There would be a shift in the DISTRIBUTION of votes if Vice President Biden enters the race.
September 9, 2015
By Brent Budowsky
If Vice President Joe Biden (click here) announces he is running for president, the big winner, by far, will be Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). Mr. Biden will take far more votes from Hillary Clinton than he would take from Mr. Sanders, who might well vault into first place in a three-way race that would quickly eliminate all other Democratic contenders.
The current wave of favorable press that the Draft Biden campaign is receiving would subside and reverse shortly after a Biden announcement. It would soon be apparent that the Draft Biden effort is a limited campaign, without strong grassroots support, and not a movement that would have any appeal to current Sanders supporters, who would remain rock-solid in support of Mr. Sanders....
The honest assessment is that the beloved Senator Sanders has gained seven percent since the poll in July. Vice President Biden gained five percent since July. that is a shift of twelve percentage points. That is the exact percentage Hillary Clinton lost in the poll. What the distribution would be without the Vice President is anyone's guess at this point, but, the fact Senator Sanders pulled seven percent from Hillary Clinton is significant. People are unhappy and Hillary Clinton needs to address that.
I think the former Secretary probably has internal polls that show her way forward. She needs to address outcomes in New Hampshire and Iowa in a way that provides confidence in her candidacy.
Senator Sanders has always been revered by his constituents. This "Bernie Barn" (click here) is no surprise. Recently, in an interview Senator Sanders straightened out the press when he stated he was a Progressive. He isn't a socialist regardless of the faux labels by the right wing. His policies are not socialist policies, he believes in the private economy and has specific ideas about the role of government.
September 9, 2015
By Brent Budowsky
If Vice President Joe Biden (click here) announces he is running for president, the big winner, by far, will be Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.). Mr. Biden will take far more votes from Hillary Clinton than he would take from Mr. Sanders, who might well vault into first place in a three-way race that would quickly eliminate all other Democratic contenders.
The current wave of favorable press that the Draft Biden campaign is receiving would subside and reverse shortly after a Biden announcement. It would soon be apparent that the Draft Biden effort is a limited campaign, without strong grassroots support, and not a movement that would have any appeal to current Sanders supporters, who would remain rock-solid in support of Mr. Sanders....
The honest assessment is that the beloved Senator Sanders has gained seven percent since the poll in July. Vice President Biden gained five percent since July. that is a shift of twelve percentage points. That is the exact percentage Hillary Clinton lost in the poll. What the distribution would be without the Vice President is anyone's guess at this point, but, the fact Senator Sanders pulled seven percent from Hillary Clinton is significant. People are unhappy and Hillary Clinton needs to address that.
I think the former Secretary probably has internal polls that show her way forward. She needs to address outcomes in New Hampshire and Iowa in a way that provides confidence in her candidacy.
Senator Sanders has always been revered by his constituents. This "Bernie Barn" (click here) is no surprise. Recently, in an interview Senator Sanders straightened out the press when he stated he was a Progressive. He isn't a socialist regardless of the faux labels by the right wing. His policies are not socialist policies, he believes in the private economy and has specific ideas about the role of government.
In a come-from-behind rally, (click here) U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont is the choice of 41 percent of Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, with 40 percent picking former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and 12 percent backing Vice President Joseph Biden, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.
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| This compares to results of a July 2 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University showing Clinton at 52 percent, with 33 percent for Sanders and 7 percent for Biden. | |
| Today, former Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley gets 3 percent of Iowa likely Democratic Caucus participants, with 3 percent undecided.... | |
