From the same web article.
The monster storm leaves 19 victims in the
This hurricane is very dangerous. I can understand how some might believe "Frankenstorm" is a more or less mockery of this weather system. I thought it was named for the serious of the storm while occurring at Halloween. The name "Frankenstorm" came out in the media after the brevity of the storm wasn't noted. My first thought was the 'funny name' would lead people to pay attention, rather than be caught up in Halloween without realizing the hurricane season wasn't over yet.
The name isn't offensive if the funny name saves lives and causes preparedness. If it makes the storm more lighthearted then it is inconsistent with reality. I don't believe that is how the storm's name manifested. I sincerely believe it resulted because it is sincerely a MONSTER storm.
Hurricane Hazel, October 1954 (click here)
On the morning of October 15, Hurricane Hazel made a direct hit on the heart of North Carolina. It was one of the greatest natural disasters to ever affect the state, and one of the most destructive hurricanes to strike the United States.
The North Carolina damage report:
An estimated $136 million in property damage
19 deaths
200 injuries
15,000 homes and structures destroyed. 39,000 structures damaged
I need to take a look at this entire idea of the storm morphing into some kind of huge cold weather storm.
0115 GMT
Current Temperature Map
The Weather Channel
It is important to make the distinction between speculation into the accuracy of the 'winter hurricane' idea and PREPAREDNESS. This is not to diminish the assessment by anyone in regard to preparedness. But, there is a satellite that shows some air mass movement that could effect the interaction of Sandy and the frigid air mass.
0130:19z
UNISYS Water Vapor North and West Hemisphere (click here for 12 hour loop)
There is a huge vortex off the west coast of North America in the Pacific south of Alaska. I have never witnessed an Arctic Oscillation this size. It encompasses the entire East Pacific north of the equator. It is larger than Sandy.
For as cold as the air mass is over the USA, it may very well be diluted with more tropical air. In the hemisphere satellite loop the movement of the arctic air is more or less circular while the tropical air moves north. I'll try to be more specific.
There is a vortex forming over Hudson Bay, Canada. It is also the leading edge of the front moving through the USA. It is pulling warm air off the equator. That air movement is carrying warm water vapor north with the formation of the vortex over Hudson Bay. At the same time the arctic air moving down from the north is becoming homogenized with the warmer air coming up from the equator. NOT that is is going to become as warm at the east coast air is now, but, to it will become somewhat warmer due to this forming vortex in Canada.
The point is if the arctic air mass warms it will 'permit' velocity to be maintained by Sandy. This is a forming vortex over Hudson Bay. It is pulling warm air north. The Hudson Bay vortex will mix with the cold air mass over the USA. There is a chance this will cause warming of that arctic air mass and will provide 'opportunity' for Sandy to continue a velocity. The movement of water vapor off the equator will also provide acce
I HAVE A PHONE CALL. I'LL BE BACK. I HAVE TO TAKE IT.
Okay, where did I leave off?
The movement of water vapor off the equator will also provide accelerant to Sandy.
Basically, the situation with the storm is not at all static according to the dynamics existing as of right now.
1. The reality is the arctic air mass, in my opinion, will warm a bit depending on the degree of heat carried north by the Hudson Bay vortex.
2. The Hudson Bay vortex will provide additional WARM water vapor to the arctic air mass and Sandy stabilizing the velocity of Sandy while potentially adding more.
3. Sandy will be soaker.
4. People need to take the storm seriously.
5. Vigilance to concentrate on the movement of heat. Colder air will get warmer. Warmer air will not necessarily become colder. Why? And this is getting off track, but, there is no residual frigid ice formations in the Arctic that can add to the coldness in a real way.
I'll show you want I mean.
Earth and its physics can be so beautiful, but, if you listen to the language of the planet, Earth also talks.
No, I am not crazy. Believe me there are times people want to have me committed, but, the petroleum industry is never correct and the shrinks always let me go.
I am just joking. Let's put it this way, for as often as others have said I am crazy, they have never proven it.
Okay, the language of Earth. Ready?
...Along Greenland’s east coast, (click here) the Fram Strait serves as an expressway for sea ice moving out of the Arctic Ocean. The movement of ice through the strait used to be offset by the growth of ice in the Beaufort Gyre. Until the late 1990s, ice would persist in the gyre for years, growing thicker and more resistant to melt. Since the start of the twenty-first century, however, ice has been less likely to survive its trip through the southern part of the Beaufort Gyre. As a result, less Arctic sea ice has been able to pile up and form multi-year ice....
Why would the ice entering the Beaufort Gyre not form multi-year thickness?
This is an easy one.
You know this answer.
Freezing is 0 degrees centigrade. If the water the ice is floating in is a minuscule amount of temperature over 0 degrees centigrade will the ice continue to build in volume or decrease in volume. Because the ice becomes multi-year when it increases in volume. So, what is occurring with the Beaufort Gyre is MELTING. The LACK of multi-year ice formation is actually a melting of the 'ice swirls' and not 'formation' of an ice 'build up.'
See. You knew it all along.
Now.
If the ice at the Beaufort Gyre is melting, what makes any sane climatologist think there will be energy to continue to change the temperature in the arctic air mass opposing Sandy to lower temperatures to counter the build up of heat in the water vapor to effect Sandy's velocity?
If there is no coldness enough to form multi-year ice there sure as heck isn't any to impact a hurricane full of heat energy.
So, the velocity of Sandy depends completely on the exchange of heat from the equator affiliated with the Hudson Bay vortex and the heat of the ocean with the availability of water vapor. The availability of water vapor is excellent as we know 'near shore' storms always have sufficient water vapor in the troposphere because of the DROPLETS of water vapor created by water crashing against the shore.
Therefore, the potential for Sandy is as limited as the TEMPERATURE homogenous of the arctic air mass with the equatorial air mass rising with the Hudson Bay vortex.
Got that?
Good.
