Looking at the large satellite there is a heck of a storm in the Pacific off Central America and one over Costa Rica. There is another system in the Atlantic, too.
Tropical Strom (where it originated) Fred is over Cuba and in this satellite, it is green in color.
It is not only a storm unto itself, it is the anchor of the branch of the vortex near Greenland and exits north to the Arctic Circle and what is left of the Arctic Ocean.
In this satellite, is appears to be heading straight north from Cuba. Those northern vortexes are strong systems and they are not storms themselves so much as an organization of heat transfer, usually off the Equator. That is why good, ole Fred is part of the northern vortex system. It is one of the mechanisms of the heat transfer system.
That is my estimation. I think the entire State of Florida should be on alert for flooding and high winds. It doesn't look good to me.
that other Atlantic Ocean system following Fred can escalate it's winds because Fred is throwing more water vapor from the ocean into the air. That water vapor will encourage the Atlantic storm to grow and absorb more heat from that water vapor kicked up by Fred.
We are living in ridiculous times. Everyone is supposed to be able to exercise pinpoint accuracy to every danger in life because Artificial Intelligence tells them so. That is a bunch of hogwash. When I watch the film loop of Fred, it is not moving outside the water vapor trail of the northern vortex that mitigates heat. I think it is going north. There is a system coming down from Canada to hold that water vapor trail of the northern vortex in place and even push it slightly east.
I don't find Artificial Intelligence much of a help. I think good old common sense and accurate measurements go a long way to saving lives. Calculations are always a reassurance, but, when it comes right down to it, people have a gut that recognizes the shortcomings of computers and calculations. The tools we use are a help for people, but, they aren't the answer.
The storm is too wide to only cast clouds and shadows on the western part of Florida. The state needs to be ready for a change in direction due to the approaching front from Canada and the heat transfer vortex near Greenland. I would say there is a lot of uncertainty, especially if one is depending on computers to point the way.
Good luck to everyone.
