Friday, August 05, 2016

The hurricanes are back !

August 5, 2016 0830.19z 
UNISYS water vapor north and west hemisphere satellite.


Below is the same satellite image 12 hours later. The chain of Hawaii islands can be noted in both images in the lower left corner. The top image shows a small white dot near Hawaii. That, as far as I am concerned is a tropical depression. The national weather service doesn't think it amounts to anything even 12 hours later. I am not looking at their information, so I do not judge. 


To right:
August 5, 2016
2130.21z
UNISYS water vapor satellite of north and west hemisphere (click here for 12 hour loop)

There is Tropical Storm Ivette on the same latitude in the east Pacific as Tropical Storm Earl is in the Atlantic. Tropical Storm Earl is a coastal storm of Mexico. 

The image to the right is the current image and the small white dot (unidentified storm) near Hawaii is more clear. It is the center of a tropical vortex. 

ALSO, in the loop note the density of water vapor over the USA and how it wains as the 'small white dot' grows in strength. THEN when the white dot has accelerated enough, the water vapor density returns. This is a clear oscillation between the heat over the USA, the available water vapor and the small white dot which is a developing storm. THAT storm near Hawaii will deliver heat into the Pacific Ocean. The process will repeat over and over until the physics is satisfied and the small white dot storm may increase again in 12 hours.


The ITCZ is well populated even as it spins tropical depressions into the Pacific and Atlantic. The dry air continues. to rise from the ITCZ, traverses the USA and into turbulence into the Atlantic.

05 Aug 2016 
2155 GMT
The Weather Channel US Infrared Satellite

Near shore storms are a growing reality for the USA.

August 5, 2016
By Alex Sosnowski

Tropical storms (click here) have formed in this manner in the past, but the process can be very slow.
The area being monitored extends from northern Florida to Louisiana spanning Tuesday to Friday. If a tropical storm forms, it would acquire the name Fiona.
Regardless of whether or not a tropical storm develops, light winds, copious amounts of moisture and the disturbance itself will produce rounds of heavy rain through next week.
A slow-moving storm system will deposit locally heavy rainfall over much of the southeastern United States through this weekend.
The disturbance near the Gulf coast will enhance the rainfall beyond the weekend.
Many locations from the southern parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Georgia to northern and central Florida can receive 1-2 inches of rain on an almost daily basis. Much of this rain can fall in an hour or two where thunderstorms develop. Rainfall of this nature can easily lead to localized flash flooding and brief travel disruptions.