Friday, August 28, 2015

Four hurricanes along the ITCZ.

August 28, 2015
1330.18z
UNISYS Water Vapor Satellite of north and west Hemsphere (click here for 12 hour loop - Thank you.)

There is a fifth developing southeast of the Gulf of California. There is a lot of heat driving these storms. 

7 12.10 -121.00 08/28/09Z - - TROPICAL DEPRESSION
14 13.90 -143.10 08/27/23Z 80 982 HURRICANE
131A 17.20 -170.10 08/28/02Z 60 990 TROPICAL STORM
14A 18.80 -69.80 08/28/12Z - - TROPICAL DEPRESSION 

Four storms are all oscillating within 8 degrees latitude of each other. Now imagine one storm carrying all that water vapor and energy. The potential of any one of these storms accelerating is possible while the others dissipate.

That is the reality of oscillation in 2015. As one storm dissipates because of lack of water vapor at Earth's surface, even over the ocean, the unresolved energy is returned to the troposphere. That additional energy will be transferred to another storm with enough water vapor content to accommodate it. If any of the remaining storms haven't tapped into enough water vapor content to accept the additional heat energy there will be another rotation center manifested along the ICTZ.

Of the four named storms, Ericka in the Caribbean Sea has the most available water vapor and has a path that will continue to provide water vapor consistently

Why not over the Pacific? Because water vapor is water vapor and has a higher tolerance to accept heat. There is more room for water vapor molecules to oscillate with the 'space' between molecules of 'vapor.' Simply because the Pacific is water doesn't mean it has water vapor readily available to accommodate the 'transfer' of heat energy/calories. It takes much more energy to change water to vapor than simply transfer heat to existing water vapor. 

The image (click here) to the right is a cube of ice. As the temperature is increased by the learner the wider the space between the molecules polar covalent bonding.

It is the properties of water that allows it to accept heat. As the molecules accept heat they move farther apart. It takes significant energy to move water from ice to liquid.

Below is the heat requirement to cause a 'PHASE CHANGE' in water. Changing ice to liquid water takes far less energy than moving water to vapor (steam). So, when it comes to global warming and the conditions of weather, transferring heat into existing water vapor is easier than changing a molecule of liquid water to water vapor. 

In order for ocean water to become water vapor requires moving the temperature of the water to 100 degrees Celsius. That would mean the oceans are boiling.

The water vapor over the oceans, regardless, of the temperature isn't going to cause the oceans to boil and become water vapor. When hurricanes inject heat into the oceans the temperature than is incorporated into a large number of molecules and ocean temperatures increase.

The graph to the right illustrates the increasing temperature of surface sea water of Earth. This is real and accurate information (click here).

The idea water vapor over ocean water causes increased vaporization of the oceans is silly. There can be some water vapor created of surface sea water, but, never enough to transfer heat energy of Earth.

The dynamics of the current weather (weather and not climate) patterns is based in heat transfer and enabled by the physics of water.