October 7, 20171330.20z
UNISYS Water Vapor Satellite of north and west hemisphere (click here for 12 hour loop - thank you)
From west to east. I do these assessments every day regardless of any publication on this blog. This is what I see.
The jet stream is being toyed with by Earth's physics. The effects of the jet stream are mostly blunted by stagnation of the troposphere air in general. This same phenomenon occurred with Harvey, too.
Hawaii has been receiving far less turbulent air so much as been a spectator to the every increasing turbulence around the islands. The waves of Hawaii are currently 3 to 6 feet. Wind is about 7 mph at this point. About every other week Hawaii has been getting significant wind of upwards of 20 mph sustaining over 48 to 72 hours. That is not minor wind, especially when it is sustained winds.
Hurricane Nate is currently a Cat. 1 storm with expectations of becoming a Cat. 2. Nate has soaked up a considerable amount of water vapor from the ITCZ which is primarily depopulated south of Nate all the way east to Africa.
The large vortex in the Pacific is matched in the Atlantic with one at the same latitude. The Atlantic vortex is smaller in it's presentation. The Atlantic vortex is building water vapor and threatening the Azores.
The current temperature map tells the story of heat transfer when also referencing the water vapor satellite above. Earth is taking heat from the equator northeast to the arctic circle FORCING cold air down to lower latitudes in the west.
BULLETIN
Hurricane Nate Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL162017
1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 07 2017
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nate was located
near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 88.4 West. Nate is moving
rapidly toward the north-northwest near 26 mph (43 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue through this evening. A turn
toward the north is forecast tonight, followed by a turn toward the
northeast. On the forecast track, the center of Nate will move
across the northern Gulf of Mexico today and will make landfall
along the central U.S. Gulf Coast tonight.
Reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph
(150 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected
before landfall, and Nate is forecast to be a category 2 hurricane
on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale when the center reaches
the Gulf Coast.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km),
primarily to the east of the center and tropical-storm-force winds
extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km).
The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter
aircraft data is 984 mb (29.06 inches).
1545z
NOAA Water Vapor Satellite (click here for 4 hour loop - thank)
This satellite clearly shows a two rotation system. The sister system developed over west Cuba.
All US ski resorts are closed. Besides reading reports the webcams will provide the best picture of what is occurring with the mountains (at elevation). As the water vapor content of Earth moves to higher elevations, the ski resorts may receive significant powder. Once that elevation is abandoned by water vapor there won't be any alternative but to use artificial snow IF temperatures allow it.
The Latest United States Snow Totals & Ski Conditions (click here)
Kindly note the two blue circles in Texas and Florida. A blue circle on the map is considered a "Type 2 Incident."
The US Forest Service is being tapped to conduct assessments of these storm-ravaged states and islands.
The letters below IMT refers to Incident Management Team. (click here) These teams are a function of the US Forest Service. The reason I draw attention to this deployment of IMTs is because they are heavily relied upon to fight wildfires. The Governors need to be aware these teams may not be available for wildfires as quickly as needed.
Hurricane Maria Puerto Rico, Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). IMT 1 (McGowan) has been tasked with establishment of an incident support base for the receipt and distribution of commodities, supplies and resources. IMT 2 (Zombro) is coordinating with other agencies to plan and prioritize emergency road clearing. FDNY IMT 2 (Kane) has been tasked with assessment of damage to critical infrastructure including roads, water systems and communications.
Hurricane Maria U.S Virgin Islands, Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). IMT 2 (Bird) has mobilized to St. Croix and is managing a logistical staging area for incoming responders.
Hurricane Harvey, Texas A&M Forest Service. Texas IMT 2 (Hanneman) has mobilized to College Station, TX to support recovery and mitigation efforts, surveying impacts on local fire departments and distributing donated fire equipment.
Hurricane Irma Recovery – South Florida Parks,National Park Service. IMT 2 (Foust) is overseeing site assessment, debris cleanup and emergency stabilization within national parks and monuments in Florida, Georgia, South Carolina and Caribbean units.
There may be a light at the end of the tunnel with wildfires and I would also like to draw attention to a house bill HR 167 (click here) which seeks to bring some discretionary monies to fire suppression activities instead of just putting out wildfires.
There have been many hearings in DC regarding the funding of the US Forest Service and the demands on it's IMTs. Nearly 50 percent and perhaps more than 50% of the funding for the US Forest Service has been spent for putting out wildfires while suppression has not been addressed. This is a self-defeating agenda. The less fire suppression there is, the more wildfires that occur. I would hope Governors would seek an understanding of this bill and help move it forward.
HR 167 should not be confused with a very destructive initiative that again puts profits before country HR 2936 (click here). HR 2936 has a very odd name for the damage it does, "Resilient Federal Forests Act of 2017."
HR 2936 is a very lengthy bill that is best explained in this article:
June 21, 2017
By Susan J. Brown
Western Environmental Law Center
Taos, N.M. - Tomorrow, the U.S. House of Representatives (click here) begins its consideration of HR 2936, known as the Westerman Bill after its author, Rep. Bruce Westerman (R-AR). The bill contains a cornucopia of loopholes, exemptions and categorical exclusions for environmental, judicial, and public review; and, incredibly, gives away public lands to adjacent private landowners.
The bill would be disastrous for forest health, requiring unsustainable logging, transferring endangered species authority away from the expert consulting agencies, and eliminating environmental analysis for a huge number of logging projects. The legislation also appears to revoke President Obama’s recent expansion of the Cascade-Siskiyou National Monument, the only National Monument in the country designated specifically to protect native biodiversity.
"The Westerman Bill is breathtaking in how brazenly it seeks to destroy responsible science-based forest management in this country," said Susan Jane Brown of the Western Environmental Law Center. “This legislation is a wish list from the timber industry, and would create more controversy and legal uncertainty than the infamous 1995 Salvage Rider, which served to undermine public trust in the credibility of the federal land management agencies,” Brown explained. “Moreover, the bill is an underhanded attempt to repeal the Cascade-Siskiyou National Monument, which is overwhelmingly supported by the public. The timber industry that supports this legislation should be ashamed.”...
This bill attacks Tort Law and removes professional standards and all scientifically based forest management. It literally hands federal lands to private ownership and turns it's back on exploitation. It is more corrupt than Zinke's postponement of methane containment.
There may be a light at the end of the tunnel with wildfires and I would also like to draw attention to a house bill HR 167 (click here) which seeks to bring some discretionary monies to fire suppression activities instead of just putting out wildfires.
There have been many hearings in DC regarding the funding of the US Forest Service and the demands on it's IMTs. Nearly 50 percent and perhaps more than 50% of the funding for the US Forest Service has been spent for putting out wildfires while suppression has not been addressed. This is a self-defeating agenda. The less fire suppression there is, the more wildfires that occur. I would hope Governors would seek an understanding of this bill and help move it forward.
HR 167 should not be confused with a very destructive initiative that again puts profits before country HR 2936 (click here). HR 2936 has a very odd name for the damage it does, "Resilient Federal Forests Act of 2017."
HR 2936 is a very lengthy bill that is best explained in this article:
June 21, 2017
By Susan J. Brown
Western Environmental Law Center
Taos, N.M. - Tomorrow, the U.S. House of Representatives (click here) begins its consideration of HR 2936, known as the Westerman Bill after its author, Rep. Bruce Westerman (R-AR). The bill contains a cornucopia of loopholes, exemptions and categorical exclusions for environmental, judicial, and public review; and, incredibly, gives away public lands to adjacent private landowners.
The bill would be disastrous for forest health, requiring unsustainable logging, transferring endangered species authority away from the expert consulting agencies, and eliminating environmental analysis for a huge number of logging projects. The legislation also appears to revoke President Obama’s recent expansion of the Cascade-Siskiyou National Monument, the only National Monument in the country designated specifically to protect native biodiversity.
"The Westerman Bill is breathtaking in how brazenly it seeks to destroy responsible science-based forest management in this country," said Susan Jane Brown of the Western Environmental Law Center. “This legislation is a wish list from the timber industry, and would create more controversy and legal uncertainty than the infamous 1995 Salvage Rider, which served to undermine public trust in the credibility of the federal land management agencies,” Brown explained. “Moreover, the bill is an underhanded attempt to repeal the Cascade-Siskiyou National Monument, which is overwhelmingly supported by the public. The timber industry that supports this legislation should be ashamed.”...
This bill attacks Tort Law and removes professional standards and all scientifically based forest management. It literally hands federal lands to private ownership and turns it's back on exploitation. It is more corrupt than Zinke's postponement of methane containment.
