Monday, March 24, 2014

I believe something was troubling President Obama for that past year about Russia.

This didn't happen in a vacuum, I am sure the outcome was part of the intelligence of The West, regardless of any estimate that may have stated it was a remote outcome. But, it did occur abruptly with large shifts of power accompanied by deaths. That was alarming. 

If the leadership in the Ukraine had not taken a calm and logical path with the Crimea during this time it would have sparked a civil war that would have destabilized the region. Perhaps that is exactly what Russia was hoping for that would begin a confrontation with The West. There is no other reason to believe differently, except, the passion for communists carried more brevity than Russia's fiscal stability. If there wasn't enough forethought about that it opens the possibility Russia believed it would not be challenged due to it's nuclear capacity. If President Putin is that naive about aggression and outcomes, then Russia has a lot to do before it's credibility can be trusted again.

I really think Putin expected The West to look the other way and allow things to proceed as if this was normal and expected due to ethnic ties. Being Russian is no reason to break up the sovereignty of an independent nation.

It also leaves G7 without a representative country for communist nations. More than representative of communist nations, Russia is a leading communist nation. It may reflect how communist nations are unable to adapt to agreed values of peace and sovereign rights of nations. That is worrisome, however, I think Mr. Putin is more the problem and hopefully the future will reflect Russian leadership that is far more moderate. 

The international organization is down to seven. (click here)  

By Teresa Welsh
March 24, 2014

Russia has been suspended from the Group of 8 by the other seven Western nations, which cited President Vladimir Putin’s recent annexation of the Ukrainian republic of Crimea as “not consistent” with the group’s shared beliefs and responsibilities. A G-8 summit scheduled for June in Sochi, Russia, has been relocated to Brussels — and Russia is not invited.

The G-7 — Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States — are removing Russia from the group after 15 years of participation from the former Soviet country. The countries affirmed their support for Ukraine’s sovereignty, and denounced Russia’s “illegal attempt” to annex Crimea.

“We will suspend our participation in the G-8 until Russia changes course and the environment comes back to where the G-8 is able to have a meaningful discussion and will meet again in G-7 format at the same time as planned, in June 2014, in Brussels,” said a joint statement released by the countries....


I am sure some of the justification Mr. Putin used to take Crimea from the Ukraine was that Andropov was born in Nagutskaya, Stavropol Region on 15 June 1914. 

That is not enough reason to disturb the borders of a sovereign nation. Why? Because Yuri Andropov was also a Don Cossack. What is the difference between a Russian and a Don Cossack? The Don Cossacks were actually from the Western part of North Caucasus. This area is not within the Crimea. It is the Ukraine. As a matter fact there is a watershed that runs into Eastern Europe from that point. The Dnieper River located in that region is considered the fourth longest in Europe. So, simply because Yuri Andropov was born in Stayropol there was no sincere ethnic ties to the Crimea.

Then there is the matter of eliminating hostilities in the region while honoring borders and working to grow viable economies. It is known that when Russia enters as an authority the economy doesn't do well. 

But, what gets really strange is the parallel identity of Andropov and Putin. Andropov was the first former head of the KGB to become General Secretary. Interestingly, when he was chairman of the KGB Andropov opposed plans to occupy Poland after the emergence of the Solidarity movement. He aligned himself with Gorbachev rather than the more fundamental communists. As a KGB chairman he brought knowledge of corruption with the Soviet Union. Andropov with alliances like Gorbachev focused on the economy. In seeking a better economic strategy, Andropov made sweeping changes within the leadership of the Soviet Union charging them with corruption.

The parallel between Putin and Andropov doesn't end there. Putin was born in Leningard. Today, Leningard's name is St. Petersburg. So, Putin was also Eastern Europe as was Andropov. I think it is more than odd they should share so many personal histories and agendas.

The ancestry of Putin and Andropov is very different. Andropov as a Don Cossack had a status, whereby, Putin has been described as a mystery with no records surviving of any ancestors of any people with the surname "Putin" beyond his grandfather Spiridon Ivanovich. 

The picture to the right is of Putin with his mother and humble beginnings he describes in his autobiography. 

Given the progressive agenda Mr. Putin was seeking for Russia, there was every reason to believe he would not fall back into old communist patterns. But, perhaps, the pull was too strong for reasons that can only be his own. It is unfortunate this has come to pass, but, lives are important and borders are important and peace is a high priority with The West. 

I look forward to the next President of Russia and perhaps with less passion for regressive policies. I also expect The West to continue to eliminate the characteristic of Russia as "The Evil Empire," a title assigned by Ronald Reagan; unless the country continues to march into independent and sovereign nations. I still hold hopes this trend will end and civilized agendas return between The West and Russia. 

The Former General Secretaries of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union Gorbachev and Brezhnev cannot be ignored. They were seeking peace with The West and they meant it. They wanted it for the Russian people along with the post soviet states.

The Changing Sovereignty. (click here) A Comparison Between the Brezhnev and Clinton Doctrines and the Way They Reflect the Change in the Use and Understanding of the Concept

"The Peace" is not as delicate as political rhetoric in the USA would like to have it realized. It has been studied and written about with this episode with Putin being a sad episode rather than a destruction of "The Peace."