Friday, October 30, 2015

Nineteen countries are meeting as a Syrian Summit.

Any coalition government has to guarantee peace and protection of all the people.

October 30, 2015
By Bradley Klapper and George Jahn 

The fate of President Bashar Assad II is at the center of discussions, sources say. (click here)

Vienna — The United States, Russia and other regional and world powers were considering a new plan Friday to set up a ceasefire in Syria within the next four to six months, followed by the formation of a transition government featuring President Bashar Assad and opposition members, officials told The Associated Press.
How long Assad could remain in power under the transition was still unclear.
The Western officials said the United States and its partners supported the timetable as a first phase toward ending the 4½-year civil war that has killed more than 250,000 people and uprooted more than 11 million, leading to the growing terrorist threat of the Islamic State and sparking a refugee crisis throughout Europe. They said an agreement hadn’t yet been reached, but that the 19 nations meeting in Vienna were considering the idea.
The officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly on the matter, said that a follow-up meeting was expected as early as next week, with top diplomats possibly returning to Austria’s capital....

...Assad’s fate was at the center of discussions. The U.S., Saudi Arabia and others have tempered their earlier calls for Assad’s immediate ouster and now say he can remain in office for months as part of a transition if he agrees to resign at the end of the process. Russia and Iran are both providing Assad military assistance and say Syria’s leadership shouldn’t be dictated by outside forces....

I have to agree. The West has had more then enough to time display leadership in an alternate government and it has not. Agreed there needs to be a coalition government, but, that means the Shia have someone in leadership that can provide stability to their lives and children.

Syria is highly diverse. It is the most northern country where such diversity completes it's mix. There is not a great deal of diversity in Turkey or Iran and we all know the diversity in Iraq. There is no simple fix for Syria.

What needs to be included in the agreement is the end of any overreach into Lebanon by Assad. He has to bring his people home. The security of the Alawites have to be inside Syria's borders and not in Lebanon between Syria and Israel. Each security issue in Syria has to be addressed within it's own borders.

Hezbollah is a part of the Shi'ite diaspora. They need to stop their autonomy and bring their families into Syria or Iran. If the Shia are to maintain the Crescent it has to live within the rules of peace without a goal for expansionism.

As soon as there is a sustainable ceasefire, global leaders will have to asses how best they can reassure reconstruction in Syria and they have to insure water sources to it's very parched farmland.