Wednesday, February 26, 2014

The people of the Ukraine are concerned about Crimea separatism.

On Air (click here)

Ukrainians want peace within their country. They want all Ukrainians to live within the new government. They want all Ukrainians to support their country without any threat of violence or separatism. Is that too much to want?

There can still be opposition parties in any election, but, to actively be part of a movement to divide the country geographically and set up reasons for tensions and fears of violence is not where the new leadership or the majority of the people want the country. 

I don't believe in jailing former leaders as they did the former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko on trumped up charges of embezzlement and abuse of power. But, this time there are people dead. Mykola Azarov may have ordered the riot police to use excessive force. The real focus needs to be on the police that carried out the killing and jail them and hold them for trial, but, if the people fell victim to orders from the leadership there are penalties to be paid. 

I do believe the opposition in the Crimea comes from leadership being jailed and now missing. One other thing about Former President Viktor Yanukovich. With the opposition of the people he began charges of murder against the jailed Former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko.

January 19, 2013 
By ALYSSA NEWCOMB
Former Ukrainan Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, (click here) a galvanizing figure in the Orange Revolution of 2004, has been named a suspect in the murder of a powerful businessman and lawmaker and three others in 1996.
Supporters of Tymoshenko, who is serving a seven-year sentence in a separate case, say the accusations are just the latest in an attempt by President Viktor Yanukovich to keep his rival behind bars.
Tymoshenko's political party said the latest allegations represented a "shameful day in the history of the Ukrainian law enforcement system," The Associated Press reported.... 

Basically, while Tymoshenko sat in prison and was connected with the people, Yanukovich was seeking a way for her death.

Iconic figures behind bars is simply not a good idea. It galvanized populations within a country and creates tensions. The Ukraine has been in flux for so long it is always this tug of war that is engaged and those that are more Soviet than independent expect they will regain their ground. 
Alyssa Newcomb More from Alyssa »
Digital Reporter


in Sevastopol, in Kiev and agencies
theguardian.com


Ukraine's new leadership (click here) disbanded the country's feared riot police on Wednesday as they sought to win confidence from a splintered and economically ravaged nation with the creation of a unity government.
Protesters filled Kiev's Maidan square – the seat of the Ukrainian revolution – preparing to meet the replacement cabinet proposed by Oleksandr Turchynov, Ukraine's acting president, on Wednesday evening.
Turchynov warned on Tuesday that the country faced a serious threat from separatism amid fears the Kremlin may be stoking pro-Russian sentiment in the Crimean peninsula.
"We discussed the question of not allowing any signs of separatism and threats to Ukraine's territorial integrity and punishing people guilty of this," Turchynov said after meeting key officials.
A visiting Russian parliamentarian said earlier on Tuesday that Moscow would act in the event of heightened tension over the Crimean peninsula...

The issue at the heart of any WEDGE in the Ukraine are the gas contracts with Russia.

 
Feb 25, 2014 5:04 AM ET

Russian stocks tumbled (click here) as the ruble fell while oil and gas shares dropped with crude amid concern that Ukraine will be unable to pay for energy imports.
The Micex Index (INDEXCF) fell 0.8 percent to 1,477.35 at 12:50 p.m. in Moscow, its biggest decline in six days. OAO Gazprom, which sends more than half of its European gas exports via Ukraine, dropped 1.8 percent to 146.44 rubles. OAO Bashneft, a regional oil producer, dropped 2.2 percent to 2,105 rubles.
Ukraine can’t pay about $1.6 billion it owes Russia for natural gas because local utilities haven’t paid for supplies in more than a year, Kommersant newspaper said today, citing Ukrainian Energy Minister Eduard Stavytskyi. The one third discount it receives on Russian gas will probably be extended to the second quarter, he was reported to have said. Brent crude slid 0.2 percent to $110.39 in London.... 

The Ukraine Legislators need to address their debt problems constructively. The interest by Russia in the Ukraine is less about reconstituting the USSR in an economic union, but, more about the stability of the Russian economy. No other country is showing interest in the debt interests of the Ukraine.

It is somewhat understandable that the EU has resistance in seeking the Ukraine as a member or otherwise. The EU has suffered their own bailouts and debt restructuring of it's members.

Along with having the 2004 Constitution returned and the Former Prime Minister freed, the Ukraine legislators and current leadership have to stop worrying about their presence in the government. The country needs stability and if the Ukraine became an independent country with leadership that handled the debt through the IMF rather than seeking favors from Russia, the instability will settle down. Those opposing the 2004 Constitution also have a reasonable argument that the country languishes in debt troubles. The national debt of the Ukraine has to be addressed constructively to provide confidence by all the people to their future.

There is also the idea of alternative energies that should be a priority for the Ukraine, however, it is difficult to invest in new infrastructure when it's current methods of energy are entrenching the country in profound debt.

MOSCOW February 22, 2014 (AP)

Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov (click here) said Sunday that Ukraine should seek a loan from the International Monetary Fund to avoid an imminent default, but would have to meet demands for difficult structural reforms.

Russia in December offered Ukraine a $15 billion bailout, but so far has provided only $3 billion, freezing further disbursements pending the outcome of the ongoing political crisis.

The loan was promised to Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych after he ditched an agreement with the European Union that Moscow opposed. But Yanukovych left Ukraine's capital on Saturday after parliament voted for his removal, and protesters calling for closer ties with the West now have the upper hand in Kiev....