Saturday, February 26, 2022

President Zelenskyy is correct.

There is evidence of random strikes by low flying aircraft of residential buildings. There is no formation, but, simply a jet firing a single missile. There is online evidence to those attacks. These are people that have no military capacity. If they did have shoulder held missile launchers they could take on the jet before firing. These jets are flying at tree top level. No formation, just a single jet taking target practice.

There was one and only one photo of legitimate military strike of what appears to be a missile hit of a munitions building (click here). The photo looks as though the land has been disturbed. If one looks closely in the before and after photo the only hit was one building. The smoke is dark and dense of which could be burning oil or perhaps munitions, but, more likely oil because the smoke sustains and the distrubance of the land is minimal. The loss of white color on the ground is simply due to lack of snow in the space of time of the two separate pictures.

But, any other pictures of bombing is primarily residential housing and some are rural without many people living in the buildings. These are not upscale housing. It is like the pilot decided he had to prove he used his bombs and chose a building that appears to be abandoned. People are living there and the strike caused the cameraperson to fall initally and then run into a basement

It could very well be that Putin's military is not as strongly loyal to their purpose as his bluster (click here). These people know each other and they could be carrying out battles that they do not believe in. There could be brother against brother feelings in Putin's ambitions. Russia practices consciption and are pressed into service. These soldiers may disagree with their orders. Soldiers may be more interested in a date than death.

I never believed the Russian military was a strong and well disciplined military. I think we are seeing some of that in this stupid attack on Ukraine. This is Putin's politics.

The multi-story building in Kyiv that was struck is not safe. I know there are workers, according to a CNN report, placing scaffording to stabilize the upper floors, but, that entire building received vibration and in time will prove to be unsafe. The people in that building should be evacuated and sent to shelters to re-establish their residence somewhere else in the city. There is a good chance the surrounding buildings were adversely vibrated as well. The entire area around that building needs to assessed for stability, especially other multi-story buildings. 

My understanding is that many people are in the subway tunnels of Kyiv. It is reasonable to believe there were a few injuries with that missile strike as people heeded the early sirens and went underground.

If this disruption continues the people of Ukraine's cities will need food and medicine drops. Immediately they probably have supplies, but, a longer attack will result in shortages and suffering. There are reports of significant traffic heading west from Kyiv. So the city is being emptied to some extent.

The rebels in eastern Ukraine need to be contended with and Crimea returned to the governance of Ukraine.