What should be of interest to the UK predictors is the central location where storms seem to get a second wind and launch into the path inland.
The UK is comprised of islands regardless of it's location near the European continent. It has been my experience, these storms are island-loving and this year is an extreme example of that.
If I may....
The voracity of the high velocity winds of these storms demand not only heat, but, water vapor. What do most islands have? They have a land mass which generates heat as well as crashing waves of any height to create water vapor from the ocean.
In the USA, as early as mid-2008 storm season, there developed a phenomena whereby storms were 'near land' storms. They were lower in velocity, but, with sustainable presence that carried out significant damage due to the longevity of the wind and water. These near land storms existed because the surf would release water vapor to the water hungry troposphere.
When observing this phenomena, the clouds were continuous from the near height of the beach into far higher cloud formations. There was a direct feed of water vapor from the area of where the waves were crashing on the shoreline to the upper cloud configurations.
So, be it near shore storms or island-loving storms the phenomena is the same. Heat and water vapor results in catastrophic outcomes. We saw Hurricane Harvey launch into the Gulf of Mexico as a barely detectable circulation center into a huge problem once it reached the Gulf waters. Harvey is rarely discussed as a 'dual' storm system, but, it was the entire time it was over Texas. There was a sister system over Florida at the same time.
I do not believe there will ever be a Category Six storm, especially in the Atlantic. The water vapor tensile strength isn't all that. There is just so much velocity water vapor can attain and then what results is an oscillation event that begins the next storm or sister storm (brother storm if that makes everyone feel better, how about sibling storm, is that better).
The reason I bring that up is due to the severe water environment found on many of the UK shores. If the theory about 'creating water vapor' by waves crashing on land to fuel storms is true, which I strongly believe it is, then are the waves crashing on jagged cliffs going to spawn higher water vapor content, hence, the UK having a far more concern than originally thought. The only such rocky shoreline in the USA exists in the New England states and perhaps Cape May, New Jersey. The topic is rarely thought about yet researched to a respectable peer reviewed conclusion.
My only purpose is to save lives. The lives of allies and people that never deserved the wrath. The danger and persistence of the Climate Crisis is rather worrisome to me. Originally, under Republican administrations in the USA, NASA explained away such things as chronic vortices in the northern hemisphere as a ten to twenty year phenomena. It is hardly that and currently the USA scientific community as well as those on the IPCC don't see this as a natural cycle at all. I think we have to research the hell out of it.
October 22, 2017
By Lydia Smith
More storms (click here) are on the way for the UK – following the strong wind, rain and flooding brought by Storm Brian.
Although mild weather is predicted for next week, forecasters for Accuweather predict another 10 to 13 named storms will hit Britain this autumn and winter.
Only five were recorded in the same period last year.
“We expect an active storm period until January, with further storms until April,” said AccuWeather's Tyler Roys....