Sunday, February 13, 2005

Is there a question to where Earth is headed?

I don't see how anyone could ever deny Earth is heating. I don't see the objection to the belief the destructive pattern that manifested on October 4, 2002 could be anything but THE problem this world faces.

Below is a graph from Mauna Loa Observatory. There are two red lines. Each read line represents the increase of carbon dioxide being deposited into the troposphere. In the early days of investigation is was learned the 'average' rate of increase of carbon dioxide in the years 1958 through 1966 was 0.60 parts per million. The other red line measure the rate of carbon dioxide increase in the years 1996 to 2002.

To keep this as simple if one is to draw a straight line continuing the earlier red line off the chart it would exit at about 340 parts per million in the year 2002. In March of 2004 the level of carbon dioxide in the troposphere was 379 parts per million. Needless to say that the amount of increase per year has significantly changed the level of CO2 in the tropsphere. In October 2002 the tropospheric levels of CO2 were nearly 376.

Back in the day and it wasn't all that long ago, approximately 2 or 3 decades ago when global warming was first conceived as a dangerous trend it was believed levels of 400 PPM would be tolerable and the levels of which intolerance of biota would be 800 PPM. Those were estimates derived from fossil evidence. They were wrong. They were not only wrong they were grossly wrong. The intolerance to CO2 concentration by Earth is significantly lower than 400.

The pictures below give an interesting picture. The day Australia had snow in the middle of summer the raging heat from the equator into the Southern Ice Continent was unlike any 'Heat Transfer System' I ever witnessed in the 3+ years I have been observing and recording the events of Human Induced Global Warming. Since that day the dynamics seems to have changed and I want to say in a postive way but in reality with carbon levels not improved I can only say in a 'static way.'

The traverse of the sun from the southern hemisphere to the north seems to have brought about an equilibrium of the two hemispheres of Earth in that the reach of the North Polar and South Polar vortexes are the same as exhibited in the current Pacific Global Satellite. That is somewhat of a relief to the Southern Hemisphere although the temperature at Scott would reflect a little bit warmer wind today. That is not a drastic experssion of accuracy of the movement of heat there but only the movement of air at the instance the measurement was taken and that can vary from day to day to reflect stability overall.

The issue now is what will occur in the Northern Hemisphere now that we have a resident 'super cell' if you will over the North Atlantic. I believe I am catching a bit of a re-manifestation of the Jet Stream today flowing over top of the vortex which would be a clear indication the velocity of the system could be slowing. I don't believe the Jet Stream is back to stay but it is making more appearances on a regular basis than it has in the past. This could be just another oscillation to minimum before a return to a greater maximum or it could be an actually 'relief' pattern whereby we are actually coming down in CO2 density while Earth is trying to rest back into comfortable patterns of 'normal' tropospheric air movement.

There is one more item of interest not pictured here but I can certainly pull up a 'then' and 'now' picture to illustrate it. The 'heat conduit' that flowed between the mouth of the Amazon River and Africa disappeared. Today it is back. It is oscillating but it is back. For as 'terrible' as all this looks, I remain hopeful and optimistic we are taking our responsiblities seriously and getting the CO2 to lower in trend rather than to continue to rise.