Thursday, October 25, 2007

In the year 2007-2008 a home is not just a home anymore...


It is common for the American home to be a work place as well. For people hit with devastating tragedy such as the Southern California wildfires, they see more than a home gone and treasured memories and belongings devastated; their entire ability to sustain their economic well being is gone.

Considering the state of the housing market and the credit connected to it, the devastation of the 'at home work place' economy contributes to a sustained declination of economic growth. The fires of Southern California are more than a personal tragedy, it impacts the economy both in California and the larger picture of economic recovery for the USA.

Southern California has to achieve water independence through desaliation so there is no day when drought dictates NOT TO WATER THE LAWN. There has to be a return of biotic stability sustainable through artificial measures with water delivery to even wilderness areas if necessary. Without any return of water vapor to the region enough to rehydrate the biotic nature of terra firma, the USA is destined for sustained disaster.
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Governor Schwarzenegger has a large populous with significant trauma this time


Rachel Whittemore, 17, right, and her mother, Winsome, at Malibu Presbyterian Nursery School.


It was reported the evacuee venues were festive. That is the best venue to emotional recovery from such trauma. There are larger populations involved this time and there will be depression and emotional disorientation to the directions lives will take. Treating these folks as having diminished fiscal resources in support by government to relocate, even if temporary, will provide a smooth transition back to 'normalcy' while they figure out where all this goes from here. A return to a 'sustainable' life will springboard success instead of people left in disarray to depress their own economy and dismantle their return to happiness. I would think a healthy balance between a 'normal' life and recovery of property would diminish the trauma and provide hope.



It is a lot for a Governor and State Legislature to consider. I wish them all well. I don't believe the federal government is much help. Katrina still lingers in New Orleans. The States have to be able to respond to these emergencies nearly autonomously while supporting each other reginally, as the federal domestic authorities are failed and continue to fail the needs of the nation under this administration. Maintaining economies after this level of trauma will be an interesting community dynamics that will bring them out of this tragedy quicker than if they are left to cope alone.





A CDF firefighter is dwarfed by flames along East Grade Road on Palomar Mountain.


The firefighters were dedicated by at the same time had fire dynamics that more than likely took an emotional toll on their ability to protect the public. Many may have lost homes as well. There is potential for changing the technology and the methodology of fighting these infernos. As difficult as this may seem, it may be in realizing there are areas of Southern California prone to this disaster and while living there is a wonderful quality of life, it may not be a sustainable financial dynamic for many families.


At some point, a hard look at the 'realistic' future outcomes has to ensue and 'rebuilding' may be more foolish than prudent. A similar assessment to FEMA hurricane standards and flooding has to apply to areas prone to this tragedy. It is my estimation this could happen year after year as the continued trend in drought provides fuel to such events.


The trend is to drier and drier dynamics and not a return to sustainable biotic conditions. The 'idea' of recovery conservation should be considered in this instance for sustainable movement toward lush biota with desaliation plants and continuous hydration of the topsoil and plant nourishment as a buffer to housing and potential chronic drought. It's expensive.

The migrating air mass from the location of the tropical storm helped calm the winds in Southern California (12 hour loop - click here)


October 25, 2007
0815z
UNISYS Water Vapor satellite of the north and west hemisphere (12 hour loop click here, thank you)

The hemispheric satellite shows a very slow and meandering system of depleted water vapor throughout with revitalization of a continental vortex currently Mississippi. The east coast of the USA where the densest CO2 accumulates has water vapor migrating out of the Carribean Sea where a anti-cyclonic vortex is loosely organized. This dynamic also helped contribute to a more stable tropospheric air mass over southern California. These two vortices, one in the Pacific and one in the Atlantic have manifested together previously in more intense air mass instability. Another 'loose and large' vortex was seen a few days ago near Mexico where it delivered some intense storms. These systems are taking a long time to develope starved for water vapor to generate their heat transfer ability.



October 25, 2007

1815z

UNISYS Water Vapor GOES West Satellite


The air mass was jet propelled further west into the Pacific where it found water vapor off the Equator. With that it was able to organize and begin to concentrate heat and energy into a low pressure system that would reduce the winds over Southern California. No rain, there isn't going to be, but, a change in the dynamics of the tropospheric air mass allowed enough of a reduction in wind to allow CONVENTIONAL fire fighting techniques and mechanisms the ability to stop the progression of the 'drought tinderbox' fires.