Monday, October 12, 2015

October 10, 2015

Charleston, S.C. -- More deaths have been reported (click here) from the massive flooding in South Carolina.
At a press conference on Saturday, South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley announced that the death toll had risen to 19 in the state.
She urged residents to stay at home since flash flood watches had been issued Saturday morning, saying it was "a good day to stay in and watch football and not get out on the roads."
Portions of the Carolinas could see 1 to 2 inches of rain within the next 24 hours, and it may cause issues for already-damaged roads.
The governor said the state could see a slow decline of the larger rivers, but possibly some flooding in small creeks.

This death toll is different from deaths caused by heat.

This figure (click here) shows the annual rates for deaths classified as "heat-related" by medical professionals in the 50 states and the District of Columbia. The orange line shows deaths for which heat was listed as the main (underlying) cause.* The blue line shows deaths for which heat was listed as either the underlying or contributing cause of death during the months from May to September, based on a broader set of data that became available in 1999.

Deaths can happen more readily in cities because they are 'heat islands.' More concrete than green. Heat related deaths can be masked by statistics. Heat related deaths have to be discerned by the actual death certificate. If cities and states want to change the language for death by heat on death certificates, that is fraud. There is a way to discern fraud. Cities and states don't stand alone. The heat deaths can be regional as well as national. There are methods to extract accurate counts, but, may need investigation into when and how death certificates are recorded.

Many factors (click here) can influence the nature, extent, and timing of health consequences associated with extreme heat events. 12 Studies of heat waves are one way to better understand health impacts, but different methods can lead to very different estimates of heat-related deaths. For example, during a severe heat wave that hit Chicago* between July 11 and July 27, 1995, 465 heat-related deaths were recorded on death certificates in Cook County. 13 However, studies that compared the total number of deaths during this heat wave (regardless of the recorded cause of death) with the long-term average of daily deaths found that the heat wave likely led to about 700 more deaths than would otherwise have been expected. 14 Differences in estimated heat-related deaths that result from different methods may be even larger when considering the entire nation and longer time periods.