Tuesday, March 24, 2015

French Alps near Digne

Meteos-Prime - Europe Channel Water Vapor Satellite
March 24, 2015
0000

The time the jet went down was 1036 ? est ? that would make it a five hour difference in time to GMT at 0536 gmt. (click here for loop)

If emergency services are on the way, they know exactly where the aircraft has been downed. 

There has been a strong set of vortexes through the region in the past few hours. This is the northern vortex.

Below is the southern vortex. There would be a 'weather front' between the two that would create turbulence in a jet crossing that front.

Meteos-Prime - Europe Channel Water Vapor Satellite
March 24, 2015
0600

There is six hours between the two radar images.

In the loop there is also a very small vortex traversing the two vortex moving from west to east. It is nearly invisible, but, it is there. The major vortexes traveling from west to east. This other air mass was moving from east to west. There was high tropospheric air turbulence. Whether or not that effected the jet is a potential. The smaller vortex moving east to west develops out of the turbulence of the two other vortex passing each other. It is off the southern tip of the northern vortex as the other approaches. The air stream was present all the way from the farthest point on the right of the image. That air injection was the turbulence that separated the two vortex. It is nearly invisible because it has little to no water vapor until it meets the lower vortex at it's entrance from the Atlantic Ocean.

I am sorry, but, Digne falls under that air injection. I can't dismiss it right now. If there is debris in Barcelona that could be the air injection carrying some of the jet from a higher altitude. I am confident the authorities in the area will have the most minor of details soon.

My sympathies to the families and friends to those lost. It is horrible when these tragedies strike. 

24 March 2015
By Adam Withnall

An Airbus A320 (click here) carrying 148 people has crashed in the Alps in southeastern France.
French authorities confirmed the German Wings plane was flying from Barcelona to Dusseldorf when it disappeared from radar.
142 passengers, two pilots and four stewards were on board.
It crashed in the Massif des Trois évêchs in the valley of Haute-Bléone, in the region of Digne.
Emergency services are on their way. 

I'll be honest about these high altitude vortexes, the 'fly by wire' technology may not have the software it needs to understand these air masses. This jet had to discern three different air mass conditions with it's on board computers within a short period of time. Jets are exposed to these air masses on a regular basis and the entire populous of pilots should be surveyed for their input regarding turbulence. The most experienced pilots will have the most information with depth as to the difference there is today as opposed to the past to MAINTAIN the trajectory and stability of the aircraft. The industry needs their input and they can do it anonymously on audio tape. Anonymous identity would create an air of honesty. The information is too important to play any kind of industry politics.

The industry needs to come to terms with the Climate Crisis. It can be classified information as computer software can be written to allow pilots their autonomous flight skills in times they believe to be questionable for a computer to be competent IF that proves to be an issue. 

Reports state it was not a careening decent. In other words it did not move swiftly and in an uncontrolled way in a specified direction. It sounds as though the pilot(s) had control of the jet. If there was an on board explosion it would not have a controlled movement.

If "Fly by Wire" was discerning the flight in varying ways due to very drastic air mass differences, it could cause it's own loss of structural integrity. Just stating what is obvious to me and not making the final analysis from solid information. 

These are large jets with large surface area. The A320 does not have an exemplary record. This is from Wiki (click here). The "Miracle on the Hudson" was a A320, but, the pilot and his experience is what saved the lives. The downing of that A320 in NYC was not the fault of the jet.

No one is stating the airline industry is unsafe or they don't care enough to be safe, but, there are real estimates regarding the public knowledge of what actually occurs. When there is inconsistency in the information the public is more rattled than the industry should allow. Honest assessments, please.

The fact of the matter is the Alps have considerable number of people competent in traversing the region. There will be recovery as soon as the best folks are at the scene. If it requires large equipment to remove the plane from the crevasse it might be a challenge. But, I am sure there are people already there or soon given the expert climbers in the area.

Given the popularity of the area there are probably witnesses to the crash much to their surprise and concern.