Tuesday, November 20, 2007

How's everyone doing? I listened to some Conservative Radio today. Ready?


It's okay to laugh out loud. I thought I heard everything when it came to Human Induced Global Warming. The latest in Anti-Establishment Rhetoric states, there is a 'vent' in the ocean that sends carbon dioxide into outer space.

Yep. They said it. It was a FOX News station. I heard it and I'm still wondering how any Earth process can 'select' carbon dioxide over any other and then vent it into outer space. I mean to tell you that is pure fantasy.

If they believe there is an Earth vent that is sending carbon dioxide into outer space, then they need a chimney sweep because it ain't working good.

The closer the USA gets to the elections of 2008, the more propaganda that will come out about Global Warming and Climate Change. The reason is obvious. When a President is elected to stop this deadly trend that the USA to date has refused to recognize yet alone legislate policy, the opposition will seek to 'Swiftboat' any mention of the legitimacy of the issue.


The link to this entry is an article about Solar Radiation. It has it's merits, but, nowhere in the article is there a mention of the increase in Earth's temperature because of the Sun's activities.

Solar radiation is electronic in nature. It will disrupt electronic transmissions. That is the primary irritation with Solar flares and Sunspots. Earth is in 'The Habitable Zone" in rotation around the Sun and due to that reality there is life on this planet. Stating the Sun is responsible for Global Warming and Climate Change is bogus. The Sun has cycles and there has never been proven a link between it's cycles and that of Earth, however, there is the reality that as carbon dioxide levels increased since the late 1800s with the Industrial Revolution, Earth's climate has been different and warming.

There is a direct and tracable link between rising carbon dioxide levels and climate change. That link goes back decades. It was estimated a long time ago that Earth would change with higher carbon dioxide levels. Not due to politics, but, because scientists wanted to understand and estimate the level of carbon dioxide that would bring about damage to biota and people. The estimates back then reflected far higher levels than we are currently experiencing that would bring about the severe changes we are seeing now. As a matter of fact some of the estimates were twice the level they are now.


I promised to return to the issue below regarding the circulation of the Arctic Ocean. It mentions cycles. That is a reference point for the scientists reporting their data. They are simply reporting information they have found in their research and making reference to past 'decade-long' events as a point of reference to go forward from. In other words, they understand their data in relation to prior events and therefore none of this seems alien to them to discuss.


The thing is this, as is with every other mention of cycles in relation to this topic. For one, there is no more debate. There is a huge concenus among scientists that Human Induced Global Warming is a foregone conclusion that requires action by all 'carbon dioxide polluting' nations. That is to begin. So when the Conservative Media continues to rant about fantasy and myth surrounding this issue, it's to maintain a political base and not to deal with the facts. The facts are plain and no different than the Larsen Ice Shelf was monitored and known to be on the verge of collapse by sincere study over decades of time, current time. Not historic, science simply does not have those records no matter how they study fossil remains and find evidence in Earth geological records, it will never reflect absolute conditions. Ice cores come the closest to realizing what Earth's troposphere was like in the historical record.


Earth has finite properties. There are not infinite possibilities to the reasons for the current trends of Climate Change. There just isn't. When Earth reacts to increasing heat there will be 'old patterns' of weather such as El Nino, the Arctic Oscillation, etc., etc.. That is the 'nature' of Earth. No one can change that. When old patterns manifest, it is easy to point to such events from recorded and ancient history, allowing false confidence in the 'idea' Earth was always alright and will continue to be. That 'attitude' is very dangerous and not prudent. In order for the reporting of the current Arctic Ocean circulation to be attributed to 'decadonal cycles,' there has to be COMPLETE correlation with historic record and not just a casual one. The relationship the scientists reporting their findings have assembled in this article is a casual one and I'll explain why.


While the findings regarding Arctic Ocean circulation reveals there is a 'cycle' of change 'historically' to attribute it to such events, there is no complete correlation between the current climate conditions and past climate conditions. There can't be. The past climate conditions. Correctly put, the past 'recorded' climate conditions never were reflective of the high levels of carbon dioxide in the troposphere that exists now.

No matter what cycle one refers to, no matter how reliable Earth seems to manifest, it is not.

Never in recorded time has there been this level of carbon dioxide, nor the large and increasing human population that lives on Earth now. In order for scientists to make broad brush strokes to reassure anyone of conclusions that this is a cycle that will resolve they have to make complete correlations to ALL tropospheric conditions and NOT just CONVENIENT and EASY ones.

The article regarding the Arctic Ocean circulation does not factor in any current densities of carbon dioxide, or any loss of species such as 'carbon sink' trees to come to conclusions. The BEST these scientists can say is that there has been a recorded history of these cycles while noting the current tropospheric conditions have never been the same in past cycles.

THAT is the inconvenient truth the Conservative Media REFUSES to deal with and misleads the public and electorate into fantasy and myth. It's a darn shame these people are allowed the influence they have because it's grossly dangerous and irresponsible.

Now.

We go forward with the concensus of scientists that see the problem clearly and ridicule those like the Bush/Cheney administration that ignore the evidence and continue to place human lives and species in danger. The article is interesting to note and track while Earth exhibits enough normalcy to realize we haven't gone completely over the edge, YET, but the potential is still there.

The weather at Glacier Bay National Park (Crystal Wind Chime) is back to melting



This shows contours of the trend in ocean bottom pressure from 2002 to 2006 as measured by GRACE along with hypothetical trends that would apply at the circles if ocean salinity reverted from 1990s values to climatological conditions over the same period. (Credit: Image courtesy of NASA/Jet Propulsion Laboratory)

Elevation :: 33 ft / 10 m

Temperature :: 41 °F / 5 °C

Conditions :: Overcast

Humidity :: 65%

Dew Point :: 30 °F / -1 °C

Wind :: 9 mph / 15 km/h / 4.1 m/s from the SSE

Pressure :: 30.33 in / 1027 hPa (Rising)

Windchill :: 35 °F / 2 °C

Visibility :: 10.0 miles / 16.1 kilometers

UV:
0 out of 16
Clouds:
Mostly Cloudy 5000 ft / 1524 m
Overcast 6500 ft / 1981 m
(Above Ground Level)


This article is interesting in the data it puts forth, but, not necessarily the conclusions it comes to. In this is the 'lethargy' of believing the patterns of Human Induced Global Warming is a reality rather than a pattern. The Climate Change Earth is experiencing now is unique. There has never been the same pressure on Earth's troposphere ever in it's existance. The warming pattern THIS TIME in Earth's long history is caused by the activities of human beings and while ancient and recorded history would portray, AT TIMES, trends of weather and climate, it doesn't reflect the 'element' of human activity that provide the reality of current climate change patterns.


Scientific conclusions tend to be conservative in nature. Science accumulates data and takes a 'wait and see' momentum. It's prudent and in the past has proven to be wise and safe. However, in a world vastly warming and for decades in denial about it's own reality and that of the trend of Carbon Dioxide Accumulation, that 'conservative' nature innate to science hasn't served the reality of human existence or it's political machines well. That is why 'the politically wise' seem more radical, more robust in their assertions.
This is indeed disturbing news about The Arctic Ocean. I'll write more about it later as time permits.


Arctic Ocean Circulation Does An About-Face (click title to entry, thank you)
ScienceDaily (Nov. 14, 2007) — A team of NASA and university scientists has detected an ongoing reversal in Arctic Ocean circulation triggered by atmospheric circulation changes that vary on decade-long time scales. The results suggest not all the large changes seen in Arctic climate in recent years are a result of long-term trends associated with global warming.
The team, led by James Morison of the University of Washington's Polar Science Center Applied Physics Laboratory, Seattle, used data from an Earth-observing satellite and from deep-sea pressure gauges to monitor Arctic Ocean circulation from 2002 to 2006. They measured changes in the weight of columns of Arctic Ocean water, from the surface to the ocean bottom. ...That weight is influenced by factors such as the height of the ocean's surface, and its salinity. A saltier ocean is heavier and circulates differently than one with less salt.
Morison cautioned that while the recent decadal-scale changes in the circulation of the Arctic Ocean may not appear to be directly tied to global warming, most climate models predict the Arctic Oscillation will become even more strongly counterclockwise in the future. "The events of the 1990s may well be a preview of how the Arctic will respond over longer periods of time in a warming world," he said....

This is a small miracle, The Houston Chronicle is actually admitting there needs to be action on Human Induced Global Warming and Climate Change. I'll be darn !

Call to action (click here)

Final report of a scientific panel on climate change should be a wake-up call for world leaders.

A crucial conference of world energy ministers next month in Bali, Indonesia, will plot the next steps by the world's governments in combating global warming. The final summary of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, issued over the weekend, lays out in stark terms the consequences the world faces if leaders fail to bring greenhouse gas emissions under control.
Even if rapidly increasing industrial discharges of carbon dioxide are slowed or stopped, temperatures and sea levels will continue to rise, low-lying lands will be inundated and many life forms will be driven into extinction. For the first time, the panel of hundreds of scientists, which was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize, warns that the melting of the Greenland ice sheet could cause catastrophic rises in sea level in much shorter time frames than previously thought.
As the oceans absorb more CO2 and increase in acidity, vital aquatic food chains will be destroyed and fisheries threatened. Drought in Africa and Asia could reduce agricultural production by half by the year 2030, destabilizing governments and leaving millions of people in dire circumstances.
In unveiling the report, U.N. Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon declared that the time for doubt has passed and "global warming is the defining challenge for our age." He called for a diplomatic breakthrough at the upcoming conference to replace a stalemate that has kept the two largest pollution producers, the United States and China, on the sidelines while the participants in the existing Kyoto treaty have sought to limit emissions....


Have a better day.

A quick word about 'the nature' of the snow currently falling in the USA. Holiday Travel Issues.


November 19, 2007
Temperature map of Northeast USA and Southeast Canada.

The temperatures are well above freezing in majority and any snow resulted from high altitude freezing.

At any rate, the trees, the valuable 'carbon sink' trees, suffer in Climate Change again. They received 'heavy' snow and their 'canopies' are destroyed. This is the sequelae of Human Induced Global Warming that puts Earth on an exponential curve to higher and faster and deadlier warming patterns. The weather is deadly, NOT TO HUMANS in this case, but, to the most valuable of terrestrial carbon sinks, THE TREES.

People are smart.

They know the real tragedy in allowable climate change under USA administrations is the severe damage to species and the ever increasing vortex of destroyed biota of Earth. That is what this photographer focused on.

Not the traffic.

Not the slush.

Not the holiday delays and discomfort.

This photographer focused on the trees and their inability to defend against Human Induced Global Warming resulting in Vortices of Damage.


November 19, 2007
Tamaqua, Pennsylvania
Photographer states :: Heavy wet snow weighed down tree branches and even snapped many trees in half.

The quality of this snow is one of a 'hotter' environment. It is not light, fluffy and 'more icey.' It is basically slush. That is evident from the roadway. So long as AUTOMOBILES take their time, are courteous and use common sense the fatalities and accidents hopefully will be reduced. Noted in this picture, the roadway is wet but not icey or 'as slippery' as it could be. That is directly resulted from warmer temperatures rather than colder.

Since the invasion, the truth tellers have done nothing but baby sit the press. First there were WMD, then Iraq was going to be a Democratic ..


People gather next to the site of a car bomb attack Kirkuk, 180 miles north of Baghdad, Iraq, in this October file photo. Despite a decline in violence in Iraq, northern Iraq has become more violent than other regions as al-Qaida and other militants move there to avoid coalition operations elsewhere, the region's top U.S. commander said Monday. (AP Photo, FILE)


...stronghold that will be the first Domino in the "Domino Effect" of the Middle East.
None of it is true and the facts remain clear.


Iraq is a Shi'ite nation and for decades was oppressed by Western domination of oil demands resulting in a religious war that radicalized the Shia and caused them to become the pariahs, extremists and rebels. The most dramatic example of the Western influence over radicalization of the Shia was the rise of the Mahdi Army (click here).


The post invasion result was complete anarchy and the Holy Men of Iraq were forced to form militias to protect their flocks. There wasn't anything else they could do. As a result there became armed camps within Iraq and the most powerful was the Mahdi Army, primarily because Southern Iraq has always been dominated by Shia, the majority of the country's population.

The Shia were invisible to The West, quite frankly, but they were literally forced into hamlets in the South to form resistance to Saddam's regime living among the wetlands and eeking out survival. To realize they became among the most radical of the opposition to the USA occupation is not a surprise, they were already loosely ogranized under Saddam.

I have always advocated for the majority Shia to come to prominance in Iraq, the USA has always opposed them, seeking only the figure heads of exiles and Western friendly voices as a Central Government, ie: The protests of Shia elected officials boycotting the legislature and Presidential Cabinet. We should be so lucky in the USA that opposition legislators simply boycott sessions of idiocy in voting of the Radicalized Republicans, but, that will never happen. If the Democrats of majority, across the board, boycotted sessions of votes whereby there were no overrides to Bush's vetos, we would see a far different legislature in the House and Senate. Currently, I applaud the "Holiday Happenings" at the Senate this recess and find it refreshing that Senator Reid has a backbone smarter than Bush's exective pen.


That is getting off track.


The Iraqi central government could not find enough police (And I that is police, because until Turkey, Iraq had no invading forces from the outside except the USA Coalition. click here) to bring about stability, the militias did the work no one else could. The radicalization of the Mahdi Army began when King Bremer closed down the newspaper of Cleric Al-Sadr. He was not called Martyr Al-Sadr then, but, reflected his status through his familial devotion to Allah and Islam. I am not so sure, the designation of Martyr is more a Western Media issue so much as a crown to his name and religious affiliation after a pilgramage to Iran.

But, to make a long dissertation short, the Shia have been able to settle Southern Iraq years ago, under a then No Fly Zone. The least violent of all the provinces of Iraq has always been that of the Shia. In recent months a shift by the Central Government to find their own backbone to take control of the circumstances of their people and allign with Iran has resulted in the Shia militias of Iraq to CEASEFIRE and allow the majority of the country to work with the Central Authority to bring about a resolve to tensions. Hopefully, it will last.

Hopefully, the Sunni region of An Albar will find more stability and assistance in that stability by receiving support for their efforts from other Sunni nations such as Saudi Arabia and Jordan. An Albar has been the least abundant in resources, both oil and water, but that is finding resolution as well.

So to adequately address the precieved quite in Iraq.

It is somewhat stability of the Shia province and An Albar, but, that is only after vast amounts of deaths in both those provinces and to date Bush and Cheney have yet to pay for their sins. But, the focus now is Northern Iraq, which under the No Fly Zone became autonomous more than a decade ago. Northern Iraq is where the Kurds have sketched out their province. Oil wealthy and the hub of Kurdish alliance and discontent.

As this article from The Associated Press reveals there is an escalation in violence. Is that a surprise? No. The resistance movement in Iraq, which has many affiliations has simply moved north because of the promise by Turkey to invade and start yet another war with the Kurds this time. While the USA would like to say they are finally dominating the nation of Iraq and a peace has settled in, that isn't the case. The USA has been defeated in Iraq and the 'strong men' of militias and resistance over years of organization have taken control resulting in 'understandings' about what is best for the country and it's people.

We have witnessed An Albar being catered to by Petraeus and Sheiks being assassinated in that realization by the same militias that now visit the northern Kurdish province. This shift in violence is just the next chapter in what was a predominantly peaceful and stable province of Iraq. This has resulted because Bush's leadership has no crediblity in the world or among his own coalition and Turkey has seen an opportunity to war with PKK.

In recent statements from the Iraqi Central Government and in realization Iraq is not a soveriegn country able to fend off a Turkish invasion, the Prime Minister of Iraq asked for tolerance while they grappled with the PKK. As a result, the militias of Iraq so inclined have simply moved their focus from An Albar to the Kurdish provinces. There is no 'better life' for all in Iraq, so much as a shift in violence because Bush can't even provide stability from one of the majority members of his coalition and now Northern Iraq, the Kurdish province is going to suffer because Turkey didn't know how to behave. Just more of the same. Nothing new here. The longer the USA occupies Iraq and it's coalition reeks havoc within it's borders the longer the violence will continue and the more people of Iraq will die.


General Says N. Iraq Most Violent Region (click here)
By PAULINE JELINEK – 3 hours ago
WASHINGTON (AP) — Despite a decline in violence in Iraq, northern Iraq has become more violent than other regions as al-Qaida and other militants move there to avoid coalition operations elsewhere, the region's top U.S. commander said.
Army Maj. Gen. Mark P. Hertling on Monday said al-Qaida cells still operate in all the key cities in the north.
"What you're seeing is the enemy shifting," Hertling told Pentagon reporters in a video conference from outside Tikrit in northern Iraq.
Hertling said militants have been pushed east to his area from Anbar by the so-called Awakening movement, in which local tribes have allied with the coalition against al-Qaida. Others have been pushed north to his area from the Baghdad region, where this year's U.S. troops escalation has made more operations possible.
"The attacks are still much higher than I would like here in the north, but they are continuing to decrease in numbers and scale of attacks," he said.
Hertling said 1,830 roadside bombs were placed in his region in June, compared with 900 last month....

So, if this issue has to take 'daily tending' at this blog to bring about reality rather than mass media propaganda then that is what will ensue. But, for now some alarming news about The Arctic Ocean. Impeach Bush and Cheney, they have been and ARE 'the problem.'