The land fall at this point is Baytown, Texas. HOWEVER, the actual direction of the developing Tropical System at the Yucatan will be effected by the oscillation. AND. It will recieve less and less 'water vapor' support as it travels north.
It is 'picking up' significant water vapor today, that may be enough to carry enough velocity, torque and calorie 'heat content' to higher hurricane strength past the Gulf of Mexico to landfall.
More later.
