Monday, October 13, 2014

The Islamic State hasn't really increased it's military abilities, as a matter of fact they are looking for more.


October 13, 2014
Kobani (click here) is still holding out against ISIS, the top Kurdish official in the besieged Syria border city said Monday – but a senior U.S. defense official warned that American air strikes may not be enough to save it from falling to militants. Fighter jets are unable to launch strikes at potential targets inside Kobani because it is difficult to differentiate between ISIS or Kurdish fighters and because of the potential for the killing of innocent civilians, the U.S. official said, adding that "there is concern that Kobani could still fall" to ISIS....

I don't believe the airstrikes are an attempt to kill people so much as destroy military assets.  What gave the Islamic State potential to destroy and conquer were American assets. Those assets have been destroyed. Movement does not dictate victory. As the coalition destroys military assets, the Islamic State fighters will seek to find more, hence, an Albar.

The drones target commanders and leaders of the Islamic State. I am sure drones can also destroy assets. But, there is nothing yet that dictates the Islamic State is stronger and expanding. In a recent event in an Albar they moved into the area, but, where did they go? They went to a military base. They are attempting to reconstitute what the coalition destroyed.

I think appearances of the movement of these foot soldiers are deceptive if measuring the fact they are still breathing and mobile. I realize these foot soldiers are still problems as they carry guns, but, they aren't more powerful. 

"They control about 30 to 35 percent of the city on the eastern side. Our fighting, along with the US and coalition airstrikes, are holding off the ISIS assault." 

They will fight and fight hard to gain ground into an area they believe they can find weapons to reconstitute their military. But, even if they advance into an area it costs them military assets and then only to reconstitute what they lost certainly doesn't make them more of a fighting force, it at best, maintains their status quo.

Turkey has been fighting PKK for a very long time. If Turkey thought the Islamic State were a sincere threat it wouldn't be taking this so lightly. If Turkey is not interested in launching strikes against these foot soldiers, there can't be much of a threat and Turkey knows what a threat looks like.

If anything Turkey is far more used to multiple extremist groups and whom are their commanders and where they receive monies and munitions. Turkey knows the lay of the land, if it felt threatened it would act or ask the USA to act. 

The coalition doesn't want to kill people. That would be an easy way out, but, innocent people including women and children would be dead. Bombs are not discerning as to whom is effected. If soldiers are in a tank or in a yard where military assets are parked, etc., they will die with explosions from bombs, but, the community a kilometer away will feel nothing but the shock waves from the bombs. Not to say buildings won't rattle and damage won't be done, but, the sincere targets are not the people. Refugees mean there are many people that the coalition has saved. Now, the land has to be rid of those that do kill them.

The USA entered this saving the lives of the Yazidis on Mount Sinjar. That is the focus of the US military coalition. It is to stop the sincere killers of these people and not destroy the people along the way. Again, the Geneva Convention is not about killing, it is about winning/ending a war. 

At the beginning when the Islamic State began to advance they were boasting they wanted wives and children. Now, the so called perspective wives are being sold into slavery. I am not saying that is a desirable place for women in Syria, but, it does indicate their moral content is waning due to the fact women are not merchandise and not wives. 

October 11, 2014
A 15-year-old girl (click here) has revealed how she escaped Isis militants by drugging and shooting two husbands who bought her as a slave.
The teenager, who has been kept anonymous to protect her family, was one of hundreds of women from the Yazidi sect who extremists kidnapped after overrunning their homes on Iraq's Mount Sinjar.
The women and girls were trafficked to Isis strongholds, where survivors say many were raped. The captives were said to include girls as young as five....

And I point out this young girl is still alive. Why conduct a war when at the end everyone is dead? If that is the type of war the USA is conducting it will lose allies and the coalition will dissolve. There is morality in war and while I hate the fact young girls are kidnapped from their lives to be used for sales to obtain money, they are still alive, they still value their freedom and are successful to some extent in saving themselves from the hell they are cast into by the Islamic State.

The POWs in this war isn't exactly soldiers so much as those that didn't make it out of Syria to be refugees. At the end of any war prisoners are returned to their lives before they became soldiers. I am not so sure the people still alive in any corner of this conflict would be alive if the war was escalated beyond what it is today. Living is better than dying. Allowing life in the face of the need to end the military advances of a cruel militia is far better than to kill all involved, innocent or not.

The Kurds are successful soldiers because they are fighting for their land and they are not advancing to other lands to disarm the Islamic State. The Kurds recognize the enemy as it approaches, therefore, those that approach Kurdish land are enemies. If they were to advance to seek to destroy, the multitudes of groups would only create a greater war for them if they destroyed militias not sincerely in the fight. By protecting their land, the Kurds are also armed without wasting munitions on attacks that may not serve their best purpose. The airstrikes allow them to maximize their position. 

If the conflict would stabilize, that would be a good thing. It won't stabilize until the Islamic State runs out of options for reconstituting it's military assets.

In the beginning the Islamic State was fighting a war that was noble and believed to be granted by God. Now. Today, the Islamic State fights to survive. It is a very different war than when it started.