Sunday, April 03, 2016

2016 is a real race for the White House. The number of people turning out for their chosen candidate is great.

If this is an indication of any contest, there is a real race between Clinton-Trump. I think the likability rating of Bush vs Clinton in 1992 is very interesting.


April 2, 2016
By Jonathan 

...Mr. Trump (click here) is so negatively viewed, polls suggest, that he could turn otherwise safe Republican states, usually political afterthoughts because of their strong conservative tilt, into tight contests. In Utah, his deep unpopularity with Mormon voters suggests that a state that has gone Republican every election for a half-century could wind up in play. Republicans there pointed to a much-discussed Deseret News poll last month, showing Mrs. Clinton with a narrow lead over Mr. Trump, to argue that the state would be difficult for him.

Horse-race polls this early are poor predictors of election results, and candidates have turned around public opinion before. And the country’s politics have become so sharply polarized that no major-party contender is likely to come near the 49-state defeats suffered by Democrats in 1972 and 1984....

Likability doesn't seem to have as much influence as some would like it to mean. As a matter of fact, likability seems to cloud the candidates reality to being elected. 

A candidate has to run and meet real people and answer real questions.