Sunday, November 10, 2019

The losses of Taku are profound and validate the warning of the IPCC of 2030.

Dr. Maynard Miller was an exceptionally bright guy. He went on to teach and every summer for eight weeks from May through August he would carry out a transect of the Juneau Icefields.

The records of that transect went into a permanent record of the icefields that are part of the USA. The program was partly funded by NASA to propagate young scientists and accumulate the records of the icefields.

The program’s success (click here) lies partly in its approach to education - learning from Nature, in Nature. This is also the key point of the Emersonian Triangle. In his 1837 oration, The American Scholar, Ralph Waldo Emerson enunciated three primary influences on scholarly development and effectiveness: Nature, Books, and Action. He proposed that Nature is the ultimate arbiter of truth, the source from which knowledge is obtained. Books are the transcript of our accumulated knowledge of Nature. And he believed Action is required of the scholar to investigate Nature, thereby adding to the body of knowledge.

In 2004, the Juneau icefields were primarily losing "mass balance." The terminus (the most distal end of the glacier) of the Lambert Glacier was sadly reduced and it could be easily noted visually by the mound of rock in the lake where it once pushed in front of that leading edge.

However, the Taku Glacier was growing in mass balance. It was accumulating larger and larger amounts of snow that would over time become glacial ice. The snow a glacier receives is called recharge. The Taku Glacier was receiving far more snow than the rest of the icefield, but, why? Why would a glacier higher in elevation than the others and certainly far higher in elevation than the Lambert Glacier be receiving more recharge? That is counter to what normally occurs.

Normally, the higher in elevation a glacier is the less snow it receives and the less the recharge is to the glacier itself. It is plenty cold at those higher elevations, so what's the deal?

One of the reasons is that Taku was a tidewater glacier (click here). Tidewater glaciers have their own unique cycles of melting and retreating and then recharging to establish a longer profile and a terminus that leads to where meltwater will run. The Taku glacier was also not in touch with the North Pacific which was warming. It's terminus was in relatively cold water all the time. But, that is just the terminus, right? What about the rest of the glacier?

The Taku Glacier was receiving far larger amounts of snow than the other glaciers. Why? Because the snowfall was moving up in elevation. The lower elevations were seeing far less snow. Why? Because the air was warming.

The Juneau Icefields are what is considered "Temperate Glaciers."

A temperate glacier (click here) (as opposed to a polar glacier) is a glacier that’s essentially at the melting point, so liquid water coexists with glacier ice. A small change in temperature can have a major impact on temperate glacier melting, area, and volume. Temperate glaciers exist on the continents of North America, South America, Europe, Africa, and Asia, on both islands of New Zealand, and on the island of Irian Jaya. Additionally, some of the glaciers of the Antarctic Peninsula and some of Greenland’s southern outlet glaciers are temperate.


The Juneau Icefields are the closest in proximity to the North Pacific Ocean.

Juneau can be seen on the map and the icefields are just north of Juneau and easily discerned here. So what? So, What? So, what?

My, my. The oceans have a profound effect on the climate of Earth. Icefields situated that close to a warming ocean will definitely show signs of a changing climate. They will show signs profoundly. That is why I went to Juneau. I wanted to know first hand if indeed these glaciers were ailing. Were they declining, stable or increasing.

What was discovered year after year is that the Taku Glacier was increasing in mass balance and all the other glaciers were decreasing. Taku was receiving the benefits of a warming climate because the snow was falling at far higher altitudes/elevations, adding to Taku's snow accumulation and it's increase in ice volume. Taku was not a sign that the climate was stable or improving, it solidly provided year after year, Earth was in trouble with a warming Pacific Ocean and air temperatures from melting ice that could not mitigate the heat.

See, glaciers MITIGATE any heat increases of Earth, no different than hurricanes. Earth has interesting methods of physics to maintain a living atmosphere with Greenhouse Gases making it possible in the first place. The increase in GHG was causing an imbalance in Earth's ability to mitigate its climate and continue it's benevolence.

It should be alarming to everyone that Taku is showing the signs of deterioration/melting. It means Taku can no longer mitigate the heat and is succumbing to it. This is the loudest canary in the coal mine this planet ever had.

Forests are important.

Native Woody Plants of the United States, Their Erosion-Control and Wildlife Values (1938)



Yes, this is an old book, but, not a lot changes about roots, plants, trees and how they act to stabilize the very land human beings covet.

I have a lot of old books. Even old dictionaries. Why? Because they are like the Rock of Gibraltar, they are a continuous BASELINE that does not change. They are some of the best references I have. The library sales are where you'll find me. It is amazing what libraries sell to make room for new books. The old ones are worth their weight in gold, from an academic perspective.

But, as to EROSION in a time when parts of the USA are underwater more days then they are dry in the sunshine, this book will provide an understanding of how the land and trees have a relationship. Even some of the smallest plants are incredibly strong rooted.

Forests are important for more reasons than people realize.

The "USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map" is a strong indicator of CLIMATE.

The climate plants grow in is reflected in these maps. As the climate becomes warmer the hardiness zones migrate north from the warmer south. The protections of the forests will help push back against warming. Why?? Because trees are full of water and more importantly WATER PROCESSES THAT PRODUCE WATER VAPOR.

Walking into a forest under a canopy of leaves, the air is cooler and full of water vapor that makes it easier to breathe, too.

Every tree, shrub or herbaceous layer has a hardiness zone map, including those listed here for the discussion I have engaged all these months.

The 2012 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (click here) is the standard by which gardeners and growers can determine which plants are most likely to thrive at a location. The map is based on the average annual minimum winter temperature, divided into 10-degree F zones.
For the first time, the map is available as an interactive GIS-based map, for which a broadband Internet connection is recommended, and as static images for those with slower Internet access. Users may also simply type in a ZIP Code and find the hardiness zone for that area.
No posters of the USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map have been printed. But state, regional, and national images of the map can be downloaded and printed in a variety of sizes and resolutions....

There should be enough information now to understand how that tree was going to explode.

As I stated last week, the tree was burning from the inside. The white-hot fire can be seen at the base of the tree and then again at the top of the trunk on the left side. The fire at both those locations is lighter in color indicating to me it is the same fire at different parts of the tree.

The amazing part of that picture is that the trunk is intact. How can a fire be burning inside a tree trunk without first burning the bark?

PHYSICS.

The outer layer of the tree, especially one as beautifully majestic as this one has a strong layer of cambium just under the bark layer. The cambium is fluid. Before the cambium/bark burns in such an inferno, it has to first boil to reach the temperature where it will meet the temperature of the burning WOOD of the tree. The wood inside the tree is dry and lacking the kind of moisture of the cambium/bark.

An inferno like this where the wood is burning white-hot will cause the cambium to boil, expanding the fluid in the cambium hence exploding the cambium/bark layer.

Don't ever, ever, ever go into or near a burning inferno like this. It is extremely dangerous. I am sure fires fighters can tell stories of "popping noises" while the fire is being extinguished. Those noises are either exploding trees or imploding trees if they are cooled down quickly with water or retardants.

Leave the fire fighting to the people who know their business. Even they get trapped by wind and the unforgiving nature of fire and it's the ability to create it's own weather.

The Taku Glacier increased it's mass balance while the others in the Juneau Icefields reduced their mass balance.

To left:  Cumulative annual surface mass balance record of Taku Glacier (red) and Lemon Creek Glacier (blue).

A key measure (click here) of the mass balance of a glacier is the equilibrium line altitude (ELA). Mass balance for non-calving glaciers is the difference between snow accumulation on a glacier and snow and ice loss from the glacier. The ELA is the point at which accumulation equals melting. On temperate alpine glaciers this is the snowline where snow transitions to bare glacier ice. Its elevation at the end of the summer marks the annual ELA. For a glacier to be in equilibrium at least 50-70% of the glacier must be in the accumulation zone still at the end of the summer.

Dr. Maynard Miller (click here) was my mentor. He was an incredibly nice man with a very interesting wife. He taught out of the University of Idaho. Dr. Miller and his entourage of new scientists surveyed the Juneau Icefield every summer for eight weeks.

Once a glaciologist, always a glaciologist. Glaciology is considered the study of geology, because, ice is a rock in it's hardest state. Geology is the science that deals with the earth's physical structure and substance, its history, and the processes that act on it. Geologists are interesting folks. Personal opinion.

To the right (click here): Members of the first JIRP "high ice" expedition to the Juneau Icefield in the summer of 1948. Left to right: Maynard Miller, W. Laurence Miner, Lowell Chamberlain, Melvin G. Marcus, William A. Latady and Anthony W. Thomas. Photo taken at Camp 4 on "Hades Highway," the upper Twin Glaciers' neve. 

Lemon Creek Glacier, Alaska (click here) was chosen as a representative glacier for the 1958 IGY global glacier network.   This choice was based on its sub-arctic latitude and on the ongoing mass balance program of (JIRP) that had begun in 1948 (Miller, 1972; Pelto and Miller, 1990).  JIRP has continued annual balance measurements on Lemon Creek Glacier through the present (Fig. 2).   In 1957 Lemon Creek Glacier was 6.4 km long and had an area of 12.67 km2.  In 1998 the glacier was 5.6 km long and had an area of 11.8 km2 (Marcus et al., 1995).   From the head of the glacier at 1450 m to the mean ELA at 1050-1100 m the glacier flows northward, in the ablation zone the glacier turns westward terminating at 600 m.    The glacier can be divided into four sections: 1) Steep peripheral northern and western margins draining into the main valley portion of the glacier. 2) A low slope (40) upper accumulation zone from 1220 m to 1050 m.  3) A steeper section (60) in the ablation zone as the glacier turns west from 1050-850 m.  4) An icefall (180) leading to the two fingered termini at 600 m.  The maximum thickness exceeding 200 m is 1 km above the icefall (Miller, 1972).  Lemon Creek Glacier has retreated 1200 m since 1948 and 800 m since 1957, and has retreated an average of 10–13 m a-1 between 1998 and 2009  (Pelto et al 2013).

The outer layer of the tree is where all the "juice" is that brings growth to the girth/circumference of the tree.

The cambium cell layer (click here) is the growing part of the trunk. It annually produces new bark and new wood in response to hormones that pass down through the phloem with food from the leaves. These hormones, called “auxins”, stimulate growth in cells. Auxins are produced by leaf buds at the ends of branches as soon as they start growing in spring.

While much of the discussion about tree growth is about the rings and their width, there is also growth that brings height to the tree as well.

In realizing the outer layers of the tree is where all the growth occurs, realize that is not just the trunk of the tree, but, the same growth occurs in the branches and twigs all the way to the top of the tree. 

The fluid in the outer layers flows by negative gravity PRESSURE created by "evapotranspiration" in the leaves. As the fluid reaches the leaves, the leaves are losing fluid to the air, hence the transportation of the tree's life-giving fluids come from the roots, through the outer layer under the bark all the way up to the leaves. IT IS PHYSICS.

The map is of some of the base camps, but, it also names some of the glaciers.


Mendenhall Glacier (the glacier at the same elevation as Juneau)
(In degrees) 
Longitude: -134.54586
Latitude: 58.4409459

Elevation: 276m / 906 feet above sea level

Taku Glacier 

In degrees
Longitude: 134.1797 W
Latitude: 58.5950 N

Elevation: 1393 feet above sea level

This website does a good job at describing the parts of a tree in relation to wood ring layers.

...Xylem/Sapwood (click here)The xylem, or sapwood, comprises the youngest layers of wood. Its network of thick-walled cells brings water and nutrients up from the roots through tubes inside of the trunk to the leaves and other parts of the tree. As the tree grows, xylem cells in the central portion of the tree become inactive and die. These dead xylem cells form the tree’s heartwood.

Cambium
The cambium is a very thin layer of growing tissue that produces new cells that become either xylem, phloem or more cambium. Every growing season, a tree’s cambium adds a new layer of xylem to its trunk, producing a visible growth ring in most trees. The cambium is what makes the trunk, branches and roots grow larger in diameter.
Phloem/Inner Bark - This layer is most famous for providing the sap used to produce maple syrup.
The phloem or inner bark, which is found between the cambium and the outer bark, acts as a food supply line by carrying sap (sugar and nutrients dissolved in water) from the leaves to the rest of the tree.
BarkThe trunk, branches and twigs of the tree are covered with bark. The outer bark, which originates from phloem cells that have worn out, died and been shed outward, acts as a suit of armor against the world by protecting the tree from insects, disease, storms and extreme temperatures. In certain species, the outer bark also protects the tree from fire.

NASA Earth Observatory - the site has a slide to compare the Taku Glacier FIVE years apart.

For nearly four decades, (click here) Mauri Pelto has been studying the advance and retreat of glaciers around the globe. He has watched them succumb, one-by-one, to rising temperatures. Of 250 glaciers that he has watched, all had retreated (or shortened) except one: Taku Glacier.
Now a new analysis shows that Taku has lost mass and joined the rest of the retreating glaciers. “This is a big deal for me because I had this one glacier I could hold on to,” said Pelto, a glaciologist at Nichols College. “But not anymore. This makes the score climate change: 250 and alpine glaciers: 0.”
The natural-color images above show the glacier on August 20, 2014, and August 9, 2019. The images were acquired by the Operational Land Imager on Landsat 8. Though subtle, the changes are most visible at the boundaries between the glacier and river....
I was there the summer of 2004. There are reasons the Taku Glacier was the last of the hold outs. I'll get into it in the following entries.

This image names the different layers of rings of a tree.

This is probably a familiar picture of a tree. One of the earliest understandings given to children is the age-old tree and how counting the rings gives away how long the tree has lived.

The other understanding children are provided is the width of the ring can provide an understanding to when a drought or low rainfall occurred. The wider a particular tree ring the most rain that fell that year. The narrower the ring the less the tree grew and the less rain that fell.

The Taku Glacier is in the southeast of the Juneau Icefields, north of Juneau, Alaska, the state's capital.

For nearly four decades, (click here) Mauri Pelto has been studying the advance and retreat of glaciers around the globe. He has watched them succumb, one-by-one, to rising temperatures. Of 250 glaciers that he has watched, all had retreated (or shortened) except one: Taku Glacier.
Now a new analysis shows that Taku has lost mass and joined the rest of the retreating glaciers. “This is a big deal for me because I had this one glacier I could hold on to,” said Pelto, a glaciologist at Nichols College. “But not anymore. This makes the score climate change: 250 and alpine glaciers: 0.”
The natural-color images above show the glacier on August 20, 2014, and August 9, 2019. The images were acquired by the Operational Land Imager on Landsat 8. Though subtle, the changes are most visible at the boundaries between the glacier and river.
Taku stands north of Juneau, Alaska, and is one of 19 notable glaciers in the Juneau Icefield. (The area also includes the famous Mendenhall Glacier, which has experienced an unusually fast retreat—about one third of a mile in the past decade.) Taku is extremely thick: In fact, it is one of the thickest known alpine glaciers in the world, measuring 4,860 feet (1,480 meters) from surface to bed. It is also the largest glacier in the Juneau Icefield...
continued in a following entry - thank you
Last week, I stated this tree trunk was about to explode. I realized later, there are no reference points for readers of this blog to understand that statement.

I like people to understand.

So tonight, I will explore more about the tree and necessary information about caring for forests. Then I can proceed to continue to discuss the forests.

Pele's Daughter ~ Fire Dancing in Hawaii ~ SeaFire Poi Spinning and Hooping (click here for Hawaiian Culture on Pele - thank you)

It's Sunday Night

"Fire" The Pointer Sisters at The Attic 1981 (click here for official Facebook site - thank you)


I'm ridin' in your car
You turn on the radio
You're pullin' me close
I just say no
I say I don't like it
But you know I'm a liar
'Cause when we kiss
Ooooh, fire

Late at night
You're takin' me home
You say you wanna stay
I say I wanna be alone
I say I don't love you
But you know I'm a liar
'Cause when we kiss
Ooooh, fire

You had a hold on me
Right from the start
A grip so tight
I couldn't tear it apart
My nerves all jumpin'
Actin' like a fool
Well, your kisses they burn
But my heart stays cool


Romeo and Juliet

Samson and Delilah
Baby, you can bet
A love they couldn't deny
My words say split
But my words they lie
'Cause when we kiss
Ooooh, fire

Ooooh, fire
Hot Kisses like fire
Burn me up with fire
I like what you're doin' now
Fire
Touchin' me with
Fire
Touchin' me
Burnin' me
Fire
Take me home

With fire   

Hunter Biden will add to the number of Grown - Ups in the room.

Hunter Biden may want to testify at the impeachment hearing. But, if there is a request for Hunter Biden to testify, it can be satisfied with the televised interview he gave.

Americans may see the lack of Hunter's appearance as a weak point in the impeachment. The interview is right here.

Believe it or not, Hunter Biden is a grown-up and he doesn't consult with his Dad about his life.