Thursday, October 25, 2012

Some minimalists believe Hurricane Sandy will hit the USA next week? Really?

October 25, 2012
0930:18z
UNISYS Infrared GOES East Satellite (click here for 12 hour loop)

I could never understand why anyone would down play deadly storms. It is like it isn't suppose to happen or something. This story from Bloomberg was 22 minutes ago. I don't think so.

This is the infrared satellite and not even the water vapor satellite. I down played the reality of the storm by using IR. And still there is a major storm already at the shores of the USA.

By Brian K. Sullivan - Oct 25, 2012 5:22 AM ET
Hurricane Sandy, (click here) which closed businesses and airports in Jamaica as it moved north in the Caribbean, may strike the U.S. East Coast next week with the potential to cause millions of dollars in damage.
Sandy’s maximum sustained winds reached 105 miles (165 kilometers) per hour as it moved inland over southeastern Cuba, according to a U.S. National Hurricane Center advisory at 5 a.m. Eastern time. It was about 40 miles east of Holguin, Cuba, and moving north at 18 mph.
“The table is set for some pretty major weather,” Henry Margusity, an expert senior meteorologist at AccuWeather Inc. in State College, Pennsylvania, said yesterday. “Is it going to be an epic storm or is going to be just your typical nor’easter? We will have the answers next week.”...

In case the media needs to know where to look for pertinent information, it might save lives. The Weather Channel focuses on this stuff, ya know?


Tropical Storm Warning for: 
Coastal Broward
Coastal Miami Dade
Coastal Palm Beach
Coastal Volusia
Coastal Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl Out 20 Nm
Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm
Flagler Beach To Volusia-brevard Line 0-20 Nm
Indian River
Lake Okeechobee
Martin
Northern Brevard
Sebastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm
Southern Brevard
St. Lucie
Volusia-brevard Line To Sebastian Inlet 20-60 Nm
Waters From Fernandina Beach To St. Augustine Fl From 20 To 60 Nm
Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm
Waters From Ocean Reef To Craig Key Fl From 20 To 60 Nm
Tropical Storm Watch for: 
Duval
Flagler
Monroe/upper Keys
Nassau
St. Johns
Just a personal opinion, but, I betcha the Tropical Storm Watch turns into Tropical Storm Warnings within a couple of hours.

I always love to tell the story about Hurricane Floyd. So, I'll tell it again. I was listening to the weather reports back in those days and the prediction was Floyd would not hit Wilmington for another 24 hours. That was midnight. The sky was clear, I could see the stars, who was I to question.

At 5AM a knock came to the door and as I woke I could hear something slapping against my bedroom window. It was on the second floor of course. I dashed to the door in my bathrobe to be greeted by a frantic neighbor from the downstairs apartment waking everyone to the reality that Floyd had hit. 

I went to the balcony and there sat my beautiful new Dodge Avenger (I liked the name) in over a foot of water.

See, the 'eye' of the storm wasn't reaching Wilmington for 24 hours, but, that storm was huge and the outer bands reached us a lot sooner.

See, the 'eye' isn't where all the rain is. 20 people died in that storm, a few were from surrounding low lying towns to Wilmington. Wilmington would be an island again in about 12 more hours. My family and I barely got off the coastal plain before all access roads to Wilmington were closed. The traffic was so heavy that when my oldest son driving his car and I our 4X4 Chevy the water was becoming stronger over Interstate 40. We communicated through it by hand held closed circuit band radios. We were all lucky. The rest of the family was already west of Raleigh.

So, when it comes to large RADIUS storms, the media needs to be 'on the ground' reporting and not waiting for the eye of the storm to pass over to marvel at the fact there is NO RAIN IN THE 'EYE' OF THE STORM!

Below is the UNISYS Water Vapor image at October 25, 2012 at 0930:18z (click here for 12 hour loop). Just for the record.




Hurricane Sandy in the past nine hours. Dropping eight millibars of central pressure and moving north 2.2 degrees latitude with winds increasing by 20 knots and returning to an increase of 15 knots.

10A  18.70  -76.40 10/25/00Z   75   968 HURRICANE-1
  11  19.40  -76.30 10/25/03Z   80   954 HURRICANE-1
11A  20.10  -75.90 10/25/06Z   95   957 HURRICANE-2
  12  20.90  -75.80 10/25/09Z   90   960 HURRICANE-2

Just give everyone a fighting chance, okay? Is that too much to ask for the right to broadcast all the 'power plays' of elections? Huh?