Wednesday, March 04, 2020

Age 17 to 29 percentage of voters was at least 25 percent less in most states on Super Tuesday compared to 2016.

March 4, 2020
By Ledyard King

...In Tennessee, (click here) 11% of those voters showed up Tuesday versus 15% in 2016. Sanders did better among that group Tuesday winning 63% compared to 61% four years ago.

In Virginia, young voters comprised 13% of Tuesday’s vote compared to 16% in 2016. Sanders won 55% of those voters Tuesday compared with 69% four years ago....

Beto O'Rourke had focused on voting rights as well as attracting the young voter. Voter IDs are an issue with this age group because of voting while away in college. It might be that they aren't motivated to jump through hoops for the primary.


Swing voters:'He's a socialist and I'm not': Will moderates warm up to Bernie Sanders as Super Tuesday approaches?
Sanders’ agenda, which includes erasing student loan debt and providing health care for all, is popular with young people. But the exit polls indicated those voters were not the line of defense they were in 2016.

Sanders’ rallies feature throngs of college students and 20-somethings cheering him on. In Virginia, Sanders held three rallies last week that featured thousands of energized supporters at each stop. On Tuesday, Biden clobbered Sanders in Virginia, winning by 30 percentage points.
I also have to wonder how many of that demographic are women. The field started out strong with women delegates and we now have one.

Beto O'Rourke:


In 2018, when he ran for senator, "young voter turnout in early voting was up 500%. We won more votes than any Democrat has in the history of the state of Texas."

I think Elizabeth Warren is still a candidate. She was hit by two entities when her momentum dropped off a cliff. She announced the cost of her plan for Medicare for All and Michael Bloomberg entered the race at the same time. I have to wonder now that Mr. Bloomberg is leaving the field what Elizabeth's polls will look like.

If stating the cost of Medicare for All to the voting public will cause candidate elimination, then Joe Biden has an easy walk to the finish line. I'd like to think there is more to it in that Michael Bloomberg took her voters.


I think Senator Sanders hit a snag for the lack of young voters.

In the chart below which appeared on November 30, 2019. The numbers didn't transfer in the process. The person outspending Michael Bloomberg was Joe Biden. Tom Steyer had spent $12.6 million at that point and was unable to move Democrats to his candidacy. The other three candidates for the Democratic Nomination in spending was Buttigieg, Sanders and Warren in that order. Joe Biden was behind them in spending.

Chart below:
Yellow age 13-14, Orange 25-44, Light Grey 45-64 and Dark Grey 65 and older.

November 30, 2019

Top spending 2020 candidates’ Facebook ad demographic targeting by age (click here)

SnapChat was actually very helpful for younger voters. This was from November 2, 2018.

Snap has partnered with Get to the Polls (click here) to help users find their voting locations, and it will send a snap to all users over 18 on Election Day to remind them to go vote. According to VentureBeat, Snapchat Discover will host live coverage of election night as well.

November 21, 2018
By Rachel Kraus

My partner's arms (click here) are longer than mine, so, on election day this year, I made him take the #IVoted selfie.

Now, I'm not one for selfies, usually. But I decided to share my act of civic participation on social media earlier this month for two reasons. First, because I was genuinely jazzed to vote. It was my first time doing so in person! It was exciting! And second, I'd just learned that posting photos with sticker proof of your buy-in to the democratic system is actually an impactful way to encourage others to vote.

Apparently, I wasn't alone in my enthusiasm.

On Tuesday, Snapchat shared that 1.4 million users visited their Get to the Polls platform, a voting information portal powered by the tech-focused nonprofit organization Democracy Works. Snapchat also registered over 400,000 new voters in the weeks leading up to the election — and over half of those voters were aged 18-24, also known as the coveted but fickle youth vote. Twitter, Instagram, and Facbook ran similar initiatives, though they have yet to release participation numbers....

March 4, 2020
By Liz Goodwin and Jess Bidgood

After a Super Tuesday (click here) of coast-to-coast losses, including a humbling third-place finish in her home state, Senator Elizabeth Warren is mulling her next steps as a presidential candidate in a field that could be running away without her.

The Massachusetts senator is spending Wednesday in Cambridge talking with her close-knit team to assess the path forward, according to one of her aides.

“This decision is in her hands,” Roger Lau, her campaign manager, wrote in an e-mail to her campaign staff, “and it’s important that she has the time and space to consider what comes next.”...