Monday, August 27, 2012

There is no reason to believe Isaac won't make landfall at the mouth of the Mississippi River.

August 27, 2012
1140:00z
UNISYS Infrared Southeast Satellite (click title for 12 hour loop)

The dynamics of the Gulf are not that much different than seven years ago.

The difference is the storm itself. It is going to be a soaker, but, the levies even before Katrina withstood Cat 3 storms without failing. Katrina was pushing a huge storm surge and that is what brought volume of water  (weight) causing the failure of the levies.

There will be considerable rain to the same region, however, there will be relief to the volume in the rivers and tributaries as water flows out of the delta while the rain is falling. This storm is dense in rainfall while Katrina brought immediate inundating storm surge. 

I don't make these statements lightly. The fear along the Gulf Coast is significant with storms approaching. There are areas below sea level, hence, the levies. People need to take precautions, there will be flooding. But, Isaac is not another Katrina. There will be flooding with large amounts of rainfall. But, there will not be the power that Katrina delivered.

BE SMART, BE SAFE!

Isaac can have the same behavior as Katrina, in that it will wobble it's path before landfall.

August 26, 2012
2330:00z
UNISYS Infrared GOES East Satellite (click here for 12 hour loop)

How is Florida? It got soaked over the entire state. Isaac was, for the most part, a bi-coastal storm for the size of it.There are areas of the east coast receiving some of Isaac's wrath as well.