Sunday, June 02, 2019

Aerial footage shows scale of destruction after tornado in Dayton, Ohio

I wanted to include this reality of Dayton, Ohio.




I mentioned Darwin. The Juncos have a large variety of plumage that is specific geographically. We know the Oregon variety is the dominant of all the others. Each of the others has some degree of the characteristic of the majority population.

The difference between the varieties are the trees where they nest and the food they consume.

The Oregon variety enjoys the temperate forest on the west coast which have a higher density of pines than the east coast. When a forest is temperate it supports more varieties of seeds and live food. The east coast has pines, in the case of New York state, it is the White Pine. 

The Oregon species has a hearty environment to nest and live. The New York species of "Slate Colored" Dark Eyed Junco has fewer pines trees, hence, fewer types of seeds and live food.

What occurred with these varieties is that they all started out like the Oregon species, but, were unable to survive among changing lands, trees and food sources, so each species adapted with their inherent genetic content. With each new plumage came a territory. That territory has a finite amount of calories for each bird that lives within that ecosystem. 

The available calories encouraged a robust plumage with an abundance of food while the palest color CHOSE to limit the number of calories available to the young as they were conceived and hatched. That CHOICE occurred because of the genetic basis for it's calorie use. It is not to say one species is heartier or healthier than another. It simply means as the calories available to a migrating species were realized, the genetic basis of the animals CHOSE it's best outcome. It was not a cognitive choice, it was a genetic choice.

I will continue to discuss the Slate Colored Dark Eyed Junco next week and it's habitat in New York State that supplies it's nesting environment and it's food source.

There are other indicator species, both plant and animal. I believe in examining this bird it will open up a greater understanding of the others.
This is the rarest of the Dark-Eyed Junco. It is the "White Wing." It has the least amount of color of this species.

It is the largest of this species. It is 12 percent larger than the Oregon species. It has the largest beak of all the varieties. It also has white stripes on its wings. When it flies it is more difficult to find against a white or blue sky if looking up from the ground.

It is a pale grey color with a variety of that grey throughout the body, chest and head. The tail has extensive white feathers.

The reason I chose this individual is that he appears to be slender under all those feathers. Body weight and survival, especially through winter and/or migration, matters. Birds have a very high demand for calories. When a food supply falls off, there needs to be an alternative source otherwise the birds will fail.

The Juncos tend to have variety in their diets for the reason of survival. But, if the forest is ailing in any way, including overharvest of trees for wood, the insects or other live food sources can fail as well. There is a balance, including the grains it obtains, so the forest has to be healthy and ABUNDANT.

If individuals begin to have an emaciated appearance even with plenty of feathers, that is something to be concerned with especially if that body weight loss sustains after reaching home following migration. 

Being good stewards to a forest is a very responsible task, but, nature will talk to any keen observer.

The more uncertain the USA crop yields, the more expensive they get.

Higher agricultural commodity prices, the higher the food prices. BUT, that isn't the worst part. What if the crops are yielding low. Insurance is interesting, but, it doesn't feed people. High commodity prices might drive food costs up, but, what if there isn't enough to produce food products in the first place.

BE GRATEFUL OF ALL THE NON-GMO PRODUCERS ACROSS THE COUNTRY. They just might be the best friend to American consumers.

Wall Street Journal

May 30, 2019
By Joe Wallace

Crop prices (click here) are vaulting higher as massive disruption on U.S. farms raises concerns about the size and quality of this year’s harvest....

It is highly unusual for the USA to have these problems. We are often considered the bread basket of the world. That reality will taint predictions. The best indication is always THE STATE AGRICULTURAL AGENTS that know the farmers and the crops. Try talking to the folks that lend to farmers like "AgAmerica" (click here)

May 6, 2019
By Andrew Heckt

Summary (click here)

Agricultural commodities limping into the report.
- Soybeans and corn under pressure.
- Wheat is weak.
- Cotton edges lower.
- Animal proteins falter.

It is that time of the month again. If the prices of grains and most other agricultural commodities limped into the April WASDE report, they are crawling into the USDA's May release which is coming on May 10 at noon EST. There have been no new earth-shattering developments on trade between the US and China and a combination of better weather, a stronger dollar, and a more hawkish Fed likely combined to send price to lower levels in the grain, cotton, and animal protein futures markets over recent sessions.
We are at the very start of the growing season for the grains and cotton, and the grilling season will only commence at the end of this month during the Memorial Weekend holiday. The agricultural markets are taking a leap of faith that 2019 will be another year of enough products to meet the world's requirements for food. Meanwhile, each quarter the global population grows by approximately 20 million which means that there are more mouths to feed and the world has become addicted to bumper crops and increasing supplies of food products. With the demand side of the fundamental equation always growing, the direction of prices is now in the hands of Mother Nature as the weather will be the primary factor that determines if there are enough supplies to feed the world.
The Invesco DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) (click here) holds a basket of agricultural futures contracts and is trading near its multiyear lows.
The graph at this website shows a years worth of value. June of 2018 the value to this fund was $19.14. As of May 31, 2019 it is $16.62. Agricultural commodities is a very big deal. No one should be ignoring this trend.

An important migration map. It is a matter of understanding the species and it's habits.

This is a really good map. (click here)

Get this, there are four separate types of Dark-Eyed Juncos. This map outlines the four groups I recognize, the Oregon Group, the Pink-Sided, the White-Winged and the Slate-Colored groups. There is one in Mexico that called the Grey Headed Group. But, for our purposes there are just four separate PLUMMAGE arrangements. What is more interesting to think about, is the question, how do the birds keep all this straight?

Believe me, it is easy for them. A lot is territorial and the habitat each group has gotten used to, but, it is the bird watchers with the greatest difficulty. Although over time it is easy for conservationists to see each species and their unique color pattern.

Spring planting is behind. Given the Mississippi is only recently receding, it should not be a surprise.

June 1, 2019
By Kelsey Rettke

Farmers face looming insurance deadline as flooding, rain, continues to dominate planting (click here)

Don Young, a farmer in DeKalb and Kane counties, sighed heavily Friday and said he lately feels like a crisis counselor.

“It’s been a very difficult year,” said Young, 50. He also works as a crop insurance agent for Country Financial in Elburn. “For the insurance companies, for farmers, I don’t think anyone ever dreamt that we’d be discussing something like this on this massive scale, Midwest-wide. It’s pretty amazing, not in a good way.”

In addition to working in the crop insurance business for 20 years, Young grows corn and soybeans on 2,100 acres. He said his phone has been ringing off the hook for a week and a half, as farmers in northern Illinois struggle with the effects of one of the wettest springs to date. Farmers face a federal deadline: By Wednesday, they must decide whether to plant their fields and risk low yields in the hope that crop insurance will cover up to 85% of any loss, or face losing 1% of crop insurance coverage each day afterward.

Poor corn and soybean prices could fall further as the U.S. and China impose new tariffs, and torrential rain and flooding has made planting impossible or killed off crops that managed to get into the ground early. In the 18 states that grow most of the nation’s corn, only 58% of the crop had been planted, a far cry from the 90% ordinarily planted by now. In states that grow nearly all soybeans, less than half of the normal crop is planted.

This is Wisconsin.


June 1, 2019
By Aaron Maybin

Left is a rain gauge. 

Oak Creek - The storms and rainy weather (click here) are creating challenges for folks in the agriculture industry. Many farmers are far behind schedule and unable to plant crops.

"The money comes in when you go to the farmers market. If you don't have anything to sell, the money is not coming in," said David Kozlowski, farmer.

David Kozlowski admits he's worried....

These are smaller tractors. If a plow or seeder or cultivator sinks into it's axles in the mud, there is no progress that is going to be made in planting or cultivating the crop.

Some of the largest farms in the Midwest have tractors and equipment a lot heavier than this. There ability to plant is that much more inhibited.

Sooner or later, the USA's political choices based in guns, god and extremism was going to come home to roost. Welcome to the Climate Crisis. This is not going away. The Republicans are voted into office in the Midwest and for the life of me, I have yet to understand it.

June 2, 2019
By Alex Norton

Corn planting in the U.S. is delayed. (click here) Very delayed. Historically delayed.

As of May 26th, just 58% of the intended 92.8 million acres of corn had been planted. The five-year average pace is 90%, and even last year (that saw a slow start to planting) had gotten caught up to the normal pace by late May. This delay means that roughly 39 million acres are not yet planted (assuming all of the intended acres are still going to be planted to corn is a big stretch). And weather forecasts suggest more delays. Storms have been raging all week in spots across the Corn Belt, bringing rain and powerful winds that are keeping farmers from planting anything.

The market has responded. Prices have been firming all week with more wet weather. Speculative funds have gotten long, rising from a record short position just a month ago (adding fuel to the rally). Even for areas that have not been suffering from the insane wet weather, the support is being felt....

Indicator species usually have a feeding habit that requires a healthy forest, not just specialized food sources.

Dark - eyed Juncos are not specialists. They require a variety of both seeds and bugs. The bugs have higher protein and are eaten more so during breeding seasons.
Below is from the "Kid's Inquiry of Diverse Species."
The Dark-Eyed Junco is not endangered. It is considered a stable population and of least concern. It's habitat demands is what brings it to the level of an idicator species.
Dark-eyed juncos eat insects, (click here) non-insect arthropods (arachnids or spiders. Spiders are not insects. Centipedes and millipedes, and crustaceans), and seeds during the fall and winter. They are often seen at bird feeders during migration and in the winter months, but they prefer to search for food on the ground. When there is snow on the ground, dark-eyed juncos scratch away a small circle of snow to look for grain. To eat grass seed, dark-eyed juncos "ride" a grass stem. They fly to a tall grass stem and hold on as the stem bends down to the ground. The junco can stand on the grass stem on the ground and eat the seeds. During the breeding season, dark-eyed juncos eat mostly insects, including caterpillars, beetles, and ants. They also eat the seeds of many weed species.
Dark-eyed juncos drink water from streams or pools or from raindrops or dew on plant leaves. During the winter, they eat snow in order to get water.

The Mississippi River has only recently began to fall from it's swollen status.

The reason the Missouri River and the Arkansas River are still well over their banks and breaching levis is that as those tributaries drained their huge amounts of water into the Mississippi, it caused a back force from the Mississippi itself.

The Mississippi holding the waters in the Arkansas and Missouri Rivers IN PLACE until it drains into the Gulf of Mexico. That only started to occur and if there is more rain, the subsiding of the rivers will stop and they will return to their current status or worse.

The current floods are record setting. THE US ARMY CORP FREQUENTLY IS BLAMED FOR THESE EVENTS. IT IS NOT THEIR FAULT. THE USA HAS ON COMPREHENSIVE POLICY THAT DEALS WITH THE CLIMATE CRISIS.

There has to be a NATIONAL STRATEGY coming out of Washington, DC. 

Thoughts and prayers won't cut it.

EVERYONE WAS TOLD OVER THE PAST SEVEN DECADES.

May 30,2019
By Brian Kahn

The United States has faced historic flooding this spring. (click here) From the Midwest to California to the Southern Plains, record precipitation has begotten both slow-moving and flash floods.

All this is happening following the wettest 12 month period in U.S. history. But it’s also indicative of bigger issues afoot. Extreme precipitation has become more common due to climate change, raising the risk of floods. A recent analysis from the Union of Concerned Scientists found that the alarm bells are ringing ever louder with a 71 percent uptick in flood watches and warnings this year and that flood alerts have become more common in many parts of the U.S. since 1986. The findings and what we’ve observed this spring show that the country’s infrastructure needs to be shored up fast to deal with a wetter, wilder future....

...“These factors combine to increase the likelihood of life-threatening floods such as the ones we’ve seen recently in the Midwest,” Declet-Barreto said.

His analysis underscores this isn’t just a 2019 problem, though. Declet-Barreto pulled 33 years of National Weather Service flood watches, warnings, and advisories. The results show basically every region of the U.S. is seeing more of these alerts. The Midwest is a hot spot, but so is the Southwest, particularly around central Arizona. The types of floods these two regions experience are very different—in the Midwest, it’s usually river floods while Arizona usually sees flash floods and runoff from the desert during the summer monsoon—but the risks they pose are equally challenging society. And if governments don’t improve how they manage stormwater, the impacts will grow ever worse.

“It’s clear we need a coherent and comprehensive federal response to climate change—a response that encourages progress at state and local levels,” Declet-Barreto said....     

Most Juncos are of this variety. They are brown and hide well within the forest .

This is the "Dark Eyed Junco" adult male which is considered the Oregon species.

These Junco's are considered sparrows. They are small birds.

A hundred years ago, (click here) many birds carried the name of “Oregon,” including Oregon Jays, Oregon Chickadees, Oregon Titmice, and Oregon Towhees. One by one, those names fell into disuse or were discarded. The last bird bearing the state's name is the Oregon Junco. 

Juncos have considerable geographic variation, and many North American Juncos once treated as separate species are now known to freely interbreed where their ranges overlap. Thus, the Slate-colored Junco of the East, the Gray-headed Junco of the Southwest, the White-winged Junco of the Black Hills of South Dakota, and the Oregon Junco were combined into a single species and given the name Dark-eyed Junco (Junco hyemalis)....

...Oregon Juncos forage quietly on the ground, flashing their white tail feathers with each hop to communicate their location to their mate or other members of a flock. When flushed or when interacting with other juncos, they give a hard, distinctive call note.

The song of the Oregon Junco is a sweet trill. If you listen closely, you can hear the rapidly delivered notes vary in frequency, a richness often lost on human ears but undoubtedly important to the junco. Songs vary among males, and a few birds sing a two-part song consisting of distinct and different trills.

These 500 torandoes were not minor tornadoes. They did a lot of damage.

Linwood, Kansas was obliterated. This is not a minor topic of discussion in the USA, nor should it be ignored by the USA Congress.

May 31, 2019
By Chaffin Mitchell and Kevin Byrne

A tornado onslaught (click here) continued to rattle the central United States on Tuesday, making it the 12th consecutive day at least eight tornadoes had been reported across the country.

The most recent outbreak came in Kansas, where a massive tornado was confirmed Tuesday evening near Lawrence. The monstrous twister eventually tracked across the northeastern part of the state, pummeling several communities and prompting tornado emergencies in Kansas City and surrounding areas.

At least a dozen homes were damaged or destroyed in Linwood, Kansas, according to the Kansas City Star. At least 18 injuries were reported in Douglas County, emergency management officials said. Three of those were said to be serious....
Just a little bit of background of Darwin's "Origin of Species." 

It was written some time ago. It was reluctantly published 24 November 1859. Darwin feared his work would not be well received and worried for his family and any social bias against the work. But, halfway across the world in the West Indies, a scientist by the name of Alfred Russel Wallace (pictured left) had written a paper as well and it mirrored Darwin's findings.

The two men had worked autonomously and until their papers were provided to an international organization of scientists; had no idea the other existed. It wasn't until Darwin heard about Wallace did he consent to publish his findings.

The LAWS of NATURAL SELECTION are real. They can be found over and over again in nature. Basically, natural selection is about survival and the manifestation of a species as nature's habitat changes.

The most starkly obvious example and often cited in education is the "Peppered Moth (click here)." 

The story of the Peppered Moth is pure survival. It's dominate "type" is this light colored moth that blends into a tree bark in the UK where it was commonly found. They were the delicacy of birds. They could easily hide in their habitat and enough survived from season to season to propagate the species. However, when the industrial mills began their smokestack pollution, the trees became dark on the surface. The light colored moth which had survived nicely as a food source was not easily seen and the population of the moths began to drop sharply. The birds now had an easy time finding them.

Do to genetics, there was a variant of the moth that was dark in color. They were the minority of the survivors because they could be found easily against the light colored tree bark. Now, that the trees were coated with dark smoke pollution, the dark moth became the dominant species.

That genetic variability allowed the species to survive and as pollution laws came into effect and the trees were no longer covered in soot, the majority returned to the light colored species. Had it not been for the dark variant, the species could have perished and the outcomes to the birds would be questionable. Basically, genetics saved the food chain/food web.

Most of the species in the world have genetic variability and so do human beings. It is what makes human eyes blue, brown, green or hazel. There are dominant and recessive genes, hence, most species that survive changes in habitat carry both the dominant and recessive gene.

In the case of humans, there is a great deal of compassion for people with genetic disorders. Most of these tragic disorders are high on the priority of medical research. It is the way humans have survived. We solve the problems of survival and seek to perfect our life experience. 

The natural world does the same thing, but, it is the heartiness of the species genetics that allows survival.


May set a record for the number of tornadoes in the USA in any given month.

June 1, 2019
By Derek Brown

LocalDVM - The National Weather Service (click here) office in Sterling, Va., confirms that a tornado is to blame for Thursday afternoon's storm damage.  The NWS rated this tornado as an EF-0.

WDVM's Meteorologist Derek Bowen says this storm prompted a tornado warning for S Washington and W Central Frederick Co., Md., on Thursday afternoon, but it was canceled early and replaced with a severe thunderstorm warning before the storm system cleared the county.  A tornado warning was issued soon after for Howard and Anne Arundel Co., Md. as the storm continued to track off to the southeast.

A second tornado is to blame for storm damage Wednesday in N Fulton Co., Pa.  The NWS in State College Pa, confirms an EF-1 tornado caused damage to property northeast of Breezewood, Pa. in the Wells Tannery...

May 30, 2019

Tornado after tornado struck the U.S. this May, (click here) creating a wild month of extreme weather. In total, over five hundred twisters were reported – nearly double the climatological average. An active jet stream combined with plentiful moisture in the Plains and Midwest created a volatile atmosphere, fueling the increased storms. Activity peaked in the last two weeks of May where over 400 tornadoes were reported....

Darwin's Origin of Species plays out in the Dark Eyed Junco.

This is not about religion or anti-religion or any other biased idea of the beginning of the world. It is pure science and it is sound.
It's Sunday Night

I have loved nature all my life, but, only worked in the field for the past 20 years. It is my new drug and has been for 20 years.

I recommend the natural world to anyone, especially parents and children, teens and young adults. 

I have never once found an open or closed bottle of alcohol in any meeting room, any vehicle or backpack during the 20 years in the field. I have never had a colleague drunk or high. That is a fair number of people over twenty years. I have been able to work with some of the finest scientists on the planet. They are internationally renowned, have discovered new species and were honored to have the species name as their own, they work governments and private organizations. They are by far some of the finest people I have ever known and have never regretted not one day in having joined them.

My peers don't do drugs. Think about it. The most exotic it gets is home brewed beer when we gather. It is fun. We have a good time and always have lots to talk about.

I am serious when I say, the natural work can be intoxicating in a way that hones the senses and makes sense out of an otherwise chaotic and rat race world.

Huey Lewis & the News (live) - I want a new drug

Here is some news, Huey Lewis is not only a talented artist, but he is also a golfer. (click click title above for the article - thank you) Don't know if he ever played with Former President Bill Clinton.

20. Huey Lewis 7 handicap, Huey Lewis and the News front man.






Yeah-yeah! 

I want a new drug
One that won't make me sick 
One that won't make me crash my car 
Or make me feel three feet thick

I want a new drug
One that won't hurt my head 
One that won't make my mouth too dry 
Or make my eyes too red

One that won't make me nervous 
Wondering what to do 
One that makes me feel like I feel when I'm with you 
When I'm alone with you

I want a new drug 
One that won't spill 
One that don't cost too much 
Or come in a pill

I want a new drug 
One that won't go away 
One that won't keep me up all night 
One that won't make me sleep all day

One that won't make me nervous 
Wondering what to do 
One that makes me feel like I feel when I'm with you 
When I'm alone with you 
I'm alone with you, baby

I want a new drug 
One that does what it should 
One that won't make me feel too bad 
One that won't make me feel too good

I want a new drug 
One with no doubt 
One that won't make me talk too much 
Or make my face break out

One that won't make me nervous 
Wondering what to do 
One that makes me feel like I feel when I'm with you 
When I'm alone with you
I'm alone with you

Mulvaney, "Laws don't solve everything."

That would seem to be the theme of this administration.

It is also anarchy talking. Those that embrace anarchy want to dissolve democracy so why not do it with your Russian friends.

The Russian assault against the 2016 elections is three years old. The Republicans can say they did not have the report from the Special Council in order to carry out legislation to protect America's sovereign elections, but, that would be a lie. Their Attorney General buried the Special Council report after it was received and replaced it with a 4-page memo. The Republicans are NOT interested in having elections be fair or free. They want to win. tTHEY WANT TO WIN AT ANY COST.

CURRENTLY, after Americans spoke in the 2018 elections, the US House put forward H.R. 1. It has many provisions to protect American sovereign elections. But, Mitch McConnell states he is the "Grim Reaper" and kills all the bills coming from the US House. 

AGAIN, the Republicans are not interested in protecting America's sovereign elections.

There is CURRENT intelligence stating the Russians are very busy AGAIN assaulting the American electorate to effect the presidential elections of 2020. 

NOW, if the Republicans won't pass their own legislation that actually protects American sovereign elections and they won't pass any bill from the US House to protect American sovereign elections and the Russians are KNOWN to be conducting more and more assaults against the American electorate; it appears the Republicans in their do-nothingness and their unwillingness to move to protect American sovereign elections are in conspiracy with Russia.

It is fact. It is known. I don't think they should have any standing for re-election or otherwise in this country.