Thursday, October 18, 2012

The Gallup Poll is a rolling average and does not include post Debate Two.

...The data in the survey is a rolling seven-day average (click here) through Oct. 16 and therefore does not reflect data from after Tuesday's town hall presidential debate....

What does that mean? 

It means the poll picks up the entire time since Debate One as a daily average. It makes sense. After Debate One all the Republicans that lost enthusiasm found their MoJo. That is all that is. 

The Gallup Poll is revealing compared to President Obama's approval rating which has increased in that same time period.

So, while Republicans are getting out of their chairs to vote this election that one poll does not reveal an overall change in the campaign balance. Not that it isn't important, but, polls when averaged, especially this one, shows a sincere change in interest in Mr. Romney and that was important to let the Obama campaign know they needed to take the effect of the debates seriously. 

The Gallup Poll is important but it has to be put into context of the campaign and the events surrounding the campaign. It shows what worked and what didn't. Basically. The race is still on.