Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Jose

This hurricane season will begin to define "resident storm." The entire USA east coast is receiving increased tides, that includes Bermuda. There has to be some rain as well. Jose is still a Cat. 1 hurricane with wind speeds of 65 knots per hour. It's central pressure MAINTAINS at 971 which is a drop in millibars from six hours ago. This storm is not finished.

September 19, 2017
1030.18z
UNISYS Water Vapor Satellite of north and east hemisphere (click here for 12 hour loop - thank you)


Jose

12.30 -39.10 09/05/12Z 35 1008 TROPICAL STORM

32.20 -71.60 09/18/00Z 80 972 HURRICANE-1
33.00 -71.40 09/18/06Z 75 974 HURRICANE-1
33.90 -71.10 09/18/12Z 65 977 HURRICANE-1
34.80 -71.10 09/18/18Z 65 977 HURRICANE-1
35.20 -71.30 09/19/00Z 65 975 HURRICANE-1
36.00 -71.30 09/19/06Z 65 971 HURRICANE-1

The RAF is using Bermuda to refuel (click here) and hold their planes for clearance to fly to the Leeward islands. I don't know where the RAF is going now as even Puerto Rico is under sincere danger from a Cat. 5 hurricane Maria in the Caribbean.

September 18, 2017

Hurricane Jose (click here) has brought strong winds and a risk of thunder as it heads away from Bermuda, the Bermuda Weather Service said.
The storm, which has winds of about 75mph and higher gusts, passed its closest point of approach within three days this morning but remains a potential threat to the island.

At noon, Jose was 331 nautical miles west-northwest of Bermuda and heading north at about 9mph.

It is forecast to stay off the United States’ East Coast, but could bring tropical storm conditions to some areas, according to the National Hurricane Centre....

Increased wave height with longevity will erode coastlines. The erosion when over an extended period of time will include rock, which is prevalent in Maine.

I don't want to know what the private owner fishing fleet looks like right now. They may need emergency coverage for loss of income this season. The USDA needs to pay a visit to the fishermen along the Atlantic coast. Send them a survey and realize the extent of their losses while offering forms to file for help.

September 17, 2017
By Dan Zarrow

...As Jose (click here) churns up the ocean and throws water toward the Jersey Shore, I’m still thinking we’ll see waves up to 6 feet breaking along the coast. A High Risk for dangerous rip currents has been posted along all New Jersey beaches. Red flags will be flying through at least the middle of the week....

The tidal surge is estimated to be 1 to 2 feet. That is a lot even if reduced from 3 to 4 feet. This surge is continual and damaging. The rainfall was estimated in a total of 1 to 3 inches. Okay. But. This is now continuing. The coastal communities must be having issues. Maybe the strategies since Sandy work and that would be a good model for everyone else, too. 

...The latest models suggest gusts to 40 mph for inland New Jersey and 50 mph along the coast. Technically, a “severe wind” is 58+ mph. But I think Jose’s wind will be high enough to blow around patio furniture, bring down some vulnerable trees and power lines, and cause sporadic power outages. High-profile vehicles (like trucks and vans) may also be difficult to control with such gusts...

New York City is already dealing with sea level rise; Jose only complicates that picture.

September 19, 2017
By Nicole Brown and Lisa Colangelo

...The city's Office of Emergency Management (click here) said residents should be prepared for moderate coastal flooding. 

“We are closely monitoring Hurricane Jose and the potential impacts it may have to New York City,” said OEM Commissioner Joseph Esposito. “If you live in vulnerable coastal neighborhoods, take steps to protect your property. Prepare your Go Bags, charge your cell phone batteries, and don’t forget to check in on relatives, friends, and neighbors.”...