Sunday, March 23, 2014

According to Allen Meltzer QE failed. Quantitatively in realizing the sluggish growth, it did.

...Nowhere is this phenomenon more pronounced than in the United States, where the Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates to unprecedented levels and, through quantitative easing (QE), augmented bank reserves by purchasing financial assets. But inflation – which rapid money-supply expansion inevitably fuels – has so far remained subdued, at roughly 2%, because banks are not using their swelling reserves to expand credit and increase liquidity. While this is keeping price volatility in check, it is also hindering employment growth....

...America’s central bankers need not search far to find out why QE is not working; evidence is published regularly for anyone to see. During QE2 (from November 2010 to July 2011), the Fed added a total of $557.9 billion to reserves, and excess reserves grew by $546.5 billion. That means that banks circulated only 2% of QE2’s contribution, leaving the rest idle. Similarly, since QE3 was launched last September, total bank reserves have grown by $244.1 billion, and excess reserves by $239.4 billion – meaning that 99% of the funds remain idle....

Wall Street would say any QE was wildly effective, but, the American work force would disagree. If one considers the principles behind austerity and it's failure to stabilize and grow an economy, the only reasonable path to improve the economy was indulging Wall Street's wildest dreams in order to eke out at least 2% more circulating capital. QE pandered to the fact the banks had the power in 'too big to fail' and the only way that was going to change was to place so much money in their reserves they were willing to waste 2% by chance there would be a return on those monies. 

It is even easier to point to that fact in realizing the excessive indulgence with the London Whale. The monies lost by JP Morgan was chump change for the most part. It is that 'standard' of banking strategy that was at least working to return some employment in the USA. 

The policy changes that needed to occur to increase US Treasury income to reduce national debt and  to reduce taxes to increase circulating capital was very difficult to achieve. The lack of movement of policy changes primarily stalled after 2010 because the GOP's insistence to adhere to their election rhetoric. That rhetoric was set by the Tea Party and the growth of the USA slowed and has remained sluggish due to that party priority.

The sluggish USA economy received hard realities in that the GOP's austerity would even side line the Blue Angels for year while the banks were hoarding their reserves without lending.

At least The Fed managed to manipulate the banks enough to push through some circulating capital.
Nowhere is this phenomenon more pronounced than in the United States, where the Federal Reserve has reduced interest rates to unprecedented levels and, through quantitative easing (QE), augmented bank reserves by purchasing financial assets. But inflation – which rapid money-supply expansion inevitably fuels – has so far remained subdued, at roughly 2%, because banks are not using their swelling reserves to expand credit and increase liquidity. While this is keeping price volatility in check, it is also hindering employment growth.
Read more at http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/why-quantitative-easing-has-failed-to-boost-us-investment-and-jobs-by-allan-h--meltzer#kyiSo06Ih9DfDJkb.99

Chairwoman Yellin believes monetary policy can temper the business cycle to benefit both workers and Wall Street.

Sound likes a real balancing act, doesn't it? It is. She is brilliant and knows exactly what she is doing. Rarely does anyone hear about her life long dedication of excellence in developing policy.

In self-identifying as reform-minded Keynesian she reflects not only her own priorities, but, that of former Chairman Bernanke. She is carrying out his policies to finish in six months. Six months should be no surprise to any Wall Street investor, the announcement was made at the beginning of QE3. There was a benchmark called unemployment of 6.5% of the USA.

An economic theory of total spending in the economy and its effects on output and inflation. 

Keynesian economics was developed by the British economist John Maynard Keynes during the 1930s in an attempt to understand the Great Depression.

Keynes advocated increased government expenditures and lower taxes to stimulate demand and pull the global economy out of the Depression. 

Subsequently, the term “Keynesian economics” was used to refer to the concept that optimal economic performance could be achieved – and economic slumps prevented – by influencing aggregate demand through stabilization and economic intervention policies by the government. 

Keynesian economics is considered to be a “demand-side” theory that focuses on changes in the economy over the short run.

There is no doubt Chairwoman Yellen in her statements and no reason to delay the end of Wall Street welfare.

The USA still exceeds other nations on Earth in productivity. The blip just north of $14 Trillion was 2008. 

The only country that didn't experience the blip was China. China relies on exports for it's economy and cheap exports at that. The iPhone is market level expensive, that does not add significantly to Chinese GDP. It makes sense those less expensive products would be in demand during a major recession. But, even with China's resilient growth it does not rival the USA GDP and it's recovery. As a matter of fact, China's lack of Middle Class has decreased it's growth. 

A country can grow at the expense of other nations for so long. When that nation's economy starts to diminish because other nations are experiencing diminished capacity due to trade imbalance, it then has to realize the problem is it's impoverished state of the citizens. Domestic wealth (The Middle Class has wealth) and it's consumerism actually creates it's own vibrant growth and recovery. 

Of the emerging nations affectionately referred to as BRIC, the one with most GDP per capita is Russia, but, Brazil is parallel in it's per capita GDP. With Russia running the risk of involving itself in expansionism and violent overthrow of post soviet nations there is a real possibility that Brazil will overtake Russia. I just don't see consent of Russian products on the market as being supported by consumerism. 

Yellen on the American economy: "I think we'll see stronger growth this year. Most of my colleagues on the Fed's policymaking committee and I are hopeful that the first digit [of GDP growth] could be 3 rather than 2... 

The recovery has been frustratingly slow, but were making progress in getting people back to work, and I anticipate that inflation will move back toward our longer-run goal of 2 percent." On the housing market, which had a brief lull this fall: "I expect it to pick back up and I do expect a further recovery."
It's Sunday Night



"Come Back To Me" by Janet Jackson (click here for official website)
Looking through my old drawer
Came across the letter you wrote
Said you needed time away
That was so long ago
All my life I've waited
To see your smile again
In my mind I hated
Not able to let go

Come back to me
I'm beggin' you please
Come back to me
I want you to
Come back to me
I'm beggin' you please
Come back to me

Lord knows that I have tried
To live my life as one
Friends tell me to hold on
Tough times don't last for long
My abandoned heart
Just doesn't understand
My undying love for you
Won't let me wait

Come back to me
I'm beggin' you please
Come back to me
I want you to
Come back to me
I'm beggin' you please
Come back to me

Please come back to me
I miss you so much
Wherever you are I love you
All my life I've waited
To see your smile again
In my mind I hated
Not able to let go

The Apollo astronauts didn"t have this much trouble landing on the Moon

NASA needs to get involved with a few oceanographers that specialize in the currents between Antarctica and Australia. Plant a flag on this thing already.

Call URI. I don't why I didn't think about them before. URI has one of the best ocean engineering departments in the world.

It is a matter of mass, buoyancy and movement.

Media Contact: Todd McLeish, 401-874-7892

Data is key to validating accuracy of climate models...

...By analyzing four years (click here) of continuous measurements of the current at Drake Passage, the narrowest point in the Southern Ocean, three University of Rhode Island oceanographers have concluded that the current carries 20 percent more water than previous estimates. They also found that the current remains strong all the way to the seafloor....

Daniel Strauss


"We realized that it wasn't so much about antagonizing them but sending out the countered safe that we are here for people who need that message and need that positivity" Megan Coleman, who helped make the sign, said according to Kansas' KSHB. 

The message didn't get across to all Westboro members. 

"I don't even know what they're saying," Westboro Baptist Chuch member Steve Drain said. 

Exactly. 

What is there to demonstrate about at a Lorde's concert? Several of her songs are about not caring and living a life of  being disenfranchised. That is a common theme for teens. There is nothing that earthshaking about her entertainment. 

Actually, it is fairly benign. Her theme is about being up against the machine and finding the 'place' where they don't care. It actually is about empowerment in going forward in ways that ignore the status quo. Not a bad message, actually. 

Young people have incredible stress in their lives due to the demands placed on them by 'the system' so to speak. So, if they don't care and meet at the tennis court to talk about what they don't care about, that is fine. She is non-violent while still being non-conformist. That is being young and finding your way and your own message.

This is a border crossing area. Assad has turned loose his jets to kill innocent people. They need a No Fly Zone.






Turkey's Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan (click here) says its armed forces have shot down a Syrian military jet which had violated its airspace.

The incident reportedly took place in an area where Syrian rebels and government forces have been fighting for control of a border crossing.

Hundreds of thousands have fled Syria for Turkey to escape the three-year uprising against President Assad.

More than 100,000 people have been killed since the Syrian conflict began.
According to UN figures, 6.5 million Syrians have been displaced by the civil war, and 2.5 million are registered as refugees. Lebanon has taken the highest number of refugees, followed by Jordan and Turkey.

Mr Erdogan congratulated his air force on its actions on Sunday....


23 March 2014
HATİCE KUBRA KULA
İSTANBUL

...Now a photo exhibition (click here) in İstanbul tries to draw attention to this situation by inviting its visitors to take a close look at the current lives and the past stories of a group of these Syrian people who have been trying to hold on to life Turkey as the Syrian war has entered its fourth year.

On display until March 29 at Beyoğlu Cezayir, the exhibition “The Guest” is a joint effort between Kerem Yücel, Atlas magazine's photography editor, and Serdar Korucu, an editor with CNN Türk, who came together as part of a campaign launched by the İstanbul-based nongovernmental organization Hayata Destek (Support to Life) to help Syrian citizens seeking shelter outside of the refugee camps in Turkey. In the exhibition, Yücel's photos of the Syrians to which Hayata Destek has provided aid are accompanied by texts about their lives, fears and hopes penned by Korucu.

The exhibition refrains from labeling the Syrian citizens and embraces them with the utmost kindness of a generous host. “We neither represented one side nor preferred to be impartial while portraying the lives of these people. … We tried to address those who observe the Syrians," Yücel told Sunday's Zaman in a written interview....
 

"I'm going to Disney World!"

 Did you know the USA has two Disneys. For real. How many has Russia got? No time soon, huh? Ya think maybe that says something about the Russia economy? Maybe Russians can build a 'Drive a Missile for a Moment" Ride. I would be a good start to the real world.

By Daniel Politi
March 22 2014 4:44 PM

Russian forces (click here) used armored vehicles to smash their way into an air base in Belbek, effectively seizing what had become one of the last bases still under Ukrainian control in Crimea. Yet even as Russia consolidated its control over Crimea, it also seemed to send a sign that its ambitions did not extend beyond Crimea as it dropped opposition to international monitors being sent to Ukraine. The Russian forces stormed the air base following a standoff that lasted more than a week and as “an ominous mood was settling over the town,” notes the Washington Post. Earlier, the Russian troops surrounding the base had given Ukrainian forces inside an hour to surrender, reports Reuters....

It is amazing what you can do with the Tea Cup Ride. It could be adapted to the Armored Vehicles ride.

Even China is into the idea that life is a thrill. Even communism, nationalism and ethnic tensions doesn't stop the Chinese enthusiasm. Seriously. What the heck is wrong with Russia?
  
 
10 Inversion Roller Coaster is a roller coaster sitting Chimelong Paradise Park, located in Panyu District, Guangzhou in Guangdong Province, China. Opened in 2006, it is the second roller coaster in the world with 10 inversions after Colossus at Thorpe Park in the UK

Attempting to bend a Teflon fry pan is so old world, Vladimir. No self respecting strong man uses Teflon anymore. 

The US Environmental Protection Agency (click here) has identified a cancer-causing chemical used in the production of Teflon. Should we throw away our non-stick frypans?

And you shouldn't throw it in a landfill either.

 


Our guys are more into building material.

So, this is what we pay oil subsidies for, right? So migratory birds don't have a chance, right?

It is partially submerged.

By Rebecca Walezak


A barge that was carrying almost a million gallons of oil hit a ship in Galveston Bay on Saturday, spilling an unknown amount into the water.

According to the Associated Press, the Coast Guard had to send in booms to try to collect the spill. While it is unknown how much oil spilled into the water, there was reportedly a noticeable sheen left covering the bay area.

The barge, which was carrying 924,000 gallons of particularly thick oil, was on its way to Bolivar when the collision occurred. Six crew members on board of the towing vessel, which was moving the barge, were reported to have injuries but are in stable condition. Specifics on those injuries were not given out.
The Galveston Bay Foundation announced that it is looking for volunteers to help with the impact the oil spill will have. 

The Galveston Daily News reports that there is no immediate danger to the community due to the oil spill. There are, however, a few road closures to 
make crew access to the spill area easier.

It just seems like not matter where oil is found and transported there is always a mess.

By Associated Press 
Updated: Sunday, March 23, 12:32 AM

McALLEN, Texas — Crews (click here) armed with infrared cameras planned to work through the night after a barge carrying nearly a million gallons of especially thick, sticky oil collided with a ship in Galveston Bay, leaking an unknown amount of the fuel into the popular bird habitat as the peak of the migratory shorebird season was approaching.
 
Booms were brought in to try to contain the spill, which the Coast Guard said was reported at around 12:30 p.m. Saturday by the captain of the 585-foot ship, Summer Wind. Coast Guard Lt. j.g. Kristopher Kidd said the spill hadn’t been contained as of 10 p.m., and that the collision was still being investigated.


Wayne LaPierre is wasting the membership's money again.



WASHINGTON — The Supreme Court (click here) has turned down a pair of 2nd Amendment appeals lodged by the National Rifle Assn., keeping in place laws that restrict those under 21 years old from buying or carrying a handgun.

Without comment, the justices dismissed claims by NRA attorneys who argued limits on those who are 18 to 20 infringe the “fundamental right” to have firearms for self-defense.
In one case, the court refused to hear a challenge to a 1968 federal law that bars federally licensed gun dealers from selling handguns to those who are under 21. Sales of shotguns or rifles are permitted to those who are 18 or older, however....

Clement is the only one who will take these cases. Not an ounce of sense in his head. Isn't 18 years old just close enough to high school to be worried? No, there should not be any worries, every 18 year old with a gun has a halo over his head.

Now, take Bieber, there is fine example pf a trust worthy 20 year old. What do courts know anyway, right?

...Former U.S. Solicitor Gen. Paul D. Clement filed one of the appeals on behalf of the NRA. He argued that gun owners are facing “massive resistance” in the courts when they assert their rights under the 2nd  Amendment. “It is unthinkable that a court would allow Congress to declare law-abiding individuals in the first years of their legal majority too ‘irresponsible’ to be entrusted with First Amendment rights,” he said. He urged the court not to allow “this fundamental right [to] be relegated to second-class status.”...

Snohomish County needs heavy construction to dynamite the debris dam threatening people's lives.

The water is rising 10 - 12 inches an hour. They can't wait forever. The pressure behind the debris dam will grow anyway and cause a larger problem when it does break down. The debris dam might be accessible from the side of the structure without risking lives to blow a hole in it.

If there are people still alive the rescuers have to have a chance to find them and they can't do it underwater. USGS might be able to estimate how stable the rest of the hillside is, too. 

Geologic map of the Snohomish Quadrangle, Snohomish County, Washington (click here)

I thought it looked like sand. (click here) These are old glacial deposits. It is mixed some iron, but, when sand gets dry and then fills up with water again, there is bound to be trouble.

 Rescuers to search through the night for mudslide survivors in Washington state after hearing cries for help (click here)

The Sheriff is asking residents in Oso and Arlington to evacuate. Lake Stevens is in the lower right corner of this image, and those towns are further north. They are in the next Quadrangle north of the Snohomish Quadrangle.


Saturday, March 22, 2014

Stop Oil and Gas Subsidies.


This is old news. When is society going to ask the question, what is wrong with marriage?


A clarion call went out decades ago when women were discarded by divorce without the ability to support themselves. Being a good mother and a housewife rarely prepared them for being alone with their own financial responsibilities.
Now women know the delusion of being ONLY a mother and a homemaker to their husband as a mirage. It is an idea little girls have when they are playing with dolls, but, by the age of 12 to 13 they clearly get the message the world is about work and if lucky a real career. 
Today, the single parent be it men or women, is the norm. The real worries are still teen pregnancy, pay inequity for women and substandard pay for work in the USA. Marriage isn't a priority anymore with men or women. I think that is classic of an impoverished society. 
By Rob Stein and Donna St. George
Washington Post Staff Writers
Thursday, May 14, 2009 


Katrina Stanfield, 25, (click here) is raising her 3-year-old daughter in Middletown, Md., without a husband because she and her boyfriend decided that marriage would not work for them. 
Heidy Gonzalez, 21, is living with her two children and their father in Mount Rainier, but tying the knot is not a priority for them now.
Emily Smatchetti, 38, is a single mother of a toddler in Miami because she had not found the right man and worried that time was running out. So she found a sperm donor.
The mothers are part of a far-reaching social trend unfolding across the United States: The number of children being born out of wedlock has risen sharply in recent years, driven primarily by women in their 20s and 30s opting to have children without getting married. Nearly four out of every 10 births are now to unmarried women.... 

Read it and weep. The depression and stress of low income creates too much tension for marriages to survive. Marriage is a temporary high that loses it's luster within the first few years. Two or three or four low income jobs to a marriage doesn't make it more viable.

The facts are the facts. Marriage when successful usually belongs to the Middle Class and wealthy.

 
theguardian.com
 

...But here's the rub: (click here) stable marriages – the kind that are most likely to produce successful, socially mobile, healthy children – are disproportionately available to people who are already financially stable and well-educated. Those people are likely to marry later in life, when communication and relationship skills are well-honed, and they're less likely to experience the kind of profound economic stress that helps to end marriages in lower economic brackets. 

They're also more likely to find marriageable partners and have a reason to delay childbearing until they're financially stable and emotionally ready. As Dana Goldstein details in this excellent piece, unplanned pregnancy is primarily disastrous for those who have a reason to delay. If there's little chance of college, a stable career and an upward financial trajectory, why delay childbearing? Marriage to an unsuitable partner, though, may logically be delayed or avoided all together. And when unemployed or chronically under-employed men are a financial burden on the family rather than a contributor, there's a real incentive to avoid tying the knot.... 

The top three reasons for USA divorces are young age, less education and less income, in that order.

In the United States, (click here) researchers estimate that 40%–50% of all first marriages, and 60% of second marriages, will end in divorce. There are some well known factors that put people at higher risk for divorce: marrying at a very early age, less education and income,... ...Barriers to leaving a marriage, such as financial worries, can keep marriages together in the short run. However, unless there is improvement in the relationship, eventually the barriers are usually not enough to keep a marriage together in the long run.... 

Like I said, the problems remain as teen pregnancies, pay inequity for women and substandard pay for work in the USA.

Isn't a Boss others turn to be sure the work gets done well?

What would anyone expect from a US Surgeon General?

20 March 2014
Michael  Cohen  

...“Radical gun control measures”! Go on. (click here)

Murthy has some crazy, crazy ideas about guns. For example, he wants to bring back the federal assault weapons ban. He supports universal background checks; mandatory-waiting periods of 48 hours for gun purchases, mandatory safety training for gun owners and limits on ammunition purchases. He even wants to do away with laws that would prevent doctors from discussing gun safety with their patients; he wants to see laws that prohibit physicians from documenting gun ownership be repealed; and he wants to restore CDC and NIH funding to conduct firearms research....

That's radical? Could have fooled me. It sounds like he is interested in protecting and saving lives. Is that what a US Surgeon General is suppose to do? I mean call me crazy but I would not expect him to make it easier for Americans to die.

Let's see.  :He wants to bring back the federal assault weapons ban." That is not crazy there are many Americans with the same view.

The poll, (click here) which also inquired about views on immigration, budget cuts, jobs and the economy, included 13 questions on guns.

Would you support or oppose a law requiring a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons? 56 percent supported, 42 percent opposed.

He supports universal background checks. Most American support that measure so it appears the NRA is crazy if majorities count.

Would you support or oppose a law requiring background checks on people buying guns at gun shows or online? 86 percent support, 13 percent oppose.

Mandatory-waiting periods of 48 hours for gun purchases.

The goals of a waiting period are to: (1) give law enforcement officials sufficient time to perform a background check; and (2) provide a “cooling off” period to help guard against impulsive acts of violence.

1. In 2000, (click here) in homicides where the weapon was known, 50 percent (1,342 of 2,701) of female homicide victims were killed with a firearm. Of those female firearm homicides, 1,009 women (75 percent) were killed with a handgun.  

2. More than five times as many women were murdered by an intimate acquaintance (605) than by a stranger (113) in the year 2000. Additionally, while firearm homicides involving male victims were mostly intra-gender, 95 percent of female firearm homicide victims were murdered by a male. 

Mandatory safety training for gun owners.

July 2012 Poll (click here).
I especially thought keeping guns out of the hands of those on the terrorist watch list was prudent.


Limits on ammunition purchases.

Would you support or oppose a law requiring a nationwide ban on high-capacity ammunition clips, meaning those containing more than 10 bullets? 56 percent support, 41 percent oppose.

Nope the good doctor is not crazy. As a matter of fact, it appears to me President Obama went out of his way to find a US Surgeon General that most matched the views of Americans.

I think President Obama is spot on about Michigan State. Have you seen them play? Wow.

NCAA College Basketball (click here)

They are up against Harvard today. (click here)

SPOKANE, Wash. (click here) — It is a cute bracket entry — “Harvard” — nestled into the long left column, alongside the royalty of the sport from Florida, Syracuse, Michigan State, Connecticut, Virginia, Kansas, Villanova, and UCLA. 

Harvard? For those who don’t follow college basketball, seeing Harvard in a bracket is more of a shocker than seeing the Shockers of Wichita State. It’s as if a guy named “Einstein” appeared at the NFL Combine....

What is the one sure way to create doubt in government so viewers will turn in?

Create a scenario whereby there is no significant explanation that a government will recognize. Why not UFOs? 

There are many strange things about our world yet to be revealed. But, when a news agency or news agencies deny the one most serious problem the world has today, namely human induced global warming, why should anything they report be taken seriously, yet alone UFOs.

Here is one picture the Martine family was able to take of the flying object that hovered over their cattle fields. (Sam Martine)

'I've never seen anything like that before,' says Sam Martine (click here)

CBC News  
Posted: Mar 21, 2014 7:23 PM MT Last Updated: Mar 21, 2014 7:23 PM MT

A mother and daughter who live on a ranch just outside of Nanton are scratching their heads after a couple of unidentified flying objects flew over their southern Alberta home late last Sunday night.

Sam Martine says she and her daughter were watching TV when they saw two bright lights hovering over a field less than a kilometre away from their home....

It's populous television. Everyday is Halloween. Boooo!

If CNN is trying to be a FOX wannabee there is a reason why both political stations don't have the following they want. The reason? There are alternatives to television. Cable priced itself out of the market.

By Chris Caesar
Boston.com Staff
March 21, 2014 

CNN’s obsessive coverage (click here) of missing Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 has attracted some backlash—and chuckles—from media critics, other journalists and, of course, their social media audience.
Take CNN Newsroom host Don Lemon, who took some Twitter heat this week for his use of a toy plane in his coverage and for raising the possibility that a “supernatural” explanation may exist for the plane’s disappearance....

Perhaps Massachusetts needs a federal USFish and Wildlife mediator.

Mountain Lions are beautiful but they are also dangerous and are predators. This is not a small matter. If it hasn't attacked people it can be relocated. They love living in Yosemite by the way. 

This has been a really rough winter and it is rough for wildlife, too. The cat could be disoriented and hungry. There is every reason to seek the identity of the animal before something happens everyone will regret. 

The mountain lion (Puma concolor) (click here) is also known as the cougar, puma, panther, and catamount, and is the largest wildcat in North America. Mountain lions have powerful limbs and can leap as high as 15 feet and as far as 40 feet.

Posted by Doug Saffir   
March 21, 2014 05:37 PM 

An ongoing dispute (click here) between Winchester police and wildlife officials has resulted in nothing but confusion for Winchester residents who are concerned a wild mountain lion might be roaming their town.
In two separate incidents, people have reported spotting an animal described as a large cat. But in neither instance has the animal been confirmed as a mountain lion.
According to CBS Boston, Winchester police sent footprints collected from each incident to a wildlife expert. A statement on the Winchester police website said the expert determined that the prints belong to a mountain lion.
But that is where things start to get cloudy. Multiple reports have said that Massachusetts wildlife officials were quick to refute the claims made by Winchester police....