Friday, August 31, 2007

Okay, here's the deal. See that 'black area' above the storm now west of the Lesser Antilles? 12 hour loop


September 1, 2007
1930z
UNISYS Water Vapor Satellite GOES East

That dark patch of air will lengthen and follow the tropical storm into the Caribbean Sea. If one observe the 12 hour loop now it is highly notable that the 'darker air mass' increases in size with the movement of "Felix." That air mass is a high pressure phenomena sometimes called "The Bermuda High" (click here). That air mass will act as a guide to the direction of "Felix." So, it is my estimation the storm will track just south of that 'high pressure system.' Okay, there is one other thing.

If one notes in the satellite photo image above, there is another low pressure system in the middle of the Caribbean Sea. It has the potential to become another tropical storm as it is connected to the turbulence in the Pacific. There is also the continued turbulence along the Mexican Gulf Coast.

All those systems are very dangerous storms when people aren't prepared for them. Let's work on 'no deaths' from tropical storms in the North and West Hemisphere and the Asian Pacific islands and coastal land masses need to do the same. Also consider, sea level rise is a reality even today and it will increase 'standard' estimates of tidal surges.