Sunday, May 04, 2014

It is snowing at the 45 th parrallel and the farmers haven't been out on their fields yet.

UNISYS Infrared Midwest Satellite (click here for 12 hour loop)
May 4, 2014
10:31:47z

Sunday, May 4, 2014 @ 7:21 AM

Latitude 44.9767° N

Longitude 85.6506° W

Large, fluffy snow flakes

Wind 3 mph

35F 

Humidity 94%

Prediction states rain. It isn't rain.

Yesterday was the first day the bay received waves.

UNISYS Water Vapor North and West Hemisphere Satellite (click here for 12 hour loop - thank you)
May 4, 2014
1030.18z

intellicast North Pole Satellite
May 4, 2014
0600 gmt

Arctic sea ice (click here) reached its annual maximum extent on March 21, after a brief surge in extent mid-month. Overall the 2014 Arctic maximum was the fifth lowest in the 1978 to 2014 record. 

The sea ice is greater in Antarctica because of the ice fields melting on the continent. There is more cold entering the circumpolar circulation. We have witnessed enormous shelf collapse and icebergs this year.

Antarctic sea ice reached its annual minimum on February 23, and was the fourth highest Antarctic minimum in the satellite record. While this continues a strong pattern of greater-than-average sea ice extent in Antarctica for the past two years, Antarctic sea ice remains more variable year-to-year than the Arctic.

Warmer ocean circulation.

Arctic sea ice extent for March 2014 averaged 14.80 million square kilometers (5.70 million square miles). This is 730,000 square kilometers (282,000 square miles) below the 1981 to 2010 average extent, and 330,000 square kilometers (127,000 square miles) above the record March monthly low, which happened in 2006. Extent remains slightly below average in the Barents Sea and the Sea of Okhotsk, but is at near-average levels elsewhere.

Arctic Ocean Sea Ice Graph Average from 1979-2000

The average up to this point was very predictable. It didn't meander to far from the same averge, ie: the gray areas.

 
This is the same graph as above, but, with the average of 2001 added to it. Consistent, right?

This is the same graph as above without 2001, but, with the average of 2002. It's different, isn't it? The average in 2002 wanders outside 'the norm' that has been consistent from 1979-2001. What happened? Does anyone remember what happened? I do.

One October 4, 2002 the first two vortexes appeared in the northern hemisphere with one in the North Atlantic and one in the North Pacific. Simultaneously, in Antarctica an alert was published that "C Zero" had reversed it's flow. C Zero was an ice river in Antarctica. At the time the scientists stated they were uncertain what occurred simply because they hadn't analyzed data yet. But, what I recorded in my notes for that day was that C Zero was no longer completely ice and was floating on melt water (similar to the Greenland Icesheet) and was now flowing toward the circumpolar circulation rather than continually expanding in ice content. 

When the vortexes showed up and there were only two at the time (eventually there would be a maximum of seven major vortexes in the northern hemisphere over time) the equation of the climate crisis changed. We were no longer looking at a linear equation, it was now exponential which means the crisis was not contracting into a tighter and tighter time frame. The estimations went from 100 years to 50 years and today it's even shorter. 

This is the graph of the Arctic Ocean sea ice extent from the years 1981 - 2010 with the 2002 average. The 2002 line is no longer outside the 'normal', is it? As a matter of fact it is well within that average. What happened?

This is a comparison of the Arctic Ocean sea ice extent of both charts, 1979-2000 and 1981-2010 plus 2002. What happened to the solidly average 'normal' sea ice extent in just a few year? 

The dynamics of Earth's troposphere changed. It reached a tipping point. The Arctic Ocean average sea ice extent was no longer consistent and was exhibiting qualities never witnessed before. It was becoming far less predictable and this was validated by countries like Iceland which in 2003 was reporting there was open water passage across the Arctic Ocean/Arctic Sea.

Now, the Polar Vortex which provided consistent Arctic Ocean sea ice extent averages for historic consistency is now unhinged.

The snow at the 45th parrallel at Latitude 44.9767° N and Longitude 85.6506° W changed from large, fluffy windless snow to very light flurries without wind at 8:05AM EST and has now stopped as of 8:07AM EST. It isn't as though it still isn't precipitating, but, it is that the precipitation isn't reaching the ground because the sun's light and infrared heat from Earth is now greater.