Monday, September 03, 2012

In my estimation, Leslie's status is changing. My estimation has potential for landfall South Carolina - Georgia.

Interestingly enough John and Leslie have close relationships to their latitude. John is at 19 North and Leslie 23.6 North. Central pressures are different Leslie 998 and John at 1001. CLICK HERE FOR 12 HOUR HEMISPHERIC LOOP 

Noted in the article below John is at an unusal place in relation to Baja. 


Indeed.

Could it be push me - pull you along the 5880 isobar? 


September 1, 2012 - 1030:00z


September 3, 2012 - 1030:00z 


11 20.20 -58.40 09/02/03Z 55 998 TROPICAL STORM
12 20.80 -59.50 09/02/09Z 60 994 TROPICAL STORM
13 21.30 -61.10 09/02/15Z 55 997 TROPICAL STORM

The velocity is more north than west, but, the upper mass is changing. I think Leslie is reorganizing and we'll know more about it's direction within the next 3 to 6 hours. But, Isobar 5880 is dominating the southern half of the country. That is a significant change from a few days ago.

14 22.40 -61.30 09/02/21Z 50 998 TROPICAL STORM
15 23.40 -61.70 09/03/03Z 50 998 TROPICAL STORM
16 23.80 -62.10 09/03/09Z 50 998 TROPICAL STORM

Tropical Storm John forms in Pacific far from Baja (click title to entry - thank you)
Read more here: http://www.sacbee.com/2012/09/03/4781850/tropical-storm-john-forms-in-pacific.html#storylink=cpy

Published: Monday, Sep. 3, 2012 - 3:33 am
Tropical Storm John has formed in the eastern Pacific near the Mexican island of Socorro but far from the mainland.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center in Miami said the storm formed early Monday near Socorro, part of an island chain about 300 miles (480 kph) south-southwest of the tip of Baja California peninsula.
The storm is forecast to stay at sea and head northwest. It had top sustained winds of 40 mph (65 kph) with little change in strength expected in the next 48 hours.
In the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Leslie was moving north-northwest over open ocean on a track that could take it closer to Bermuda by Saturday. The storm was causing potentially dangerous surf in parts of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands.