Tuesday, June 17, 2014

This is the trend of global warming.

This is the way this entire end stage global warming has been trending. First there are occurrences that are unusual such as the manifestation of North Atlantic Oscillation and Arctic Oscillation in the north Pacific at the same time on October 4, 2002.

Then there were three tropospheric vortexes and then four to a maximum of seven all sequestered in the northern regions of the northern hemisphere. Then the vortexes hit a maximum as singular systems that covered at least half the Atlantic Ocean. The vortexes as water vapor moved up in altitude then started to spawn in lower latitudes where they could find water vapor to fuel the energy/heat calories in the troposphere.

First there were increases in the velocity of tornadoes and then the tornadoes were moving their trend outside the 'normal' tornado season, then there were outbreaks of multiple tornadoes and now that is the norm. There are rarely singular tornadoes anymore even if it is a F4 or F5. This scale to the right shows the POTENTIAL of escalating heat in the troposphere. This is Fujita scale, not the cockamamie EF scale. 

In this illustration scientists made room for potential greater than F5. But that is not what occurred with human induced global warming. Earth's surface area has a lot of potential to absorb greater amounts of heat and there is also a question of the tensile strength of water vapor when consolidated to absorb Earth's heat. In other words, while scientists allowed for greater velocity in single systems such as tornadoes and hurricanes it didn't INITIALLY occur. What did occur were greater occurrences of the same velocity maximum. Sort of. Better said, what occurred is the greater occurrences of systems (tornadoes/hurricanes) within the same F Scale, hence, tornado outbreaks rather than F6 or F7 for tornadoes and the SSHWS scale for hurricanes.


The maximum for hurricanes occurred in 2005 in the northern Atlantic above the equator when there were 31 named storms and three huge category 5 systems and two category 4 systems.

This record appears on UNISYS (click here).

The water vapor was literally tossed in the upper troposphere with each huge storm that year. The surface of Earth would mostly lose it's available water vapor. It was matched after that with increasing numbers of tornadoes year after year and diminishing numbers of hurricanes. The first 'near shore' hurricanes occurred that year also. I think the first significant named 'near shore' storm was Dennis. What was happening was a shift from available water vapor in tropical rainforests and ocean surface to Earth harnessing sea spray at shorelines to propagate hurricanes. These are not cognitive decisions by Earth, it is all physics. 

But, the manifestation of twin tornadoes of substantial size is not surprising. It is simply the next step in heat calories/energy on Earth. What did occur last year in 2013 to challenge the category 5 maximum in the western Pacific was Super Typhoon Haiyan.

November 10, 2013
By Manuel Magato and Roling
Tacloban, Phillipines
(Reuters) - Rescue workers struggled (click here) to reach ravaged towns and villages in the central Philippines on Monday as they tried to deliver aid to survivors of a powerful typhoon that killed an estimated 10,000 people and displaced more than 600,000....
This was it's tracking information with wind speeds to 170 knots.
12   7.40  139.60 11/06/00Z  130     - SUPER TYPHOON-4
 13   7.60  138.00 11/06/06Z  135     - SUPER TYPHOON-4
 14   7.90  136.20 11/06/12Z  140     - SUPER TYPHOON-5
 15   8.20  134.40 11/06/18Z  150     - SUPER TYPHOON-5
 16   8.60  132.80 11/07/00Z  150     - SUPER TYPHOON-5
 18  10.20  129.10 11/07/12Z  165     - SUPER TYPHOON-5
 19  10.60  127.00 11/07/18Z  170     - SUPER TYPHOON-5
 20  11.00  124.80 11/08/00Z  160     - SUPER TYPHOON-5
 21  11.40  122.60 11/08/06Z  145     - SUPER TYPHOON-5
 22  11.80  120.60 11/08/12Z  135     - SUPER TYPHOON-4
 23  12.40  118.10 11/08/18Z  125     - SUPER TYPHOON-4
Normally category 5 is simply stated as greater than 155 knots (one knot is equivalent to 1.15 mph). The fact of the matter is there may be a necessity for a category 6 storm at some point.

The reason the Pacific would spawn high velocity storms is because Pacific is the largest ocean on Earth. It provides the 'best surface' for continued escalation of velocity without interruption. So, it is correct to be finding these high velocities in the Pacific Ocean.

What really made me realize the profound impact of human induced global warming in the year 2013 was the denser appearance of noctilucent clouds. They appeared regularly last year.

Polar mesospheric clouds (click here)—also known as noctilucent or “night shining” clouds—form between 76 to 85 kilometers (47 to 53 miles) above the Earth’s surface, near the boundary of the mesosphere and thermosphere, a region known as the mesopause. At these altitudes, water vapor can freeze into clouds of ice crystals. When the Sun is below the horizon and the ground is in darkness, these high clouds may still be illuminated, lending them their ethereal, “night shining” qualities.

To me if one accepts the storms of 2005 stimulated the transfer of water vapor from Earth's surface to the upper troposphere and unavailable for 'normal weather patterns' than how will denser and denser amounts of water vapor manifest other than recharging high elevation glaciers?

Earth's surface had gotten so hot the expansion of air mass and the movement of water vapor to higher and higher altitudes resulted in water vapor moving outside the troposphere to the mesopause. Basically, there is permanent sequestering of water vapor unavailable for any benevolence to Earth's surface now.

The countries of Earth need to take all these 'real world' facts seriously and end the emission of greenhouse gases. Human beings did this. It is time to get real.