2003 GMT
Gulf of Mexico Satellite
I don't doubt there is some significant weather affiliated with this event. There is a circulation center due west of the Florida Keys.
The size is significant all by itself and when the eye is more organized it has the capacity to be strong storm and more condensed.
The sun is coming back down the face of Earth from its highest point, so the accumulation of heat is resulting in water vapor concentration.
1116 AM EDT
Atlantic Ocean Satellite
There is interesting activity off near shore Africa, too.
But, the Gulf needs to be on alert for what might end up being a storm to contend with.
It is a strange season already, there was Cat 1 storm in the Northern Atlantic; Hurricane Chris. I don't recall a hurricane season beginning in the Northern Atlantic.
Season of 2007 did spawn Hurricane Chantal with a central pressure of 994, but, that didn't occur until the end of July of that year. Chantal wasn't as far north as Chris or as far in east in the Atlantic.
The Season of 2005, the Katrina season, saw three north Atlantic storms, but, they were all very late in the season. They didn't originate as far north as Chris.
It's a strange year.
The Western Pacific has not had a major storm yet. The year similar to this year in the Atlantic is 2009 which matches with a less turbulent in the western Pacific, too. But, the 2009 season in the Atlantic was also far later than this, too. I take that back, 2009 had three strong storms in the beginning of the season in the Western Pacific.
I am trying to get a picture of the level of heat in the troposphere in relation to available water vapor on the surface of Earth. That is a global commodity. Heat. Water vapor is definately regional, although once it is dispersed into the troposphere as with Irene last year the storms afterward are easily spawned. The western Pacific has more water vapor in the troposphere than the eastern Pacific or Atlantic. All are northern hemisphere. I think this year is unique.
Both the east and west Pacific had a large number of storms, so the heat dissipation from the troposphere into the oceans was considerable.
The east and west Pacific this year is experiencing less storms, however, they are higher in velocity. In the western Pacific each storm was stronger than the one before as if the heat was waiting for the water vapor to be distributed and continued to build on the increased droplets in the troposphere.
The eastern Pacific is a little different and unique. There are land masses to interfere with velocity as the storms move from east to west. Not that they don't make land fall, but, they have the opportunity to build to higher velocity in open ocean before landfall. The really interesting aspect of the eastern Pacific these years is their origins and paths tend to be nearer shore and then traveling east far earlier and in longer duration then their initial western departure from land. I believe the thirst for water vapor of the storms near North America cause near shore storms and has shifted east in the eastern Pacific\
I doubt that interests anyone besides me. Basically, the eastern Pacific storms starts east and tends to move east quicker than in the past.
Sun Ray Simulator (click here).
The direct rays of the sun on June 19th, the day Hurricane Chris was spawned, was at 23 degrees north latitude, Chris spawned at 39.30 north latitude. Scary. This was before the sun reached its highest peak of travel this year and it was Cat One storm. Enough to make me worry about the season.
