Thursday, August 08, 2019

Has North Carolina reached a tipping point? Is the extremism, too extreme?

I would be concerned of Russian influence in the swing states. The extremism will show through in states like NC that long to be free of it.

February 22, 2019
By Michael Abramowitz

Although still an important swing state (click here) in the national political landscape, shifting demographics and rapidly changing population patterns point to changes in North Carolina’s internal dynamics and its political influence, according to an analyst who spoke on Tuesday in Greenville.

North Carolina now is about half Republican and half Democrat, but the political demographic has shifted away from a west-versus-east makeup to more of an urban-versus-rural alignment, according to Jonathan Kappler, executive director of the N.C. Free Enterprise Foundation,  who shared his observations at the Greenville-Pitt County Chamber of Commerce Power Luncheon at the Hilton Greenville.

Kappler said the data cannot predict voter behavior going forward, but attention to shifts in population and demographics can provide insight into the dynamics of North Carolina’s rapidly changing communities and a view of districts looking forward.

Non-natives now comprise 50 percent of North Carolina’s population of registered voters, Kappler said. Many are from New York, Pennsylvania and other northern states, bringing a different perspective and little understanding of the history of this state’s politics.

“There is some indication that those people behave differently than North Carolina natives,” he said. “ Polling reveals some interesting differences in how they are likely to vote.”...