an unknown in a general election. He has staying power. Even with his current trending he may find a wider base of support.

I have said from the beginning I hope he has a good time with his campaign. He hasn't disappointed his followers or himself yet. It will be another record attendance for the GOP debate.

If his following actually registers to vote any opposition to his campaign is going to be challenged to match 'his base.'

The politics of Huckabee includes law breaking and victimization.

September 14, 2015

MOREHEAD, Ky. (AP) — A defiant Kentucky clerk (click here) said Monday she will not interfere with her deputies if they keep issuing marriage licenses to same-sex couples, but she declared they will not be authorized by her and questioned their validity.

It was Rowan County Clerk Kim Davis' first day back in the office after a stint in jail for five days for defying a federal judge.

"I don't want to have this conflict. I don't want to be in the spotlight. And I certainly don't want to be a whipping post," Davis said, reading from a hand-written statement outside the courthouse where she works. "I am no hero. I'm just a person that's been transformed by the grace of God, who wants to work, be with my family. I just want to serve my neighbors quietly without violating my conscience."

Davis, an Apostolic Christian, stopped issuing licenses after the Supreme Court effectively legalized gay marriage. U.S. District Judge David Bunning held her in contempt and ordered her to jail. In her absence, her deputies issued at least seven licenses to gay couples and altered the forms to exclude Davis' name....

Titilation of Americans guarantees profits.

She is becoming a leader, don't stop now.

As the star of the "sex and dragons" (click here) drama Game Of Thrones, Emilia Clarke has disrobed in the name of her art numerous times, but she has now called for fewer explicit scenes on TV.

"Sex scenes should be more subtle," the 28-year-old tells me at a party in Mayfair.

"I'm British, so I cringe at that sort of thing anyway - I can't stand it."
The businesswoman's daughter from Berkshire - who has been seen on the show rising naked from a fire and breastfeeding dragons, adds: "I don't want to have sex thrown in my face and I've always thought the suggestion is so much more titillating than the act itself."

Clarke, who plays the exiled princess Daenerys Targaryen, refused to appear in any more topless shots in the drama two years ago, according to her co-star Oona Chaplin, who disclosed that Emilia had told programme bosses she "wanted to be known for my acting, not my breasts".

Clarke adds: "Most sex scenes you see in films or on TV are gratuitous and they're usually just to attract an audience....

Ticket scapling Pope Francis.

Everything is money in the USA. Everything. There isn't even reverence for Pope Francis. His visit is viewed as an opportunity for profit. Spirituality? Pope Francis' message is expected to received with brevity. Really?

September 12, 2015
NEW YORK (AP) " New York officials have joined Cardinal Timothy Dolan(click here) in condemning the selling of tickets to see Pope Francis' motorcade during his upcoming visit to New York City.
About 80,000 tickets were dispersed through a city-sponsored lottery system for the pope's Sept. 25 procession through Central Park.
Tickets were being sold on secondary markets such as eBay and Craigslist for thousands of dollars soon after lottery winners were notified.
Dolan, the archbishop of New York, says tickets were free for a reason " to give as many people as possible the chance to participate in the pope's visit, including those with "modest means."
Sen. Daniel Squadron says the ticket scalping is in direct conflict with the spiritual leader's message.
Sen. Chuck Schumer commended eBay's decision to ban pope event tickets....

Asking pretty please does not work.

There are three known deaths affiliated with Blue Bell ice cream. Infractions in standards are caught, recorded and demands made, but, the actions have to include fines immediately unless the problems are corrected immediately.

...‘Recurring problems’

The Tulsa World (click here) submitted an open records request to the Oklahoma Department of Agriculture, Food, and Forestry, for all documents related to inspections of the Broken Arrow facility dating back to 2010.
Among items noted at the Broken Arrow plant were recurring correspondence to the facility’s management that unnecessary equipment was being stored in the plant’s mix processing area.
The issue was among the items noted in a March 18, 2014, letter from the Oklahoma department’s environmental programs specialist to the Blue Bell plant’s quality control manager.
The issue was referred to as a “recurring problem” that the department requested Blue Bell’s cooperation in correcting.
The documents also included a March 27, 2012, inspection report that noted an individual at a half-gallon filler with bare arms covered in chocolate.
Stromberg said that when correspondence is sent to companies outlining the department’s observations that need to be corrected, the facility is expected to correct the issues and the department will follow up on the results....

The perversion of the American press is detectable.

To a certain extent, (click here) the old adage “out of sight, out of mind” is unavoidable for anyone, but we don’t think it’s an exaggeration to say that Western society and especially the American public, exhibit a generalized ignorance to events taking place beyond their borders that’s completely out of synch with the degree to which most Westerners have easy access to information. That is, if the US public cared to know what was going on outside of suburbia and beyond the Starbucks drive-throughs and the strip mall Targets they most certainly could find out, but that would likely mean discovering all manner of really inconvenient and often disturbing things and so, at the end of the day, willful ignorance allows everyone to perpetuate the myth that everything is fine. For its part, the media is more than happy to expose harsh realities as long as they’re conducive to ratings so, for instance, “unarmed black teen shot 18 times by angry white police officer” works well, while “Syria’s bloody civil war continues unabated” does not because to the largely ignorant public, Syria might as well be Mars and if for some inexplicable reason, life or death ended up coming down to being able to correctly identify Syria on an unlabeled map, well, it would be time to start praying....

Propaganda has come to the USA to stay to lead voters by the nose. It is partisan.

The best propaganda rag by far is "The National Enquirer." They currently are chancing Tom Selleck in the new watergate. (click here for their facebook site)  

"Jeb Bush violated Florida Law in regard to e-mails."

"Morning Papers"

The Rooster


"Careerism" is part of the game to take Hillary down. Individuals are due to gain if Hillary Clinton is defeated. It is called corruption. 

I think most those that actually realize Hillary Clinton is the best candidate in the field are not surprised of the domination of the 'tabloid' component to most if not all of the reporting surrounding her.

Joe Scarborough is among the best examples of those in the Republican party that are so heavily invested in 'the lie' they believe it and propagate it. I really think it is up to the campaign to demand equal time from all these media sources. 

The campaign should have a written contract based in 'truth telling' to correct the continued propaganda. All these sources are achieving goals that lead to profits. They can't be allowed to continue to lie.

Let's face it, the media allowed and propagated the 'idea' Iraq was responsible for September 11th. To this day that lie continues to bring in voters to elections. The demand for 'clearing' Hillary Clinton of their lies has to be at least six months in length since they have gotten six months of unprecedented income and popularity from same.

The 'reverse campaign' has to be as long and with has much fervor as the lies and SLANDER.

BROCK: (click here) Our charter is conservative misinformation wherever you find it, and as far as coverage of the Clintons go, there's been a lot of misinformation in The New York Times, particularly in the last few months, where really on three occasions, Hillary Clinton was accused of, essentially, criminal conduct. All of those stories fake and wrong, having walked back by The New York Times. And, I think, if you go back and really scrutinize the coverage, as I do in this book, the inescapable conclusion is that there's an institutional bias there against the Clintons. And, I think, with The New York Times, it's the newspaper of record, it's the gold standard. And it has a liberal editorial line. So you put all that together, and it's uniquely damaging, I think, to have a Republican operatives manipulating a paper like that.

"Good Night, Moon"

New Moon

0.7 Day Old Moon

0.6 percent lit 

As if the Tetrad of the Moon weren't enough to worry many, there is also a Supermoon on September 28, 2015

...In North America, (click here) we often call the August full moon the Sturgeon Moon, Corn Moon or Grain Moon. The August 2015 full moon is also the first of three full-moon supermoons in 2015. Previously, we had three new moon supermoons in January, February and March, 2015. The full moons on August 29, September 28 and October 27 all enjoy the supermoon designation because the centers of these full moons and the center of Earth are less than 361,836 kilometers (224,834 miles) apart. The closest supermoon of the year comes with the September 28 full moon, presenting a moon that’s only 356,877 kilometers (221,753 miles) from Earth....

Here is a tad bit more about religions attachment to the Supermoon, etc. It is Judeo - Christian based. 

...In 2015, (click here) the Jewish religious year begins with the total solar eclipse March 20, 2015, then two weeks later the third total lunar eclipse occurs on Passover, April 4, 2015, and then the civil year beginning with the partial solar eclipse on September 13, 2015 followed two weeks later by the fourth total blood red moon on the Feast of Succoth, September 28, 2015....