Monday, November 12, 2007


The Russian oil spill is at approximately 45N and 36E. The weather doesn' t look promising.
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Death Toll In Russian Oil Disaster Rises; Three Unidentified Bodies Located


The oil tankers' spill has the potential of damaging the enviroment of the entire Black Sea depending on tides. It is a sensitive area as there are missile instillations long the peninsula and to offer assistance to Russia might be met with concern for it's national defense with the potential of Western spying. The area needs to be secure from major environmental damage, but, considering the seas and current weather the likelihood of containment of any kind is unlikely.

Years ago in regard to advocating for finding new energy and transportation solutions, in realization of the extent the troposphere would become trubulent year after year due to Human Induced Global Warming, there was a 'factor' that was not measurable on the Geophysic Scale. That factor was the 'chaos/disruption' the seas and oceans would play on the human activity that would actually deliver oil for process and use. I thought it then and I still have the same assessment; Earth has many defenses; among them angry seas that will and do treat cargo ships as toys.
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November 12, 2007
7:25 a.m. EST
Preciosa Dumlao - AHN News Writer
Rostov-On-Don, Russia (AHN) - At least three bodies of unidentified sailors were recovered Monday after a Russian oil freight sank near the Black Sea. Officials said the oil spill was one of the worst environmental disaster happened in the region and would probably takes years to clean up.
The incident happened at the Strait of Kerch, a narrow strait, which links two seas, the Black Sea and Sea of Azov.
The Emergency Situations spokesman Sergei Kozhemyaka said rescuers found the three dead sailors still wearing their life vests. The bodies were found near Tuzla in the western side of the strait. Rescuers were still looking for five more bodies, which believed to be dead due to heavy storm.
There were at least 10 ships which sank or ran on the shore during the heavy storm in the northern Black Sea region including the tanker. At least 1.3 million gallons of fuel oil were in the Volganeft-139 and nearly half of the oil it carries spilled into the sea and had been left on nearby shorelines.
Authorities said the 13 crew of the Russian tanker were saved.


Did I say ONLY $100 per barrel by the end of the year? Oh !

Oil prices dive on talk of OPEC output hike (click here)
5 hours ago
LONDON (AFP) — World oil prices tumbled on Monday after OPEC kingpin Saudi Arabia said over the weekend that the oil cartel might raise output to help combat high energy rates, analysts said.
New York's main contract, light sweet crude for December delivery, shed 2.15 dollars to 94.17 dollars. Last Wednesday it had hit an historic peak of 98.62 dollars.
In London on Monday, Brent North Sea crude for December delivery slumped 1.91 dollars to 91.27 dollars. On Wednesday it struck an all-time high of 95.19 dollars.
"Crude futures were down following comments from Saudi Oil Minister Ali al Nuaimi, OPEC's most influential voice," Sucden analyst Michael Davies said Monday.
Nuaimi had told reporters during a short visit to Kuwait that talk of a hike in output was premature.
But he added: "When OPEC meets, we will discuss this issue."
He did not specify which meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries he was referring to.
OPEC is holding a summit in Riyadh on November 17-18 and ministers are also due to meet in Abu Dhabi on December 5....

November 12, 2007
1700 gmt
World Satellite


November 12, 2007
1542 gmt
Africa - Europe Satellite


November 12, 2007
South Eastern Europe weather satellite


This is the Black Sea image from Google Earth.


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Russia: Ships wrecked in big storm. Video


The waves are not only foamy at their height, they are also 'peaked' and nearly 'level' throughout their arrival to the beach. In other words, the 'wavelength' this water is approaching shoreline is receiving mulitple direction of velocity.

These are 'rouge waves' arriving to the shoreline. There is no 'undertow' so much as there is simply heavy wave dynamics that would cause ANY PERSON entering the water to drown. The best swimmer could not survive these waves.

The 'lack' of a high or low to the wave 'form' provides the dynamics of nearly tsunami like movement without retreat. In other words, the 'tide' is not arriving so much as 'the wave' is crashing at one of it's termination points.


A lot of foam at the shoreline. Waves breaking very close to shore with high crests 'at' the beach shows a large volume of water to beach front ratio.


November 9, 2007
Criel-sur-mer, France

In Russia/Black Sea/Ukraine:
At least four ships sink and others are grounded as severe storms lash the Kerch Strait and Black Sea.


Russia launches operation to contain oil spill in Black Sea - 2 (click here)
17:41
12/ 11/ 2007

MOSCOW, November 12 (RIA Novosti) - Russia's emergencies ministry announced on Monday the launch of a major operation in a Black Sea strait to contain an oil spill after an oil tanker sank in a storm.
An oil tanker with 4,000 metric tons of fuel oil on board and three dry freighters containing sulfur went down on Sunday in the Kerch Strait, which links the Black Sea to the much smaller Sea of Azov. The
bodies of three sailors have been found, and at least eight others are still missing, according to the ministry.
"Three teams have started an operation to contain the oil spill caused by the sinking of the Volgoneft-139," Emergency Situations Ministry Spokesman Viktor Beltsov said.
When the oil tanker split in two, about 2,000 metric tons of fuel oil and about 6,800 tons of sulfur spilled into the sea, in one of Russia's worst environmental disasters in recent years.
Oleg Mitvol, deputy head of Russia's environmental regulator, said the sinking of the ships in the Kerch Strait was "a very serious environmental disaster", and it would take more than a month to clear up the resulting environmental pollution.
Thousands of dead birds have since washed up along the shore of Russia's southern Krasnodar Territory near the site of the oil spill, a spokesman for the local administration said on Monday.
"According to the latest information, about 30,000 birds have died and about the same number are covered in oil. In other words, it is very likely they will die too," he said.
The Ukrainian prime minister said the government had allocated $3 million to repair damage caused by the storm.
Viktor Yanukovych said the government would make extra funds available as soon as the total damages had been assessed, adding that the oil slick presented no direct threat to Ukraine as it was currently moving in the opposite direction.
A Russian emergencies official said twelve kilometers of the Kerch Strait shore had been polluted with oil products.
Russian President Vladimir Putin instructed Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov to travel to the Kerch Strait "to deal with the situation and take appropriate measures."



Black Sea oil spill (click here)


Oil producer Rosneft to triple crude supplies to Asia by 2020 (click here)

Storm moving through state


November 11, 2007
Long Mott near Port Lavaca, Texas
Photographer states :: Thunderstorms had rolled across the county within the past 36 Hours. Possible victim of downburst. Either that or a case of failure to maintain financial responsibility!


This was due to a weather event. Granted the 4X4 Chevy under the canopy is a very old model, but, one I am familar with which requires a large amount of fuel to operate on any given occassion. The vehicle is a work horse for that farm with a high end torque to it's transmission. There is a reason the farm operation still has that Chevy truck. I think the tractor is an Allis-Chalmer 4W220. It probably cost about $35,000 to $40,000 new and probably retains a value of about $20,000 in it's current condition. I doubt seriously the building was in such disrepair that it collapsed on it's own.

I will say this, however, the farmer is operating on margin to some extent as inside that building is the operation's 'garage,' if you will. That equipment is well maintained and the operation is eeking out every once of efficiency without carrying any unwanted debt. It looks as though our farmers are under fiscal stress in many ways, including, the fact drought and flooding and now meso-tornadic winds are making their management issues all the more difficult. I hope the Democratic Candidates are talking about those issues as well as any promise of ethanol to the USA.

Mon November 12, 2007
The OklahomanParts of Oklahoma are experiencing a stormy start this morning to the new week.
Strong storms have been reported through southeastern Oklahoma, including near Marietta in
Love County. Other storms were reported hear Holdenville in Hughes County.
The National Weather Service said the activity was moving northeast at about 25 mph. The storms are producing lightning; brief heavy rain; and some hail.
Forecasters said there is a good chance of showers and thunderstorms today, with highs from 66 to 78.
The weather service said lift associated with an upper-level storm system over West Texas will result in widely scattered showers and thunderstorms during the morning. The best chance will be across south-central and southeastern counties.
Additional showers and a few storms will be possible as a weak cold front pushes southeastward across the state.
The statewide forecast tonight calls for mostly cloudy skies, with a chance of rain and storms. Lows will range from the upper 30s in the northwest to around 60 in the southeast.
Tuesday's forecast is for partly sunny skies and a slight chance of rain and isolated thunderstorms. Highs should range from the mid-70s to low 80s.
Wednesday should be partly cloudy, with lows from the mid-30s in the northwest to low 60s in the southeast. Highs are expected to range from the low 60s in the northwest to mid-70s in the southeast.
It should be partly cloudy Thursday, with lows from the upper 20s in the northwest to mid-40s in the southeast. Highs should be in the 60s.
Friday's forecast is for mostly cloudy skies, a chance of rain in the east, lows from the mid-30s to low 40s and highs from the mid-60s to mid-70s.