Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Last I read anything about the intensity of refugees was 2 million in Jordan. Jordan has closed it's borders in recent months.

It is possible to overwhelm a country. NATO may very well be stationing troops in Europe if this continues.

The experience of Jordan with refugees is that it occurred over a length of time in years and not months.

December 22, 2015
By Sewell Chan

London — The number of migrants and refugees (click here) who have entered Europe by sea and land this year has passed the one million mark, a long-expected but symbolically significant capstone to a year in which displaced people flocked to the Continent in historic proportions.

The huge influx — the largest movement of people on the Continent since World War II — has strained the resources of Germany, which has been the ultimate destination for most of the migrants; prompted a right-wing backlash there and in much of Europe; and exposed the European Union’s inability to coordinate an effective response.

As of Monday, the figure stood at 1,005,504, more than four times the number in 2014, the previous record, the International Organization for Migration announced on Tuesday.....

The population density has changed in Jordan a country with only six and one half million natural resident. The Syrian refugees are in the minority of refugees in Jordan.

December 19, 2015
By Khetam Malkawi

Amman — Although the number of refugees (click here) from different nationalities in the Kingdom varies from one estimate to other and is difficult to identify, a World Bank official last week said, in Jordan “one in every three persons [is] being a refugee”.Colin Bruce, senior adviser to the World Bank Group’s president, made this statement at a press conference last week to launch a World Bank new report, without elaborating on numbers of refugees or their nationalities.The government did not reject or confirm this percentage but noted that figures are difficult to estimate.Minister of State for Media Affairs and Communications Mohammad Momani, who is also government’s spokesperson, told The Jordan Times it is difficult to identify the total number of refugees in the country, “especially if we want to include Palestinians in these estimates”.According to UNHCR, Jordan is the second largest host of refugees per capita in the world following Pakistan.Still, the agency has only some 700,000 persons from 41 nationalities registered as refugees in the Kingdom, said Mohammad Hawari, senior mass information and communication associate at UNHCR.Hawari, however, added that the number differs when adding number of Palestinians who are registered with UNRWA.An infograph that was recently published on the World Bank Twitter account states that there are 2.7 million registered refugees in Jordan, which stands for 41.2 per cent of the total population....

The problem for Jordan as it stands today is employment. Jordan is seeking investment to open employment to refugees.

December 21, 2015
By Khetam Malkawi


Amman — The integration of Syrian refugees (click here) in the Kingdom’s economy and allowing them to legally join the workforce will never be at the expense of Jordanians, a senior government official stressed on Monday.

Minister of Planning and International Cooperation Imad Fakhoury said Jordan has been preoccupied with how to transform the challenge ensuing from the refugee crisis into an “opportunity”, ensuring, that employment chances for Jordanians would not be compromised.

Fakhoury was responding to a question by The Jordan Times on economic inclusion of the Syrian refugees during the launch of Jordan Economic Monitor developed by the World Bank.

He announced that the government is working on creating “limited” job opportunities for Syrians, but such a measure hinges on new incoming investments, explaining that the ratio of Syrians employed in these projects relies on the size of investment.

Fakhoury seized the opportunity to re-highlight Jordan’s  “holistic approach” to the refugee crisis, which he has for the past weeks presenting to its development partners… “partners who invest in Jordan and give us loans”. 

These include the G-7, the rest of the European countries, Korea, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. The idea is to follow “an approach that gets us out of this crisis to reach a win-win situation that would help the Kingdom economically, create job opportunities and, at the same time, alleviate the refugee burden on the international community”....

The large influx of refugees/migrants out of the middle east is a problem. During the time the USA was occupying Iraq, Jordan was taking refugees. The alarm went up when four Iraqis assaulted the infrastructure of Jordan with suicide vests. All three men were successful in carrying their particular idea of terror, but, the woman survived when her vest did not explode.

It isn't possible to empty the middle east of all the people that are seeking quality of life as well as running from war.

December 21, 2015
By Khetam Malkawi

Amman — After four years of gradual recovery, (click here) the Kingdom’s economic growth is expected to slow down this year due to the spillover of security conditions in Syria and Iraq, a World Bank report said on Monday.Titled “A Hiccup Amidst Sustained Resilience and Committed Reforms — Jordan Economic Monitor for Fall 2015", the report said real growth in the Kingdom’s gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to reach 2.5 per cent, in contrast with 3.1 per cent in 2014, which is the slowest rate since the first half of 2010.“This setback in growth in the first half of 2015 is due to the closing down of trade channels with Syria and Iraq,” the report said, adding, however, that the low oil prices continue to have a positive effect on the current account deficit and the budget deficit.This also led to an increase in the investment volume, especially in the diversification of sources of energy, according to the report.Recent government incentives in regard to the real estate and tourism sectors have had a positive influence that will back growth in 2015, the World Bank said....

The Syrian civil war has to end, but, at this point it is completely sectarian. So, some of the answer has to be a shared - power government. Nothing else will bring about an end to the conflict. Outside the sectarian war, there is Daesh. Daesh is probably something both sides of the civil war can agree on, however, we know for a fact such extremist regimes have played the part of an ally to other parties involved in any war.

Al Qaeda's strength was not that it had it's own legions of soldiers; Al Qaeda brought an uptick to those already engaged in war. Al Qeada is the one entity that consistently provides skills in terrorism and the monies to back it up. When realizing where Al Qaeda is actually involved, it requires far less financing than a military answer. Al Qaeda involvement is one measure to realize how deteriorated the parties at war has diminished. Al Qaeda is a last resort strategy. 

The problem with Al Qaeda is that the USA identifies it as an enemy. In that is the chronic and reliable response of the USA military. The USA military has claimed the right to war because of it's ability to identify al Qaeda's involvement. So, both al Qaeda and it's affiliates in places like Syria oppose the USA and fuel each other's reason for involvement to either war or terrorism.

The USA and al Qaeda has become a self-feeding loop. The wars will never end. As soon as a civil war reaches a war of deteriorating forces, ie: Assad's barrel bombs (impoverished war) Al Qaeda is called upon to escalate victories and feed the fear to sustain dedicated forces. As soon as al Qaeda is involved the USA has a reason to enter still yet another war environment.

So, as to Syria's civil war; either armed forces will actually cause the defeat of one or both parties while mutually defeating Daesh or there will be a peace agreement with a joint power sharing government. The power sharing government is a given to end sectarian issues. Realizing that, the process has to begin and cease fire by the two opposing sectarian forces is a ultimate requirement.

I think it was 2012 when all the United Nations efforts for peace keepers completely failed and the chronic death of people became the reality of Syria. Now, the middle east and Europe is experiencing the refugee fears and movement. Unfortunately, what is coming with the refugee movement which goes back to the Iraq occupation of the USA, is the influx of willing terrorists of Daesh along with the refugees.

The peace talks must go forward regardless of what is happening on the ground in Syria. There needs to be a strong central government to build a central and undefeatable military.

The hideous and unwise part of Syria's negotiations is to have the USA involved as if a representative to the Sunnis interests in a Syrian rebel force. Then on the other side is Russia in an alliance with Syria's Shi'ite leader and Iran. The peace talks must be very interesting. But, the rebel forces (if there is such a thing - that idea failed in Saudi Arabia) and Assad forces need to coalesce in order to defeat Daesh and from a strong AND DEDICATED Syrian military.

President Obama is in a perfect position in that he no longer has to face elections. He should be involved in the Syrian negotiations to bring an end to the civil war. He can work with Russia to bring about a power sharing agreement ACCOMPANIED with a strong central Syrian military. But, the USA should not enter into a war in Syria or Iraq and it should be phasing out in Afghanistan. The USA presence is used as propaganda to recruit angry young men into jihad and violent acts against any entity Daesh believes needs to die.

There have been plenty of other civil wars the USA never even recognized, yet be involved with it. The global community, if they work together, can end any organized violence anywhere in the world. I sincerely believe that. As an example, every Christian should be outraged at the violence level in Gaza that is driving Christians out of their millennial residence. The link between Christians and the Muslims in Gaza had never been realized before and only serves to PROVE the propaganda surrounding THE TRUTH in Gaza is causing the problem and not ending it.