Monday, June 16, 2014

Not everyone had it wrong about US Rep. Eric Cantor.

TPM (click here)

Not if one was really looking.

This is his favorability poll. Not the primary poll.

I haven't read all the methodologies of the primary polling and it sounds like it would be a bad read anyway, but, my guess is that methods were skewed.

It might have been very difficult getting a representative sample of Republicans in Virginia. If that was the case the methodology would then fall to 'equity' rather than an actual population of voters. 

There should have been a good sampling of Republicans in Virginia simply because the state does vote for Republicans in the state representation. But, if there is so many people not approving of Representative Cantor's job in the US House it would be rather difficult to gather a representative population. 

It is my guess when pollsters start coming up with low numbers for Mr. Cantor in the primary they adjusted their initial method because it seemed so skewed to what the general perception was of 'his image.' Then as one poll came up with results the others read their methodology and believed they had to adjust their's as well.

See when Image is the measure of Populous opinion it will be skewed unless it is a rating for Miss Universe or something. Populous opinion does not reflect the way citizens necessarily think. Image can be bought and paid for, but, that does not mean that is actually how voters perceive their candidate. Image is transient if voters have a real basis of complaint to their representation by their elected official. Some politicians believe image is everything. Evidently, it isn't.