Sunday, February 14, 2021

There is a limit on time in order to prevent a climate disaster.

Ross Ice Shelf (click here) melting as it never has before (picture to left.

The Earth is showing signs of atmospheric mixing. Until recent years the idea of water vapor in any amount in the lower stratosphere going up was irrelevant. Now, with an increase in water vapor into the stratosphere there is a concern for the origins and what we can expect in the future.

We know that water vapor in the stratosphere increases the break down of O3, ozone. NASA is probably the best agency to plunder for information. They monitor the different atmospheres and have for a long time. They have historic data that can act as a baseline to better understand the changing stratosphere in both oxygen and water vapor transported through the tropopause and into the lower stratosphere.

Across the journal articles and scientific letters, there is a concern mostly for the lower stratosphere. That to me is where the water vapor is transported from the troposphere. Now, what is occurring in the troposphere that can actually cause these increasing amounts of water vapor in the lower stratosphere?

If one looks at the date whereby C-zero was discovered to be moving in the opposite direction, the two high altitude tropospheric vortexes and now the beginning of the increase in water vapor in the lower stratosphere the picture of the climate crisis takes shape.

There was something drastic that happened in 2002. The ice rivers leading into the Ross Ice Shelf shrank drastically. The emergence of vortexes in the North Atlantic and North Pacific was manifested due to the rising temperatures in Earth's troposphere. Upt to that point the warming of Earth was linear. It was on a path of 100 years before these drastically dangerous conditions would exist. The vortexes of 2002 would multiple to seven and eventually reach a maximum with the diameter from the equator to the arctic circle.

Now, with a growing concern for increasing water vapor in the lower stratosphere which would imperil the ozone layer, the year 2002 shows there is another structural problem with the climate crisis. I am convinced in 2002 there was a tipping point which we have not recovered from. It seems plainly obvious to me the water vapor collecting in the stratosphere is due to mixing when the polar vortex collapses and opportunity at the ozone hole in Antarctica with it's own polar vortex. 

The illustration to the right shows the size of the Ross Ice Shelf. The polluting greenhouse gases must stop into the troposphere, the price is too high for such flagrant disregard of human life.