Tuesday, February 02, 2016

I don't think this is about Putin.

This is about Turkey and it's ambivalence in the conflict with Daesh. There needs to be a stronger response if there are uprising of the young male immigrants in Europe. I think this enhanced presence will continue from here on.

Turkey has been a hindrance to the fight against Daesh in Syria. It has allowed free flow of young people into Syria across it's borders. Turkey has also killed Kurds that had absolutely nothing to do with Turkey sovereignty. Even PKK is fighting in Iraq now.

There is instability in Post Soviet countries, but, that isn't the reason for USA troops. That instability will resolve as it does. Those Post Soviet states have to resolve internal unrest themselves. It is not a matter of a huge military invasion, however, the potential for Europe to turn into a powder keg of violence is real. Far more real than anything the Post Soviet states are dealing with. Oddly enough those Post Soviet nations have seasoned leadership. 

If my thoughts about history and issues such as Daesh is correct, the anticipated uprising will be postponed until 'the soldiers' within Europe believe they have an edge to victory. A sympathizer usually is about five years or more into development before they actually turn on it's country.

Poverty initially dissuades sympathizers of violent overthrow. The exception to that was seen in France with a young terrorist that arrived only days before and he had a passport and came through the Greek island. He didn't carry out the deaths of people by himself. He joined a well established, but unknown, group of murderers already in France. So, the idea all those young male migrants are at the ready immediately is not realistic.

Europe and the USA have no differences when it comes to freedom and democracy. We walk the same steps in many ways. The simple thought of giving up Europe to violence is like losing a piece of ourselves. The human values within Europe have to survive. It proves what every country can become compassionate of it's citizens that brings the strength in such governments and societies.

February 2, 2016
By Rick Lyman

Budapest — The Obama administration’s plans (click here) to quadruple military spending in Central and Eastern Europe, largely in response to recent aggression in Ukraine and elsewhere by President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, was greeted warmly but warily in the region on Tuesday.

“It is not only the right decision, it is necessary to protect Central Europe from Putin’s expansionistic lust,” said Radko Hokovsky, executive director of European Values, a research organization in Prague.

Mr. Putin’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 and his continued support for pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine — along with provocative incursions into Ukraine’s airspace, increased submarine patrols and large-scale military maneuvers near its western borders — have unsettled many of the former Communist states in the region and have led to increasing demands for a concrete Western response....