Tuesday, October 25, 2022

About the recession question.

Wall Street likes certainty. Who doesn't? The world is in flux, but, there is a strong president in Washington and the Free World is holding.

The USA is not responsible for the genocide being carried out in Ukraine. 

Got that?

The USA is not responsible for the genocide being carried out in Ukraine. 

A third time, or did you finally get it.

The USA as well as its allies are appalled by the blatant disregard for human life by Putin's Russia. The USA is standing still. It is in observance of the atrocity and it, along with allies, are seeking to rescue Ukrainians by taking in refugees by the millions. There is major certainty in all that. Ukraine is holding and the people are fighting for their lives as well as their country. That is also certainty. 

The world has a problem. It is Vladimir Putin. Russia is the only real country in flux. The people of Russia never, ever in all the eight years since the occupation of Crimea expected their president to carry out genocide. The people of Russia are running away from their president. They are becoming refugees. 

There is a lot of certainty in the world other than Ukraine. Russia is demanding the saber rattling of its allies. That saber rattling is primarily around the topic of nuclear release using weapons. Russia has been playing with nuclear material for some time now and Chernobyl is their poster child. Chernobyl strongly represents the lack of expert handling of these issues. The UN IAEA is on the job. Ya know? They are setting limits on what can be done within and outside of nuclear reactors. They have asked for a buffer zone to the reactors in Ukraine. The idea is to eliminate the dangers of recklessness to cause yet another Russia nuclear accident.

I appreciate Wall Street being concerned about global stability, but, they signed on for this. There is always risk and when the Free World companies are trying to run businesses based in capitalism which is founded primarily in democratic principles in communist countries, the long term view is always uncertain. Communism can accommodate capitalism, but, the governance is not conducive to stable markets. 

The problem I have with Wall Street playing within communist countries is the abuse of the labor force within these countries. What is worse is that the governance of these countries don't care about the abuse. China saw workers for Apple related companies jump off towers. Over time and primarily because Americans complained, the condition for these workers have gotten better, but, in standards of the Free World, there is still room for improvement.

October 25, 2022
By Hanna Ziady

Some of the top names on Wall Street (click here) think a US recession is now likely, if not inevitable. But they have bigger worries on their minds.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon said Tuesday he is more concerned about global geopolitics than he is about slowing economic growth in the United States.

“There’s a lot of stuff on the horizon which is bad and could — doesn’t necessarily — but could put the US in recession,” he said on a panel at the Future Investment Initiative conference in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia....

China isn't alone in abuse of their workers, but, it does have the largest work force on the planet that is under paid with poor working conditions.

There is also a conflict of interest in Wall Street playing in these countries. They risk having their executives in jail for any reason the government chooses. That falls to the USA State Department primarily with some of the allies having the same problems. There are issues of protecting Americans that, in my opinion, are insurmountable, however, Americans still get themselves into trouble. Then in spite of the fact these Americans entered these countries without worry or hesitation, their relatives like to make political issues out of them. The communists love it.

So.

Wall Street looking to countries governed outside that of democratic principles and solid constitutions based in freedom are attempting to make profits the wrong way. 

It makes sense to see a country with more than a billion people and realize capitalism would be lucrative within them. India can be somewhat of a better example. But, communism? Really? The business oligarchs are not free to run their businesses without government interference that can remove them from power as a CEO in an instant. Why go there? 

Putin's Russia has to be the quintessential example of why investing in a communist country is a completely bad idea. There is no certainty in Russia, except, that it will do the unthinkable whenever the five year plan calls for it. Communist countries are based on ideology. It is destined to fail over and over for the people within its borders while the leaders live somewhat lavish lifestyles.

Wall Street needs to come home. It is good business. The Free World is a bit tired of companies that over extend their ability to govern their own businesses in places outside the realm of reason.

The financial rantings of the Republicans is a lie.

Consumers are not having problems. The outcome of VISA is a strong indicator to consumer use.

The tech stocks didn't have a good day because they had poor insight regarding their earnings this quarter. But, consumers are purchasing and there is no end in sight.

The interest rates to consumers should be examined for abuse, but, Americans are buying.

 

President Joe Biden was ridiculed for supposedly warming up to the Saudis.

October 25, 2022

By Rory Jones, Stephen Kalin and Summer Said

JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon and Goldman Sachs’s David Solomon are expected to speak at the event (click here)


Riyadh, Saudi Arabia - International business leaders brushed aside a diplomatic spat between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia, converging on the Saudis’ flagship investment conference in a kingdom riding high on an oil-price boom and trying to flex its geopolitical power.

Some 400 American executives descended on Riyadh’s Ritz-Carlton Hotel for the Future Investment Initiative, an annual event sometimes dubbed “Davos in the Desert,” along with European and Asian business leaders. Among them: JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Jamie Dimon, David Solomon, head of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., and Blackstone Inc.’s Stephen Schwarzman.

The large American presence—over 150 U.S. companies were represented—came three months after President Biden visited Saudi Arabia in a bid to reset relations that were badly damaged following the 2018 murder of dissident journalist Jamal Khashoggi by Saudi operatives. Many international firms had already turned the page on the outrage over Mr. Khashoggi’s death, which hung over subsequent runnings of the event. But for those that hadn’t, this year’s conference offered a chance to come back....

Where are the boycotts of all those 150 US Companies? 

I want to hear apologies to President Joe Biden and I mean now!

No one wants war. I believe that absolutely, except, Vladimir Putin. He wants genocide in a very ambitious war.

The USA Democratic Liberals overlooked one thing. Just one thing. In order for negotiations to work, both parties have to be living in the same reality.

October 25, 2022
By Amy B Wang, Yasmeen Abutaleb and Marianna Sotomayor

The Congressional Progressive Caucus (click here) has rescinded a letter, signed by 30 House liberals and sent to the White House on Monday, that urged President Biden to negotiate directly with Russia to bring an end to the war in Ukraine.

The withdrawal comes a day after the letter, led by Congressional Progressive Caucus Chair Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.), triggered fierce pushback from many Democrats. The retraction was also a stunning misstep for a prominent House liberal who has expressed interest in seeking a leadership position in the party.

In the wake of the letter’s release, Democrats and Ukrainian officials argued that it was unrealistic to negotiate with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Those officials also worried the letter could create more pressure on Biden as he tries to sustain domestic support for the war effort, at a time when the region is heading into a potentially difficult winter and Republicans are threatening to cut aid to Ukraine if they retake Congress....

Kindly reflect on this one minute. Vladimir Putin began a war according to a five year plan AFTER he occupied an unarmed Crimea and Ukraine border region. The abandonment of Yanukovych of his presidency in Ukraine took place in 2014. That was eight years ago.

Today, the invasion by Putin and his Russian military to commit genocide was on the five year calendar. This is eight years after the occupation of Crimea and the Russian border region with Ukraine in the north. Putin planned this for eight years. For eight years Putin was anticipating genocide.

This entire reality with Putin and the Russian military is surreal. This stuff doesn't happen in the 21st Century. The world is too sophisticated with more than 8 billion people living on Earth. This doesn't happen anymore. 

The Free World's ambition was to bring peace and prosperity to the world. We thought Russia wanted it. We thought China wanted it. 

Surprise.

Tax Fraud, and that is only the Republican nominee for President and a Former President.

October 24, 2022
By Dareh Gregorian, Tom Winter and Adam Reiss

The Trump Organization (click here) stands trial this week in what prosecutors allege was a 15-year scheme to compensate top executives of former President Donald Trump’s company “off the books” to help them avoid paying taxes — with the company's former chief financial officer appearing as the prosecution's star witness....

Is anyone surprised?

Raise your hand if you are surprised about Trump committing fraud.

See.

No one is surprised.

Which President was it that passed the largest tax cut for the wealthy in history?

Yep, Donald John Trump

Go figure. 

Oh, correction:

Claim (click here): President Donald Trump has said that the recently passed Republican tax reform legislation is the "biggest tax cut in US history".

Verdict: It is not the biggest tax cut in US history, measured as either a percentage of US GDP or in absolute terms. It is however, the biggest corporate tax cut in US history.

A new King greets his first and new Prime Minister.


Biography (click here)

Rishi Sunak became Prime Minister on 25 October 2022.

He was previously appointed Chancellor of the Exchequer from 13 February 2020 to 5 July 2022.

He was Chief Secretary to the Treasury from 24 July 2019 to 13 February 2020, and Parliamentary Under Secretary of State at the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government from 9 January 2018 to 24 July 2019.

Education

Rishi went to Winchester College and studied Politics, Philosophy and Economics at Oxford University. He was also a Fulbright Scholar at Stanford University (USA) where he studied for his MBA....


The 5.1 earthquake happened in San Jose, not San Francisco.

A teacher at a school in San Francisco shared this video showing swaying art as the effects of an earthquake that was centered near San Jose, California reached all the way to the city.

The Right Wing strategy for more Congressional seats. NO TAXES.

October 22, 2022
By Amy Legate-Wolfe

Young professionals who make more than $100,000 have started to flee California and New York, and the prices that go with them.

Instead, they’re going home, according to a study done by SmartAsset. In fact, analysis by the Census Bureau and Harvard University earlier this year found that 80% of young adults now live less than 100 miles from where they grew up.

Looking at adults under 35 who earn $100,000-plus per year, SmartAsset examined the inflow and outflow of wealthy young professionals from state to state between 2019 and 2020: Where did they leave? And where did they go?

It’s time to cue up the map app and take a closer look....

High sales and use taxes put the burden in supporting any government in Texas on visitors and tourists more so than residents. So, if Americans live in New Jersey or New York they pay their taxes, but, on vacation to Texas they are paying the Texas government, too.

...The Lone Star State benefits from the lack of income tax. Instead, Texas relies on high sales and use taxes, and property taxes, to pick up the revenue slack. In fiscal 2019, 26.6% of the state’s net revenue came from the $34 billion collected from sales taxes alone....

...Coming in second was Florida, which also boasts no income tax. The state experienced a 3,400 net inflow of wealthy young professionals, according to SmartAsset. And just like Texas, Florida has a moderate sales tax of 6%. California’s is 7.25%, while New York’s is 4% but in combination with city taxes comes out to 4.5%.

True, counties in Florida can levy a discretionary sales surtax of between 0.5% and 1.5%. However, for many years now, Florida has maintained one of the lowest tax burdens in the country....

Unfortunately, these younger adults aren't worried about quality of life. There is a trend in the Red States of higher murder rates (click here). The gun culture in these states are out of control and will effect quality of life.

The rate of murders in the US has gone up at an alarming rate. But, despite a media narrative to the contrary, this is a problem that aicts Republican-run cities and states as much or more than the Democratic bastions.

In 2020, per capita murder rates were 40% higher in states won by Donald Trump than those won by Joe Biden.

8 of the 10 states with the highest murder rates in 2020 voted for the Republican presidential nominee in every election this century.

Fees and taxes.

October 21, 2022
By Rachel Davis

San Jose - Today, the City of San José released new information (click here) on the City’s first-in-the-nation gun harm reduction ordinances requiring gun owners to have insurance coverage for their firearms, and use fees paid by gun owners to invest in evidence-based initiatives to reduce gun harm. San José has been leading efforts to deploy several other interventions to reduce gun violence as well, such as bolstering gun violence restraining orders, banning untraceable “ghost guns” and preventing illegal straw purchasing.

“Every auto driver in this nation understands the importance of insurance to compensate accident victims. Insurance also incentivizes safety, through premium discounts for airbags, anti lock brakes, and safe driving records,” said San José Mayor Sam Liccardo. “So too, gun insurance can compensate victims who need care, and encourage gun owners to use gun safes, deploy trigger locks, and take gun safety classes. That’s not insignificant in a country where 4.6 million children live in a home where a gun is kept loaded and unlocked.”

The City is now releasing key details on how to ensure residents are compliant with the Gun Harm Reduction Ordinance, which passed earlier this year and continues to prevail in court. Firearm owners and those in possession of firearms, must have a current homeowners, renters or gun liability insurance policy for their firearm(s) in effect by January 1, 2023 and ensure that the policy covers losses or damages resulting from accidental use of the firearm, including but not limited to death, injury, or property damage. Firearm owners will be able to provide proof of coverage by ensuring a City of San José insurance attestation form is kept wherever guns are stored or transported.

San José is not immune to the national gun violence epidemic. More than 200 people are killed or injured annually by gunfire in San José. Almost 30% of those injured die and the lifetime costs of fatal and non-fatal firearm shootings of San José residents averaged $995 million in 2019-20. In a country where shootings have become the second-leading cause of death among U.S. children and adolescents, addressing unintentional firearm risk through local action is paramount....