If the winds at 30 thousand feet are strong, a once damaged tail section of a jet can be weak enough to cause loss of control of the jet.
It is not easy to spot because there are few clouds, but, there is a convergence of a north air mass moving south and a southern air mass moving north.
What has the weather been like in Africa? There is some extreme turbulence that has been across Yemen and the UAE.
The area where that cargo jet went down is not all that far from the adverse weather in Yemen. There is turbulence exactly where this jet went down and given where the crash occurred in the Sinai I believe there are upper winds causing issues. The air masses are converging near Jordan. This is a better satellite image to not. It is the most current water vapor image and there is a circulation center that has been the result.
A lot of the air turbulence is not in the lower troposphere anymore. It is in the upper troposphere and 30 thousand feet would be reasonable to consider that scenario.
The turbulence has to be considered as a potential cause of these jet failures. Why they are both Russian bound is a darn good question.
The scene of a cargo airplane that crashed after take-off near Juba Airport in South Sudan on November 4, 2015 (Photo Reuters) November 4, 2015 (JUBA) - Over 40 people (click here) are feared dead after a Russian plane crashed shortly after taking off from Juba International Airport Wednesday morning....
