Sunday, August 01, 2021

The Climate balance of Earth is not manmade.

Now, if there are textbooks written about a subject, the knowledge has been around for a while.

28 July 2021
By Shiv Priyam Raghuraman, David Paynter and V. Ramaswamy
Nature Communications volume 12, Article number: 4577 (2021

Earth's Radiation Balance. (click here) Image Source: Steve Ackerman and John Knox. US Department of Energy (ARM)

The observed trend in Earth’s energy imbalance (TEEI), (click here) a measure of the acceleration of heat uptake by the planet, is a fundamental indicator of perturbations to climate. Satellite observations (2001–2020) reveal a significant positive globally-averaged TEEI of 0.38 ± 0.24 Wm−2decade−1, but the contributing drivers have yet to be understood. Using climate model simulations, we show that it is exceptionally unlikely (<1% probability) that this trend can be explained by internal variability. Instead, TEEI is achieved only upon accounting for the increase in anthropogenic radiative forcing and the associated climate response. TEEI is driven by a large decrease in reflected solar radiation and a small increase in emitted infrared radiation. This is because recent changes in forcing and feedbacks are additive in the solar spectrum, while being nearly offset by each other in the infrared. We conclude that the satellite record provides clear evidence of a human-influenced climate system....