Wednesday, April 20, 2016

I do not believe civilization will be completely lost.

If one studies women's history there was a prehistoric time where women were the settlers in small communities. The men were more nomadic. The women accepted gifts from men visiting them, but, there was no obligation known as marriage. Women were always vulnerable due to the very fact they became pregnant. There wasn't a traditional family. There was no prehistoric club over the head with the man dragging her by the hair. She was more civilized than that. She nurtured children, not just gave birth.

April 19,2016
By William B. Gail

 ...Our foundation of Earth knowledge,(click here) largely derived from historically observed patterns, has been central to society’s progress. Early cultures kept track of nature’s ebb and flow, passing improved knowledge about hunting and agriculture to each new generation. Science has accelerated this learning process through advanced observation methods and pattern discovery techniques. These allow us to anticipate the future with a consistency unimaginable to our ancestors.

But as Earth warms, our historical understanding will turn obsolete faster than we can replace it with new knowledge. Some patterns will change significantly; others will be largely unaffected, though it will be difficult to say what will change, by how much, and when....

It is that from our prehistoric ancestors that tells me communities survive when civilization fails. There were great empires in the Greeks and Romans, but, they passed into the dust. The conquering armies never last forever. There are no resources for that. What there are resources for is survival. In the case of the Roman Empire it was relocating to a more secure geography in the Byzantine. For as long as primates existed there has been community. It is the best and most reliable form of survival.

Earth can get to be hostile and deadly. Our understanding of life 100 years from now is rather unknown. I can guess, but, the truth is not absolute except there is a dangerous path ahead. 

The path during that century is not one of ice ages, but, of the only other warming period known to Earth, the Devonian Extinction (click here). We are in the sixth extinction and are seeing the bleaching of the corals. But, scientists are hanging on tight to continue to grow more biota than it's destruction.

There is a particular difference between the Devonian Extinction and it's warming and the current anthropogenic sixth extinction; the level of greenhouse gases. The Devonian Extinction was due to a very warm Earth, however, it did not have the level of greenhouse gases currently in Earth's troposphere. In addition to the level in the troposphere there is all that much more in the oceans. 

The stores in the ocean prolongs the recovery.

The Devonian Extinction saw nearly all the life in the ocean dead. I think it was something like 97 percent. Today, in the Sea of Thialand there is little else than squid. The fisheries there collapsed about seven years ago. There is definitely evidence of extinction on Earth today. Human beings that have loved Earth have held on tightly to endangered species of plant and animal. It is to humanities credit we might actually survive this warming. Many people already have not. 

The editorial is about what to expect, but, many like me watch it happen. As life with Earth's cooperation wanes it will be the LOCAL ECONOMY that will survive as the absolute best form of life and pleasure. 

It is vital for us to cling to what is wonderful about life, provided the viruses allow it.