Wednesday, May 01, 2024

The idea El Nino and only El Nino is to blame for the heating is nonsense.

Earth's mechanisms of climate such as storms, tornadoes, hurricanes, etc. are not changing within the climate crisis. However, Earth's mechanisms are driven by heat to a greater and greater dynamic. The El Nino of 2023-24 was 3 degrees Celsius (37.4 degrees Fahrenheit) HIGHER THAN NORMAL.

So, what?

What that means is all that heat that churned in the ocean added to ocean heat as well as engaged HEAT TRANSFER in the way of midlatitude vortexes to the Arctic Circle further diminishing Earth's ice reserves. The reserves are so badly diminished that scientists conducting annual reviews of this ice can't stand on it anymore. The ice is so thin it is cracking under MINIMAL WEIGHT.

Earlier there was reporting that demanding less SOOT out of ocean going vessels is eliminating the shadow for Earth and caused increased heating. That is not accurate by any stretch of the imagination. It only pretends that sooty emissions is beneficial. The primary driver of increased heat this year has been the out of control El Nino. 37.4 degrees Fahrenheit above normal is very, very hot.

There is a popular thought about Thermohaline Circulation (click here) when disturbed by the climate crisis and it slows the entire process of Earth's decline will end. That is not correct. If Earth's heating continues past the absence of ice on the caps and in the Arctic and Southern Oceans it will negate any of Earth's natural physics to reverse into glaciation.

Earth runs on physics. There are physics from every aspect of Earth's presence, including space which is why the USA's expertise on all matters of human survival REQUIRES knowledge of space. Earth's physics can be disturbed even though it is a planet by the large population of humans on it AND their consumerism. The more people with a carbon footprint the more danger to Earth's climate exists. That human footprint includes all aspects of life including industrial activities that emit dangerous greenhouse gases. It is not the number of humans that needs focus, but, the carbon footprint each one has.

When a planet's physics is disturbed and it's path is changed there really is no returning it without natural phenomena acting on it and/or in the case of Earth human activity changing a negative path forward. In the case of Earth's climate crisis it is going to require every aspect of human greenhouse gas footprint/emissions to end. There is no ALLOWABLE EMISSIONS anymore. Human longevity will demand all greenhouse gas emissions to end.

The level of greenhouse gas emissions returning to pre-industrial levels should be the focus in order to obtain a planet with increasing populations and an Earth that is benevolent.

end

05 March 2024

El Niño (click here) has officially started, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Here's what it means for the Bay Area.

...The current El Niño event, (click here) which developed in June 2023, was at its strongest between November and January. It displayed a peak value of about 2.0 °C above the 1991 to 2020 average sea surface temperature for the eastern and central tropical Pacific Ocean. This made it one of the five strongest El Nino events ever, though it was weaker than the 1997/98 and 2015/2016 events.

El Niño is mainly a seasonal climate phenomenon with climate impacts on seasonal climate averages but can make extreme weather and climate-events more likely in certain regions. Furthermore, the seasonal forecasts are found to be more accurate during El Niño and La Niña events, particularly in the tropics, and this emphasizes the pivotal role of early warnings to support decision-making and enhance preparedness and anticipatory action....