Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Isaac has found its own water vapor source. The heated summer waters of the Gulf Coast.

August 29, 2012
1931:00z
UNISYS Visual Southeast Satellite (click here for 12. hour loop)

The eye is over wetlands. I think Earth wants the wetlands back again!

Land Area Change in Coastal Louisiana (1932 to 2010 - video - click here)



Approximately (click title to entry - thank you) 40 percent of the coastal wetlands of the lower forty-eight states are located in Louisiana. Unfortunately, this fragile environment is disappearing at an alarming rate. Louisiana has lost up to 40 square miles of marsh per year for several decades – that’s 80 percent of the nation’s annual coastal wetland loss. To date, Louisiana has already lost coastal land area equal to the size of the state of Delaware. This loss is at an average rate of an acre every 38 minutes. If the current rate of loss is not slowed by the year 2040, an additional 800,000 acres of wetlands will disappear, and the Louisiana shoreline will advance inland as much as 33 miles in some areas.

Below is the UNISYS Water Vapor North and West Hemisphere Satellite of 2330:00z on August 29, 2012 (click here for 12 hour loop)


All the circulations centers, including named storms are finding autonomous water vapor sources. There are two on the same latitude; one in the Atlantic and one in the Pacific. The white dot near Hawaii is on the same latitude as the white dot east of the Lesser Antilles at approximately 18.5 North. Ileana in the Pacific has strengthened to 60 knots per hour. Kirk in the Atlantic is at 25.3 latitude and there is one circulation north of Kirk east of Delaware in the water vapor trail of Isaac. 

The storms other than Issac are not making landfall, but, the point is they are finding autonomy without being in the same water vapor trail. Isaac is as happy as a drunk in a wine cellar. What a mess. Get people out of the flood waters. Please. Thank you.

The Direct Solar Rays Simulator (click here) has them at 8.6 degrees North on August 29. But, the intensity of those sun rays still extends above the Tropic of Cancer where twin storms at 18 degrees North exist.

Ileana may make landfall into the Baja Peninsula and Isaac is moving slowly north.

August 29, 2012
2330:00z
UNISYS Enhanced Infrared GOES East Satellite (click here for 12 hour loop)

The circulation center east of the Lesser Antilles is moving fast and organizing to be a large storm. It is southeast of Kirk. As a named storm it would be Leslie. I don't know how the Hurricane Center is doing it. There is a lot of activity on both coasts of North America. 

Leslie would be under the direct solar rays and it is making that a huge storm.

Mexican authorities needs to pay attention to Ileana. It's bands are reaching the Baja now in limited amounts.

There is probably another circulation center southeast of Ileana.

Isaac is creating a disaster of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and coastal North Carolina.

Isaac started on August 21, 2012 at 0900z. It is a long lived storm. 


 32  29.00  -89.70 08/29/03Z   70   968 HURRICANE-1
32A  29.00  -90.00 08/29/05Z   70   969 HURRICANE-1
32B  29.00  -90.00 08/29/07Z   70   968 HURRICANE-1

The lowest central pressure was 968 less than 24 hours ago. It moved north one degree over the past 17 hours.  Its speed has dropped by 20 mph. If Isaac continues to move north it will slow with rising central pressure and basically just dissipate. Unbelievable as that sounds right now; it will become clear skies.
 
35A  30.10  -91.10 08/30/00Z   50   977 TROPICAL STORM

Isaac's status is currently the reading above. If people don't drown in this storm it will be an amazing act of vigilance by all involved. I congratulate them and thank you.