Monday, July 28, 2014

Ukraine is not NATO and the USA is not interested in European involvement in war with Russia, while Russia might be though.

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko is looking to the USA for all it's answers. That is not likely to happen. The Ukrainian President needs to seek the support of the EU and expanding it's markets to the EU. The relationship with Ukraine is different simply because they are not NATO. 

July 22, 2014
By Josh Levs and Mick Kever

In an exclusive interview (click here) with CNN's Christiane Amanpour, Poroshenko said, "Every country and every person, and every leader should find out their own place."

"We know exactly" where a missile was shot that hit the plane Thursday, killing all 298 people aboard, and where the flight crashed, he said. "And all this territory is firmly controlled by Russian-supported terrorists."

Ukraine has "a lot of evidence that these people are supported by Russia, trained by Russia, armed by Russia," he added. "And most of them and their leaders are Russian citizens. That is for sure."...

Some of the problems the Ukraine faces are similar to that of the EU. In working with the EU, Ukraine can become a cohesive partner in trade and energy efficiency. The relationship with the USA has to be more homogenous in it's interests in Europe simply because an abrupt change of direction would change the balance of powers in Europe and the USA would be then engaged with a confrontational war with Russia. That would place Europe in extreme danger.

The Ukraine government can certainly ask for purchases of military equipment from the USA and in that financial assistance would be provided through Congress. I sincerely believe the US Congress would invite the interest of the Ukraine with full disclosure to NATO of any changes that military assistance might bring. 

Ukraine is best to invite peace talks will all it's partners to bring about a better resolve for itself. The separatists are a problem and it would be difficult for the Ukrainian people to sustain a protracted civil war simply because it is demoralizing to the people of Ukraine whom relied on a treaty to maintain it's peace.

The Ukraine President needs to take heart in Ukraine's ability to carry out a successful assault against the separatists. Why is Russia firing across the border of Ukraine? It is because Ukraine has been successful in driving the separatists up to the Russian border. Russia does not want this civil war to find itself on Russian soil. 

I do not believe Putin is looking for a global war to fight which would occur should the USA become directly involved in a military assault within Ukraine. President Putin is attempting to push aside the harm the sanctions are doing and regain the moral ground it has lost in an international economy. In that is the reality President Poroshenko has been more than successful in pushing the separatists back on their heels while Russia seeks to 'make room' for separatists fighting within Ukraine. 

President Poroshenko has plenty of clout in his military prowess despite his military losses. The losses are having a heavy toll on the moral fiber of Ukraine simply because they want peace and they want relationships with both East and West. Ukraine never asked to be the linch pin to Putin's political clout and to that reality President Putin is failing both his country and his desired alliances with neighboring countries in creating an economic union.

The USA is not cold hearted regarding the Ukraine military losses, quite the contrary. The USA counts every casualty itself when engaged in war and to that reality there is currently legislation to correct the new needs of the returning soldiers for the Veteran's Administration system. We know what it is to mourn every military loss and it is right to do so. Citizens should never be depersonalized to the point in which previous American administrations used citizens for their own purposes. The current administration in Washington, DC is aware of the pain the citizens of the USA suffer with such losses as does the Ukrainians as well. No one in the USA wants Ukrainian losses. I wish Russia was the same way.

In looking to the USA to directly intervene in a Ukraine civil war would profoundly escalate the region into a war that Ukrainians would regret. The Ukraine President and military leaders need to develop a plan for the best outcomes to their civil war, realize their successes to date, seek to minimize losses, but, most importantly Ukraine has to develop a strong economy to survive the onslaught of a Russia incursion and the plans for economic pressure by Russia's trade plans.

I thought Ukraine was wise to refuse to be a part of NATO as it may hamper it's ability to trade with Russia. It has to weigh all the alternatives to it's present position.