Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Super Typhoon Mangkhut will remain on it's current path.

September 12, 2018
1530 UTC
NOAA West Pacific Water Vapor Loop - Himawari-8 (click here for 8 hour loop - thank you)

Unlike the Atlantic storm currently menacing North Carolina there is no interference from the "Gulf of Mexico." In the case of Mangkhut the turbulence to it's west is adding to it's velocity.

It is a very hot troposphere to support so many storms in both oceans while the storms are reaching high velocities, near storm capacity. The capacity of the Pacific storms are greater than the Atlantic storms.

All precautions of this storms path must be taken. Do not under estimate coastal flooding with a large storm surge that accompanies these wind speeds.

Vietnam needs to be prepared for high winds. The diameter of this Super Typhoon will grow and effect their coast as well. Vietnam is probably receiving severe storms currently.

Northern Vietnam, Hanoi, is receiving intermittent thunderstorms while the southern reach of Vietnam, Ho Chi Minh City is receiving unrelenting thunderstorms. Vietnam will receive significant winds and rain with flooding and coastal erosion.

13 September 2018

Hong Kong is bracing for a super typhoon (click here) this weekend that could be the most intense storm ever to hit the city.

Super Typhoon Mangkhut, equivalent to a category 5 Atlantic hurricane and still gaining strength, was on a collision course for the Philippines first on Wednesday – with Taiwan and Hong Kong next on its forecast track.

The city’s government convened an interdepartmental meeting chaired by the security minister to discuss contingency measures and ensure preparedness.

“Representatives from relevant bureaus and departments also reported their preparatory work and contingency plans, particularly on measures in the prevention and handling of flooding, backflow of seawater and emergency plans for high-risk locations,” a government statement read.

Mangkhut, named after the Thai word for the mangosteen fruit, was forecast to come within 80km of the city on Sunday, but the Hong Kong Observatory said it was too early to predict a direct hit.

“It could be very close to Hong Kong,” senior scientific officer Queenie Lam Ching-chi said. “It has a large circulation with intense winds, so even if it is not a direct hit … it can constitute a great danger to Hong Kong.”...

India will receive rains and wind, but, diminished compared to Vietnam. It will primarily be effected on it's east coast, especially the northern coast. Warning for the Indian Ocean for shipping is important, there will be high waves and potential rouge waves. There can be some dust carried from the Sahara as well. The dust will be inconsequential to outcomes from the Super Typhoon.

Madagascar should be fine and central Sub-Sahara Africa can use the rain. Australia (not pictured) is below the equator in the southern hemisphere and will be unaffected by the current storm conditions to it's north.